Brexit – the term used to refer to the UK’s planned departure from the European Union (EU) – is one of the most controversial political stories of recent times. The report looks at three Brexit scenarios, with a focus on No Deal, and quantifies the tariff costs to the UK automotive manufacturing sector.
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Jaguar Land Rover
Table of Contents
WINNERS AND LOSERS
WHERE ARE WE NOW AND WHAT HAPPENS NEXT?
Summary of impact of Brexit on UK vehicle manufacturing under different scenarios
BREXIT SCENARIOS AND UK VEHICLE MANUFACTURING
The orderly withdrawal, with an agreement
A disorderly departure, i.e. "No Deal"
No Deal stopped scenario
SCENARIO ANALYSIS OF BREXIT'S IMPACT ON AUTO
The costs of a Hard Brexit, or No Deal
The AutoAnalysis model for calculating Brexit costs on the automotive industry
COUNTERING THE COSTS OF A HARD, NO DEAL BREXIT
Increasing UK content of UK made vehicles
Relocating UK production to factories inside the EU
Changing the markets into which UK manufacturers sell
Refocusing UK production to supply the domestic market
CAR COMPANIES' BREXIT AMELIORATION POSSIBILITIES
Brexit on WTO terms would have a severely deleterious effect on UK vehicle production
A switch permanently to WTO terms would be much worse
The No Deal scenario – options open to the volume vehicle companies