Axial Spondyloarthritis – Forecast in Asia-Pacific Markets to 2028
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Axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) is a disease group encompassing both ankylosing spondylitis (AS) and non-radiographic axial spondyloarthritis (nr-axSpA). These conditions are chronic, autoinflammatory disorders of the sacroiliac joints and spine, an area also known as the axial skeleton. The disease is typically diagnosed in young adulthood to middle age (16–45 years) and has a seven- to nine-year delay of diagnosis. The axSpA market has historically been reliant on anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) therapies that have been available for over a decade, and the pipeline for drugs in late-stage development was lacking, but recent developments have led to research on novel treatment mechanisms. This will be vital in treating the underdiagnosed nr-axSpA population.
In 2016, Novartis gained approval for Cosentyx (secukinumab), the first-in-class interleukin (IL)-17 inhibitor that was the first new biologic treatment approved for AS that was not an anti-TNF. Moreover, biosimilars of currently marketed anti-TNF biologics such as etanercept, infliximab and adalimumab are also available in Asia-Pacific markets. This is likely to result in a highly competitive market for patients who have failed multiple non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs). Competition will intensify with the arrival of new anti-IL-17 treatments and a new class of therapies in development, Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitors, which will offer a more convenient form of administration. With existing unmet need for all patients, particularly nr-axSpA patients, being diagnosed in a timely manner and having treatment options that are not solely subcutaneously or intravenously administered, axSpA represents an increasingly important rheumatology sector for drug developers.
GlobalData estimates that sales of drugs in the axSpA market were approximately $368.6M in 2018 in the 5GM in Asia-Pacific region. China was the largest market, with approximately $106.5M in drug sales, which represented 28.9% of the total axSpA market. South Korea and Australia contributed $83.5M and $73M in sales respectively, while Japan and India contributed sales of $53.9M and $51.7M respectively in 2018.
APAC sales in the axSpA market are expected to grow $551.6M at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.1% from 20182028. GlobalData forecasts India to grow to $101.4M (18.4% of APAC sales), China to grow to $212.6M (38.5% of APAC sales), Australia to grow to $91M (16.5% of APAC sales), South Korea to grow to $94.6M (17.2% of APAC sales), and Japan to slightly reduce to $52M (9.4% of APAC sales) over the next 10 years.
Key Questions Answered
Over the forecast period, the axSpA market will see the entry of pipeline agents such as the interleukin 17 inhibitors and the JAK inhibitors, the sales of which will offset the loss of sales caused by the entry of biosimilars. How do products compete against each other? Which of these drugs will have the highest peak sales, and why?
Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs) interviewed by GlobalData have indicated that there are several unmet needs within the axSpA indication. What are the main unmet needs in this market? How can the pharmaceutical industry address these needs? To what degree will the therapies under development fulfill these unmet needs?
The axSpA market is likely to become a turbulent space throughout the forecast period and beyond. Which companies are set to be major players in axSpA during the forecast period?
Scope
Overview of axSpA including epidemiology, etiology, pathophysiology, symptoms, diagnosis, and treatment guidelines.
Annualized axSpA therapeutics market revenue, annual cost of therapy and treatment usage pattern data from 2018 and forecast for ten years to 2028.
Key topics covered include strategic competitor assessment, market characterization, unmet needs, clinical trial mapping and implications for the axSpA therapeutics market.
Pipeline analysis: comprehensive data split across different phases, emerging novel trends under development, and detailed analysis of late-stage pipeline drugs.
Analysis of the current and future market competition in the Asia-Pacific axSpA therapeutics market. Insightful review of the key industry drivers, restraints and challenges. Each trend is independently researched to provide qualitative analysis of its implications.
Key Highlights
The greatest driver of growth in the Asia-Pacific axSpA market will be the launches of four pipeline therapies during the forecast period. The entry of these anticipated therapies, including Eli Lilly’s Taltz and Pfizer’s tofacitinib, will be subject to moderate uptake among the AS and nr-axSpA populations.
The main barrier to growth in the axSpA market will be the patent expiry of key marketed products, and subsequent launch of biosimilars of Humira (adalimumab) and the genericization of tofacitinib in the latter half of the forecast across the 5GM.
The most important unmet needs in axSpA are the need for speedier diagnosis and convincing patients to start biologic therapy. The former is being addressed by the increasingly routine use of MRI instead of X-ray to diagnose patients, and the greater understanding and awareness of nr-axSpA. The latter is impacted by poor patient education about their disease and a fear of subcutaneous/intravenous injection.
Factors driving a low biologic therapy treatment rate include some negative or fearful attitudes towards subcutaneously/intravenously administered therapeutics, nr-axSpA patients not perceiving themselves as severe enough to warrant biologic treatment, and a high ACOT for biologic therapies currently on the market and therapies in late-stage development.
Reasons to Buy
The report will enable you to:
Develop and design your in-licensing and out-licensing strategies through a review of pipeline products and technologies, and by identifying the companies with the most robust pipeline.
Develop business strategies by understanding the trends shaping and driving the Asia-Pacific axSpA therapeutics market.
Drive revenues by understanding the key trends, innovative products and technologies, market segments, and companies likely to impact the Asia-Pacific axSpA therapeutics market in future.
Formulate effective sales and marketing strategies by understanding the competitive landscape and by analyzing the performance of various competitors.
Identify emerging players with potentially strong product portfolios and create effective counter-strategies to gain a competitive advantage.
Track drug sales in the Asia-Pacific axSpA therapeutics market from 2018-2028.
Organize your sales and marketing efforts by identifying the market categories and segments that present maximum opportunities for consolidations, investments and strategic partnerships.
Novartis
UCB
Janssen
Eli Lilly
Pfizer
Kyowa Hakko Kirin
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