Small cell lung cancer diagnosed incident cases set to reach 240,000 in 2029, says GlobalData

The burden of diagnosed small cell lung cancer (SCLC) is expected to increase at an annual growth rate (AGR) of 3.5% from around 180,000 cases in 2019 to 240,000 cases in 2029 in the eight major markets (8MM*), according to GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company.

GlobalData’s latest report, ‘Small Cell Lung Cancer: Epidemiology Forecast to 2029’, reveals that the increase is partly attributed to the moderately rising trend in incidence in the 8MM, combined with underlying demographic changes in the respective markets.

Bishal Bhandari, Senior Epidemiologist at GlobalData, comments: “SCLC was the second most common type of lung cancer after NSCLC, making up 15% of lung cancer cases. The number of cases of SCLC is forecast to grow steadily in the next 10 years.”

In the 8MM, most SCLC cases were diagnosed in the more severe extensive stage. In 2019, 60% of SCLC cases diagnosed were in extensive stage and 40% of cases were in more favorable limited stage. The survival rate declines for the cases diagnosed in the unfavorable extensive stage of SCLC.

Bhandari continues: “It is worrying that so many patients with SCLC were diagnosed in the unfavorable stage, as these patients require aggressive therapy to get the cancer under control. As such, there is a need for diagnostic tools to detect SCLC at earlier stages, and treatment priorities should also be aligned to address this aggressive form of cancer.”

The five-year diagnosed prevalent cases of SCLC are also expected to increase in 2029 from the current level in 2019.

Bhandari adds: “The aging and increasing population combined with moderately rising trend in the incidence in the 8MM, suggests that the overall number of people with SCLC will continue to increase even with the poor survival of SCLC cases.”

*8MM: The US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the UK, Japan, and urban China

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