Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) – Epidemiology Analysis and Forecast – July 2020

Powered by

All the vital news, analysis, and commentary curated by our industry experts.

Current Epidemiology Situation and Forecast
Globally, the total confirmed cases of COVID-19 have reached over 17 million with over 667,000 deaths and 9,964,000 recoveries.
The US continues to be the most affected country globally, with over 4.4 million cases. The US fell to ranking seventh globally in terms of per capita daily incident rates, however, the US is still ranked number one in terms of total daily incidence.
South Africa reported over 7,200 new confirmed cases of COVID-19 yesterday and over 7,000 new confirmed cases of COVID-19 on Tuesday. These are the two lowest daily incident rates reported by South Africa since the beginning of July, however, South Africa still remains as ranking fourth in total daily incident rates globally.
Increasing uncertainty of infection rates renders forecasting difficult in the worst-hit countries

Region Focus
The outlook for South Africa remains unclear as COVID-19 cases continue to rise.
Daily confirmed COVID-19 deaths in Mexico soar, with a cumulative count that has surpassed Italy and will surpass the UK.
Iran, unlike other countries, is experiencing a higher fatality rate during the second surge.
Australia's strategy of COVID-19 suppression may have proven effective

Special Topics
Hard-hit communities may be better protected against COVID-19 resurgence.
The US’ new COVID-19 data system is concerning, but could be significant tool in fight against coronavirus.
Co-infection of influenza and COVID-19, and lower rates of flu vaccination, are likely to increase hospitalizations.
Crohn's disease patients are at increased risk of COVID-19 infection.

Data Limitations
Testing availability and criteria differ significantly between countries. 
The number of reported confirmed cases in all countries underestimates the actual number of infected people.
Mortality reporting is not standardized.
Antibody testing has limitations in accuracy and usefulness.

Scope

The epidemiology report covers the following areas: current epidemiology situation and forecast, region focus, special topics, and data limitations.

Key Highlights

The report provide forecast for peak-week and return-to-normal week that will help the reader plan in this uncertain time, and highlights important populations and regions most affected by the outbreak.

Reasons to Buy

Obtain in-depth understanding of epidemiology data for COVID-19 and analysis of up-to-date new research and insights.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

Contents

1 Current Epidemiology Situation

1.1 Current Epidemiology Situation

1.2 New Cases Trend in Top 10 Infected Countries

2 Forecast for Key Markets

2.1 Increasing Uncertainty of Infection Rates Renders Forecasting Difficult in the Worst-Hit Countries

2.2 Infection Peak and Decline Forecasts for Select Countries

3 Region Focus

3.1 Outlook for South Africa Remains Unclear as COVID-19 Cases Continues to Rise

3.2 Daily Confirmed COVID-19 Deaths in Mexico Soar, Cumulative Count Has Surpassed Italy and will Surpass the UK

3.3 Iran, Unlike Other Countries, Is Experiencing Higher Fatality During the Second Surge

3.4 Australia's Strategy of COVID-19 Suppression May Have Proven Effective

4 Special Topics

4.1 Hard-Hit Communities May Be Better Protected Against COVID-19 Resurgence

4.2 US’ New COVID-19 Data System Is Concerning, but Could Be Significant Tool in Fight Against Coronavirus

4.3 Co-infection of Flu and COVID-19 and Lower Rate of Vaccination Is Likely to Increase Hospitalizations

4.4 Crohn's Disease Patients Are at Increased Risk of COVID-19 Infection

5 Data Limitations

5.1 There Are Drawbacks to the Available Data

6 Appendix

6.1 Methodology

6.2 Abbreviations

6.3 Related Reports

6.4 Sources

6.5 About the Authors

6.6 About GlobalData

6.7 Contact Us

Table

Table 1. Current Epidemiology Situation

Table 2. Top 10 Infected Countries

Table 3. Estimated Peak Weeks and Decline to Zero New Cases Weeks for Top Infected Countries (Excluding China)​

Figures

Figure 1. Projections of Daily New Confirmed Cases for Select Countries, Since 100th Confirmed Case​

Figure 2. South Africa, COVID-19 Daily New Cases, Men and Women, All Ages, Mar 6–July 26, 2020

Figure 3. Daily Confirmed COVID-19 Deaths in Mexico, Italy, and the UK, Men and Women, All Ages, May 1–July 26, 2020

Figure 4. Daily Confirmed COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in Iran and Globally, Men and Women, All Ages

Figure 5. Multi-Scenario of New Daily Confirmed Cases in Australia, Men and Women, All Ages, March 10–July 20, 2020

Figure 6. COVID-19 Serological Prevalence Estimates

Figure 7. Cumulative Confirmed Cases of Top Three Markets Reporting COVID-19 Cases

Figure 8. Estimated Proportion of Influenza-Related Hospitalizations Averted by Vaccination, Men and Women, All ages, 2019 (Pre-COVID-19)

Figure 9. 8MM, Diagnosed Incident Cases of CD, Men and Women, All Ages 

Frequently asked questions

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) – Epidemiology Analysis and Forecast – July 2020 thematic reports
Currency USD
$1,995

Can be used by individual purchaser only

$5,985

Can be shared globally by unlimited users within the purchasing corporation e.g. all employees of a single company


Undecided about purchasing this report?

