Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) – Epidemiology Analysis and Forecast – July 2020
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All the vital news, analysis, and commentary curated by our industry experts.
Current Epidemiology Situation and Forecast
Globally, the total confirmed cases of COVID-19 have reached over 17 million with over 667,000 deaths and 9,964,000 recoveries.
The US continues to be the most affected country globally, with over 4.4 million cases. The US fell to ranking seventh globally in terms of per capita daily incident rates, however, the US is still ranked number one in terms of total daily incidence.
South Africa reported over 7,200 new confirmed cases of COVID-19 yesterday and over 7,000 new confirmed cases of COVID-19 on Tuesday. These are the two lowest daily incident rates reported by South Africa since the beginning of July, however, South Africa still remains as ranking fourth in total daily incident rates globally.
Increasing uncertainty of infection rates renders forecasting difficult in the worst-hit countries
Region Focus
The outlook for South Africa remains unclear as COVID-19 cases continue to rise.
Daily confirmed COVID-19 deaths in Mexico soar, with a cumulative count that has surpassed Italy and will surpass the UK.
Iran, unlike other countries, is experiencing a higher fatality rate during the second surge.
Australia's strategy of COVID-19 suppression may have proven effective
Special Topics
Hard-hit communities may be better protected against COVID-19 resurgence.
The US’ new COVID-19 data system is concerning, but could be significant tool in fight against coronavirus.
Co-infection of influenza and COVID-19, and lower rates of flu vaccination, are likely to increase hospitalizations.
Crohn's disease patients are at increased risk of COVID-19 infection.
Data Limitations
Testing availability and criteria differ significantly between countries.
The number of reported confirmed cases in all countries underestimates the actual number of infected people.
Mortality reporting is not standardized.
Antibody testing has limitations in accuracy and usefulness.
Scope
The epidemiology report covers the following areas: current epidemiology situation and forecast, region focus, special topics, and data limitations.
Key Highlights
The report provide forecast for peak-week and return-to-normal week that will help the reader plan in this uncertain time, and highlights important populations and regions most affected by the outbreak.
Reasons to Buy
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