Autonomous Driving – The Opportunities and Obstacles Ahead

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GlobalData’s 'Industry Insight: Autonomous Driving – The Benefits and Hurdles Ahead' report analyzes the challenges, innovations, market environment and regulatory developments in the automated vehicles industry, and government commitment to the industry, with a particular focus on the UK.

The UK automotive sector is one of the most efficient and productive manufacturing industries in Europe, and the sector has undergone significant growth since the recession. The development of driverless cars is expected to play a vital role in the UK’s economic future, and the government has estimated that the autonomous vehicle market could be worth aroundGBP900 billion (US$1.1 trillion) worldwide by 2025.

The report also reviews industry concerns, particularly the views of industry association bodies and insurers, to understand their plans and expected changes to their business models and processes, including projected product types, claims-handling processes and market collaborations with other industries such as motor manufacturers.

Scope

This report provides

• Market views of the UK government's actions and plans

• The views, concerns and expectations of motor manufacturers and insurers

• Description of ongoing product innovations, trials and expected launch dates

Key Highlights

• The motor industry is investing heavily in self-driving technology. According to data from the Society of Motor Manufacturers & Traders (SMMT) and JATO Dynamics, 30.7% of new cars registered in 2015 were fitted with safety-enhancing collision-warning systems as standard, with the technology offered as an option on an additional 27.4% of cars.

• In February 2017, Nissan trialed a self-driving version of its Leaf model in London. The test was completed successfully without any incident without a crash. The AV version of the Leaf had a virtual map, twelve cameras, five radars and four lasers. The trial introduced members of the public to the reality of the future, citing a reduction in accidents, traffic, emissions, road rage and bills as likely outcomes.

• Volvo announced plans to introduce a fleet of driverless XC90s to London in 2017 and at least 100 such vehicles on Britain’s streets by 2018. According to Volvo, the scheme will be used to collect data on self-driving in a city environment. The real-world information will be used to determine how to progress with technology.

• The Data from the Society of Motor Manufacturers & Traders (SMMT), the annual turnover of the UK automotive industry increased to a record GBP71.6 billion (US$89 billion) in 2015. For the same year, GlobalData’s Insurance Intelligence Center [IIC] estimates the total direct premium written by the insurance industry for the same year at GBP15.5 billion, (US$20.8 billion).

• The recent data from the UK Association of British Insurers (ABI), revealed that UK motor insurance premiums reached their highest recorded levels in the fourth quarter of 2016 (Q4 2016), rising more than five times the rate of inflation. The rate of premium increase was attributed to successive rises in insurance premium tax (IPT), higher repair costs, and the rising costs of whiplash injury claims.

• The outcome of the UK’s government consultation into driverless vehicles and adoption identified that although the UK legal and regulatory framework is not a barrier to the testing of AVs on public roads, the incumbent laws governing data privacy, road traffic laws and patent licensing make the facilitation of AV adoption problematic. The report alsoset out the UK government plans to introduce a single insurer model for driverless and conventional cars, and identified 2018 as the preferred date to amend road traffic legislation to take AVs into consideration.

Reasons to Buy

• Learn about market views and expectations of the industry from various perspectives

• Be informed of the UK’s government role in the development of autonomous vehicles

• Gain an understanding of the driverless vehicles sector, and the market opportunities available to insurers and reinsurers

• Develop an insight into current and expected regulatory changes concerning claims and liabilities, and their effects on product underwriting

Admiral Group Plc
Aviva Plc
Direct Line Insurance Group Plc
Nissan
Roborace
Volvo
Moovel
Car2Go

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 The State of the UK Motor Insurance Industry

3 UK Self-Driving Industry Transformation

4 Stimuli for Autonomous Vehicles

5 UK Government and Autonomous Vehicles Espousal

6 AV Technology and Liability

7 Industry Concern

8 Full Automation Adoption and the Future for Insurance

9 Industry View and Insurers’ Actions

10 Insurer and Manufacturer Collaboration

11 Future Expectations

12 Definitions and Methodology

12.1 Definitions

12.2 Methodology

13 About GlobalData

13.1 Contact GlobalData

13.2 About GlobalData

13.3 GlobalData’s Services

13.4 Disclaimer

Table

Table 1: Insurance Industry Definitions

Figures

Figure 1: UK Motor Insurance – Direct Written Premium and Paid Claims (GBP Billion), 2011–2020

Figure 2: New Registered Cars with Autonomous Systems (Thousand), 2017

Figure 3: Consumer Preference for Self-Driving Vehicles (%), 2014–2017

Figure 4: Motor Vehicle Traffic – Great Britain (%), 2007–2017

Figure 5: Percentage of Consumers That See AVs Unsafe (%), 2016

Frequently asked questions

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