Country Profile: Bakery & Cereals sector in Denmark

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GlobalData’s Country Profile report on the Bakery & Cereals sector in Denmark provides insights on high growth markets to target, trends in the usage of packaging materials, types and closures category level distribution data and brands market shares.

The Danish Bakery & Cereals sector is led by Bread & Rolls market, while Cookies (Sweet Biscuits) is expected to be the fastest growing category during the forecast period (2016-2021). Artisanal Producers account for the leading share, while Kohberg and Karenvolf are the leading brands in the sector. Hypermarkets & Supermarkets is the leading channel for the distribution of Bakery & Cereals in the country. Flexible Packaging is the most commonly used packaging material in the sector. Health & Wellness attributes such as ‘Naturally Healthy’ and ‘Food Minus’, and consumer benefits such as ‘General Wellbeing’ are the most sought after claims in the Danish Bakery & Cereals sector.

What else is contained?
– Market data: Overall market value and volume data with growth analysis for 2011-2021
– Category coverage: Value and growth analysis for Baking Ingredients, Baking Mixes, Bread & Rolls, Breakfast Cereals, ‘Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies’, Cereal Bars, Cookies (Sweet Biscuits), Dough Products, Energy Bars, Morning Goods, and Savory Biscuits with inputs on individual category share within each market and the change in their market share forecast for 2016-2021
– Leading players: Market share of brands and private labels, including private label growth analysis from 2011-2016
– Distribution data: Percentage of sales within each market through distribution channels such as Cash & Carries and warehouse Clubs, Hypermarkets & Supermarkets, Convenience Stores, Food & Drinks Specialists, eRetailers and others
– Packaging data: consumption breakdown for packaging materials and containers in each market, in terms of percentage share of number of units sold. Packaging material data for Glass, Flexible Packaging, Paper & Board, Rigid Plastics, and others; container data for: Film, Bag/Sachet, Tub, Box, Pouch, and Tin.

Scope

– The Danish Bakery & Cereals sector is led by Bread & Rolls in value and volume terms.

– Cookies (Sweet Biscuits) are expected to grow fastest during 2016-2021.

– The top five brands account for 19.6% of the market share by value in 2016; while Private labels account for 12.3% share in the same year.

– Flexible Packaging is the most commonly used packaging material in the sector.

– Hypermarkets & Supermarkets is the leading distribution channel for Bakery & Cereals sector in the country.

– The Danish Bakery & Cereals sector is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.9% during 2016-2021.

Reasons to Buy

– Identify high potential categories and explore further market opportunities based on detailed value and volume analysis

– Existing and new players can analyze key distribution channels to identify and evaluate trends and opportunities

– Gain an understanding of the total competitive landscape based on detailed brand share analysis to plan effective market positioning

– Manufacturers can identify the opportunities to position products with H&W attributes/benefits

– Access the key and most influential consumer trends driving Bakery & Cereals products consumption, and how they influence consumer behavior in the market which will help determine the best audiences to target

– Our team of analysts have placed a significant emphasis on changes expected in the market that will provide a clear picture of the opportunities that can be tapped over the next five years, resulting in revenue expansion

– The packaging analysis report helps manufacturers, in identifying the most commonly used packaging materials in the sector

– Analysis on key macro-economic indicators such as GDP per capita, population (overall and breakdown by age), and consumer price index. It also covers a comparative analysis of political, economic, socio-demographic, and technological indicators (PEST) across 50 countries.

Dr. August Oetker Kg
Haugen-Gruppen As
Scandic Food A/S
Barilla G. & R. Fratelli
Nestle S.A.
PepsiCo Inc.
Abdon Finax AB
Kavli Holding AS
Pågengruppen AB
Bright Food (Group) Co. Ltd.
Koff A/S
Bisca A/S
Mondelez International Inc