Enquire Before Buying Request a Free Sample

Get in touch to find out about multi-purchase discounts

reportstore@globaldata.com
Tel +44 20 7947 2745

Every customer’s requirement is unique. With over 220,000 construction projects tracked, we can create a tailored dataset for you based on the types of projects you are looking for. Please get in touch with your specific requirements and we can send you a quote.

Sample Report

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) – Epidemiology Analysis and Forecast – July 2020 was curated by the best experts in the industry and we are confident about its unique quality. However, we want you to make the most beneficial decision for your business, so we offer free sample pages to help you:

  • Assess the relevance of the report
  • Evaluate the quality of the report
  • Justify the cost

Download your copy of the sample report and make an informed decision about whether the full report will provide you with the insights and information you need.

Below is a sample report to understand what you are buying

See what our customers are saying

“The GlobalData platform is our go-to tool for intelligence services. GlobalData provides an easy way to access comprehensive intelligence data around multiple sectors, which essentially makes it a one-for-all intelligence platform, for tendering and approaching customers.

GlobalData is very customer orientated, with a high degree of personalised services, which benefits everyday use. The highly detailed project intelligence and forecast reports can be utilised across multiple departments and workflow scopes, from operational to strategic level, and often support strategic decisions. GlobalData Analytics and visualisation solutions has contributed positively when preparing management presentations and strategic papers.”

Business Intelligence & Marketing Manager, SAL Heavy Lift

“COVID-19 has caused significant interference to our business and the COVID-19 intelligence from GlobalData has helped us reach better decisions around strategy. These two highlights have helped enormously to understand the projections into the future concerning our business units, we also utilise the project database to source new projects for Liebherr-Werk to use as an additional source to pitch for new business.”

Market Analyst & Management, Liebherr-Werk

Your daily news has saved me a lot of time and keeps me up-to-date with what is happening in the market, I like that you almost always have a link to the source origin. We also use your market data in our Strategic Business Process to support our business decisions. By having everything in one place on the Intelligence Center it has saved me a lot of time versus looking on different sources, the alert function also helps with this.

Head of Key Accounts, Saab AB

Having used several other market research companies, I find that GlobalData manages to provide that ‘difficult-to-get’ market data that others can’t, as well as very diverse and complete consumer surveys.

Marketing Intelligence Manager, Portugal Foods

Our experience with GlobalData has been very good, from the platform itself to the people. I find that the analysts and the account team have a high level of customer focus and responsiveness and therefore I can always rely on. The platform is more holistic than other providers. It is convenient and almost like a one stop shop. The pricing suite is highly competitive and value for our organisation.

I like reports that inform new segments such as the analysis on generation Z, millennials, the impact of COVID 19 to our banking customers and their new channel habits. Secondly the specialist insight on affluent sector significantly increases our understanding about this group of customers. The combination of those give us depth and breadth of the evolving market.

I’m in the business of answering and helping people make decisions so with the intelligence center I can do that, effectively and efficiently. I can share quickly key insights that answer and satisfy our country stakeholders by giving them many quality studies and primary research about competitive landscape beyond the outlook of our bank. It helps me be seen as an advisory partner and that makes a big difference. A big benefit of our subscription is that no one holds the whole data and because it allows so many people, so many different parts of our organisation have access, it enables all teams to have the same level of knowledge and decision support.

Head of Customer Insight and Research, Standard Chartered

“I know that I can always rely on Globaldata’s work when I’m searching for the right consumer and market insights. I use Globaldata insights to understand the changing market & consumer landscape and help create better taste & wellbeing solutions for our customers in food, beverage and healthcare industries.

Globaldata has the right data and the reports are of very high quality compared to your competitors. Globaldata not only has overall market sizes & consumer insights on food & beverages but also provides insights at the ingredient & flavour level. That is key for B2B companies like Givaudan. This way we understand our customers’ business and also gain insight to our unique industry”

Head of Consumer Sensory Insights, Givaudan

GlobalData provides a great range of information and reports on various sectors that is highly relevant, timely, easy to access and utilise.  The reports and data dashboards help engagement with clients; they provide valuable industry and market insights that can enrich client conversations and can help in the shaping of value propositions. Moreover, using GlobalData products has helped increase my knowledge of the finance sector, the players within it, and the general threats and opportunities.

I find the consumer surveys that are carried out to be extremely beneficial and not something I have seen anywhere else. They provided an insightful view of why and which consumers take (or don’t) particular financial products. This can help shape conversations with clients to ensure they make the right strategic decisions for their business.

One of the challenges I have found is that data in the payments space is often piecemeal. With GD all of the data I need is in one place, but it also comes with additional market reports that provide useful extra context and information. Having the ability to set-up alerts on relevant movements in the industry, be it competitors or customers, and have them emailed directly to me, ensures I get early sight of industry activity and don’t have to search for news.

Senior Account Manager, TSYS
Go even deeper with GlobalData Intelligence Center

Every Company Report we produce is powered by the GlobalData Intelligence Center.

Subscribing to our intelligence platform means you can monitor developments at Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) – Epidemiology Analysis and Forecast – July 2020 in real time.

  • Access a live Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) – Epidemiology Analysis and Forecast – July 2020 dashboard for 12 months, with up-to-the-minute insights.
  • Fuel your decision making with real-time deal coverage and media activity.
  • Turn insights on financials, deals, products and pipelines into powerful agents of commercial advantage.