Canada Bakery and Cereals Market Size by Categories, Distribution Channel, Market Share and Forecast, 2021-2026

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Canada Bakery and Cereals Market Overview

The Canada bakery & cereals market size was valued at $12.3 billion in 2021. The market is projected to grow at a CAGR of more than 4% during the forecast period. The cakes, pastries & sweet pies category is forecast to register the fastest value growth and energy bars the fastest volume growth during 2021-2026. Flexible packaging is the most used pack material in the country.

The Canada bakery & cereals market research report provides insights on high-growth markets to target, trends in the usage of packaging materials, types and closures category level distribution data, and companies market shares.

Canada Bakery & Cereals Market Outlook

Canada Bakery & Cereals Market Outlook

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What is the city-level outlook of the Canada bakery & cereals market?

The key cities in the Canada bakery & cereals market are Toronto, Montreal, Vancouver, Calgary, Edmonton, Ottawa-Gatineau, Winnipeg, Quebec City, Hamilton, and Kitchener-Cambridge-Waterloo. Toronto emerged as the largest bakery & cereals market in Canada followed by Montreal and Vancouver.

Canada Bakery & Cereals Market Analysis by Cities

Canada Bakery & Cereals Market Analysis by Cities

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What are the key categories in the Canada bakery & cereals market?

The key categories in the Canada bakery & cereals market are baking ingredients, baking mixes, bread & rolls, breakfast cereals, cakes, pastries & sweet pies, cereal bars, cookies (sweet biscuits), dough products, energy bars, morning goods, and savory biscuits. The Canadian bakery & cereals sector was led by the ‘cakes, pastries & sweet pies’ category in value and volume terms in 2021.

Canada Bakery & Cereals Market Analysis by Categories

Canada Bakery & Cereals Market Analysis by Categories

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What are the key distribution channels in the Canada Bakery & cereals market?

The key distribution channels used in the Canada Bakery & cereals market are hypermarkets & supermarkets, food & drinks specialists, convenience stores, and e-retailers. Hypermarkets & supermarkets were the leading distribution channel in the Canada Bakery & cereals sector in 2021 followed by food & drinks specialists and convenience stores.

Canada Bakery & Cereals Market Analysis by Distribution Channels

Canada Bakery & Cereals Market Analysis by Distribution Channels

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Which are the key companies in the Canada bakery & cereals market?

Some of the key companies in the Canada bakery & cereals market are Artisanal Producers, The Kellogg Company, Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V., George Weston Foods Limited, Mondelez International Inc, PepsiCo, McCormick & Company Inc., AVI Limited, E.D. Smith Foods Ltd., and ConAgra Brands Inc. The Kellogg Company, Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V., and George Weston Foods Limited are the top three companies in the Canadian bakery & cereals sector. In value terms, Artisanal producers accounted for a major share in the Canada bakery & cereals sector in 2021.

Canada Bakery & Cereals Market Analysis by Companies

Canada Bakery & Cereals Market Analysis by Companies

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Market report scope

Market size (Year – 2021) $12.3 billion
CAGR  >4%
Forecast period 2021-2026
Key cities Toronto, Montreal, Vancouver, Calgary, Edmonton, Ottawa-Gatineau, Winnipeg, Quebec City, Hamilton, and Kitchener-Cambridge-Waterloo
Key categories Baking Ingredients, Baking Mixes, Bread & Rolls, Breakfast Cereals, Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies, Cereal Bars, Cookies (Sweet Biscuits), Dough Products, Energy Bars, Morning Goods, and Savory Biscuits
Key distribution channels Hypermarkets & Supermarkets, Food & Drinks Specialists, Convenience Stores, and E-Retailers
Key companies Artisanal Producers, The Kellogg Company, Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V., George Weston Foods Limited, Mondelez International Inc, PepsiCo, McCormick & Company Inc., AVI Limited, E.D. Smith Foods Ltd., and ConAgra Brands Inc

 Scope

  • Overall sector value data with growth analysis for 2016-2026.
  • Value and growth analysis for baking ingredients, baking mixes, bread & rolls, cakes, pastries & sweet pies, cereal bars, cookies (sweet biscuits), dough products, energy bars, morning goods, and savory biscuits with inputs on individual segment share within each category and the change in their market share forecast for 2021-2026.
  • Market share of companies (in value terms) and private labels (in value terms) in 2021.
  • Percentage of sales within each category through distribution channels such as “dollar stores”, variety store & general merchandise retailers, cash & carries & warehouse clubs, convenience stores, department stores, drugstores & pharmacies, E-retailers, Food & drinks specialists, hypermarkets & supermarkets, vending machines.
  • Consumption breakdown for package materials and pack types in each category, in terms of percentage share of several units sold.

