Bupa’s high business concentration in Europe and the health insurance market makes it vulnerable to a spike in its claims business, says GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company.

According to GlobalData’s report ‘Coronavirus (COVID-19) Company Impact: Bupa’, 56.2% of its premiums in 2018 were in Europe. The UK and Spain are two key markets for the insurer, and these countries have been hit particularly hard by COVID-19.

In terms of business lines, Bupa had 99.97% of its business in non-life, but a significant amount of that is in health insurance. Just under half (46.0%) of its overall business in Europe was in health insurance in 2018.

Deblina Mitra, Insurance Analyst at GlobalData, says: “The low concentration in the life segment reduces the insurer’s risk exposure to macroeconomic and financial volatilities, as well as rising morbidity claims. The business concentration in general insurance makes the insurer vulnerable to supply shocks faced by new industries, a decline in consumer demand and rising claims associated with a sustained increase in the number of conformed cases. This might impact renewals, new business growth and profitability.

“Increased affordability pressure on consumers is expected to negatively affect the demand for health insurance products. However, the presence of a strong public health insurance system in its key markets with high infection rates is expected to offset the insurers’ claims demand.”