Reasons to Buy

  • Identify high potential categories and explore further market opportunities based on detailed value and volume analysis
  • Existing and new players can analyze key distribution channels to identify and evaluate trends and opportunities
  • Gain an understanding of the total competitive landscape based on detailed company share analysis to plan effective market positioning
  • Our team of analysts has placed a significant emphasis on changes expected in the market that will provide a clear picture of the opportunities that can be tapped over the next five years, resulting in revenue expansion
  • The packaging analysis report helps manufacturers, in identifying the most commonly used packaging materials in the sector
  • Analysis of key macroeconomic indicators such as real GDP, nominal GDP, consumer price index, household consumption expenditure, population (by age group, gender, rural-urban split, employed people, and unemployment rate. It also includes an economic summary of the country along with the labor market and demographic trends.

The Kellogg Company
Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V.
George Weston Foods Limited
Sun-Maid
General Mills Inc.
McCain
Dare Foods Limited
Mondelez International Inc
PepsiCo

Table of Contents

Report Scope

Executive Summary

Part 1: Market Environment

Value and Volume Share of Canada in the Global and North America Markets

Growth Analysis of Canada Compared to Other Leading Countries in the North America Market

PCC and PCE of Canada Compared to the Global and North America Markets

Part 2: Sector Deep Dive

Canada Bakery & Cereals Sector Snapshot

Market Size Analysis

Cross-Category Comparison – Value Growth Analysis and Category Winners and Losers

Cross-Category Comparison – Volume Growth Analysis and Category Winners and Losers

Part 3: Category Deep Dive

Per Capita Consumption Analysis by Category

Market Size Analysis – Category: Baking Ingredients

Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) – Baking Ingredients

Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) – Baking Ingredients

Market Size Analysis – Category: Baking Mixes

Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) – Baking Mixes

Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) – Baking Mixes

Market Size Analysis – Category: Bread & Rolls

Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) – Bread & Rolls

Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) – Bread & Rolls

Market Size Analysis – Breakfast Cereals

Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) – Breakfast Cereals

Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) – Breakfast Cereals

Market Size Analysis – Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies

Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) – Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies

Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) – Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies

Market Size Analysis – Cereal Bars

Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) – Cereal Bars

Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) – Cereal Bars

Market Size Analysis – Cookies (Sweet Biscuits)

Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) – Cookies (Sweet Biscuits)

Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) – Cookies (Sweet Biscuits)

Market Size Analysis – Dough Products

Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) – Dough Products

Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) – Dough Products

Market Size Analysis – Energy Bars

Market Size Analysis – Morning Goods

Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) – Morning Goods

Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) – Morning Goods

Market Size Analysis – Savory Biscuits

Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) – Savory Biscuits

Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) – Savory Biscuits

Part 4: Distribution Analysis

Channel Share Analysis

Part 5: Competitive Environment

Leading Companies – Value and Volume Shares

Brand Share Analysis of Top Five Companies

Brand Share Analysis of Top Five Companies by Category

Private Label Share Analysis by Category

Growth of Private Labels Compared to Branded Products

Degree of Consolidation/Fragmentation by Category

Part 6: Health & Wellness Analysis

Health & Wellness Analysis by Category

Health & Wellness Analysis by Product Attributes

Health & Wellness Analysis by Consumer Benefits

Cross Category Comparison – Products with H&W Claims Vs. Non-H&W Claims

Part 7: Packaging Analysis

Pack Material Growth Analysis

Pack Type Growth Analysis

Closure Type Growth Analysis

Primary Outer Type Growth Analysis

Part 8: City Deep Dive

Market Size Analysis of Top 10 Cities

Market Size Analysis of Top 10 Cities by Category

Leading Cities Contribution to Volume Growth

Part 9: Consumergraphics

Demographic Analysis

Part 10: Macroeconomic Analysis

GDP Growth and Inflation

Population Growth

Labor Market Trend

Economic Summary, Labor Market Trends, and Demographic Trends

Canada Risk Index (GCRI) 2021

Canada Risk Analysis – Compared to Global and North America Markets

Methodology

Definitions

Appendix

Table

Leading value categories

Leading categories (volume), 2021

Cross-category comparison – by value (2016-2026)

Cross-category comparison – by volume (2016-2026)

Per capita consumption (by category), Canada compared to North America and global levels (in kg), 2021

Baking ingredients – value analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Baking ingredients – volume analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Baking mixes – value analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Baking mixes – volume analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Bread & rolls – value analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Bread & rolls – volume analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Breakfast cereals – value analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Breakfast cereals – volume analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Cakes, pastries & sweet pies – value analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Cakes, pastries & sweet pies – volume analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Cereal bars – value analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Cereal bars – volume analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Cookies (sweet biscuits) – value analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Cookies (sweet biscuits) – volume analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Dough products – value analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Dough products – volume analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Morning goods – value analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Morning goods – volume analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Savory biscuits – value analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Savory biscuits – volume analysis by segment, 2016-2026

Change in distribution share, 2016-2021

Top five companies share by brand (in value and volume terms) in the bakery & cereals sector, 2021

Brand shares of top five companies (in value and volume terms) by category, 2021

Category comparison – with H&W claims and non-h&w claims, 2016-2026

Performance overview (score: 1-100)

Category data, by segment

Per capita consumption (in kg), 2016-2026

Per capita expenditure ($), 2016-2026

Bakery & cereals sales distribution in Canada – by category (THB million), 2021

Brand share (in value and volume terms) in the bakery & cereals sector, 2021

Brand share (in value and volume terms) in the bakery & cereals sector, by category, 2021

Key health & wellness product attributes driving sales in Canada, 2016-2026

Key health & wellness consumer benefits driving sales in Canada, 2016-2026

Pack material (in million pack units), 2016-2026

Pack materials by category (in million pack units), 2021

Pack type (in million pack units), 2016-2026

Pack types by category (in million pack units), 2021

Closure type (in million pack units), 2016-2026

Closure types by category (in million pack units), 2021

Primary outer type (in million pack units), 2016-2026

Primary outer types by category (in million pack units), 2021

Real GDP and annual growth (%), 2018-2026

Nominal GDP and annual growth (%), 2018-2026

Consumer price inflation (%), 2018-2026

Employed people and unemployment rate (%), 2018-2026

Nominal household final consumption expenditure and annual growth (%), 2018-2026

Population and annual growth (%), 2018-2026

Population by age group (%)

Population by gender (%)

Population by rural-urban split (%)

Exchange rates, 2016-2026

Figures

Value and volume shares of Canada in the global and North America bakery & cereals sector, 2021-2026

Canada compared to the other top countries in terms of market share, growth, and the competitive landscape

PCC comparison – Canada, North America, and global, 2016-2026

PCE comparison – Canada, North America, and global, 2016-2026

Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, bakery & cereals sector, 2016-2026

Cross-category comparison – value growth analysis and category winners and losers

Cross-category comparison – volume growth analysis and category winners and losers

Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, baking ingredients category, 2016-2026

Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, baking mixes category, 2016-2026

Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, bread & rolls category, 2016-2026

Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, breakfast cereals category, 2016-2026

Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, cakes, pastries & sweet pies category, 2016-2026

Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, cereal bars category, 2016-2026

Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, cookies (sweet biscuits) category, 2016-2026

Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, dough products category, 2016-2026

Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, energy bars category, 2016-2026

Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, morning goods category, 2016-2026

Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, savory biscuits category, 2016-2026

Share of key distribution channels (in value terms) – bakery & cereals, 2021

Key distribution channel share by category (in value terms), 2021

Leading companies (in value and volume terms) in the bakery & cereals sector, 2021

Private label penetration by category (in value terms), 2021

Growth analysis, private label and brands, 2016-2021

Category-wise consolidation/fragmentation (in value terms) – bakery & cereals , 2021

Prominence of health & wellness claims by category, $ million, 2021-2026

Contribution of health & wellness by product attributes, $ million, 2021-2026

Contribution of health & wellness by consumer benefits, $ million, 2021-2026

Key pack materials in the Canadian bakery & cereals sector by percentage share of pack units, 2021

Annual growth rate by key pack material, 2016-2026

Use of pack material by category (in pack units), 2021

Key pack types in the Canadian bakery & cereals sector by percentage share of pack units, 2021

Annual growth rate by key pack type, 2016-2026

Use of pack type by category (in pack units), 2021

Key closure types in the Canadian bakery & cereals sector by percentage share of pack units, 2021

Annual growth rate by key closure type, 2016-2026

Use of closure type by category (in pack units), 2021

Key primary outer types in the Canadian bakery & cereals sector by percentage share of pack units, 2021

Annual growth rate by key primary outer type, 2016-2026

Use of primary outer type by category (in pack units), 2021

Volume growth analysis of top 10 cities (million kg), 2016-2021

Volume analysis of top 10 cities by category (million kg), 2021

Leading cities’ contribution to volume change, 2021-2026

Demographic analysis

Real GDP (CAD billion) and annual growth (%)

Nominal GDP (CAD billion) and annual growth (%)

Consumer price inflation (%)

Nominal household final consumption expenditure growth (%) in CAD terms

Population (million) and annual growth (%)

Population by age group (%)

Population by gender (%)

Population by rural-urban split (%)

Employed people (million) and unemployment rate (%)

Economic summary, labor market trends, and demographic trends

Five lowest-risk nations in GCRI Q4 2021

Five highest-risk nations in GCRI Q4 2021

Canada’s performance in country risk analysis in comparison to North America and the world

List of 109 countries analyzed to identify the high-potential countries in different regions

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