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

1. Report Scope 1

2. Executive summary 3

3. Denmark in the global and regional context 4

3.1. Denmark’s share in the Global and Western European Bakery & Cereals sector 4

3.2. Denmark compared to other leading countries in Western Europe 5

4. Market size analysis – Bakery & Cereals sector 6

4.1. Value and volume analysis – Bakery & Cereals sector in Denmark 6

4.2. Per capita consumption – Denmark compared to Western Europe and globally 7

4.3. Extent to which consumers are trading up/down 8

4.4. Value and volume analysis of markets in the Bakery & Cereals sector 9

4.5. Growth analysis by markets 10

5. Market and category analysis 11

5.1. Per capita consumption analysis by markets 11

5.2. Market analysis: Baking Ingredients 12

5.3. Market analysis: Baking Mixes 15

5.4. Market analysis: Bread & Rolls 18

5.5. Market analysis: Breakfast Cereals 20

5.6. Market analysis: Cakes Pastries & Sweet Pies 22

5.7. Market analysis: Cereal Bars 24

5.8. Market analysis: Cookies (Sweet Biscuits) 26

5.9. Market analysis: Dough Products 29

5.10. Market analysis: Energy Bars 31

5.11. Market analysis: Morning Goods 32

5.12. Market analysis: Savory Biscuits 34

6. Distribution analysis 36

6.1. Distribution channel share analysis: Bakery & Cereals 36

6.2. Distribution channel share analysis: Baking Ingredients 37

6.3. Distribution channel share analysis: Baking Mixes 38

6.4. Distribution channel share analysis: Bread & Rolls 39

6.5. Distribution channel share analysis: Breakfast Cereals 40

6.6. Distribution channel share analysis: Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies 41

6.7. Distribution channel share analysis: Cereals Bars 42

6.8. Distribution channel share analysis: Cookies (Sweet Biscuits) 43

6.9. Distribution channel share analysis: Dough Products 44

6.10. Distribution channel share analysis: Energy Bars 45

6.11. Distribution channel share analysis: Morning Goods 46

6.12. Distribution channel share analysis: Savory Biscuits 47

7. Competitive landscape 48

7.1. Brand share analysis by sector 48

7.2. Brand share analysis by markets 51

7.3. Brand share analysis by category 63

7.3.1. Baking Ingredients 63

7.3.2. Baking Mixes 65

7.3.3. Breakfast Cereals 67

7.3.4. Cereal Bars 68

7.3.5. Savory Biscuits 69

7.4. Private label share analysis 71

8. Health & Wellness analysis 73

8.1. Market size analysis by Health & Wellness claims 73

8.2. Market share analysis – Health & Wellness product attributes 74

8.3. Market size analysis – Health & Wellness consumer benefits 76

8.4. Leading companies in Danish Health & Wellness market 78

9. Packaging analysis 81

9.1. Packaging share and growth analysis by packaging material 81

9.2. Packaging share analysis by packaging material 82

9.3. Packaging share and growth analysis by container type 83

9.4. Packaging share analysis by container type 84

9.5. Packaging share and growth analysis by closure type 85

9.6. Packaging share analysis by closure type 86

9.7. Packaging share and growth analysis by outer type 87

9.8. Packaging share analysis by outer type 88

10. Macroeconomic analysis 89

10.1. GDP per Capita 92

10.2. Population and population growth 93

10.3. Consumer Price Index 94

10.4. Population breakdown by age 95

11. Consumergraphics 96

11.1. Consumption by Gender 96

11.2. Consumption by Age 97

11.3. Consumption by Education 98

11.4. Consumption by Urbanization 99

12. Methodology 100

13. Definitions 101

14. Appendix 115

15. About GlobalData 141

16. Disclaimer 142

17. Contact Us 143

Table

List of Tables

Table 1: Volume share of Denmark in the global and Western Europe Bakery & Cereals sector, 2011-2021 4

Table 2: Growth analysis by markets, 2016-2021 10

Table 3: Value analysis of Baking Ingredients market by categories, 2011-2021 13

Table 4: Volume analysis of Baking Ingredients market by categories, 2011-2021 14

Table 5: Value analysis of Baking Mixes market by categories, 2011-2021 16

Table 6: Value analysis by of Bread & Rolls market categories, 2011-2021 19

Table 7: Volume analysis of Bread & Rolls market by categories, 2011-2021 19

Table 8: Value analysis of Breakfast Cereals market by categories, 2011-2021 21

Table 9: Volume analysis of Breakfast Cereals market by categories, 2011-2021 21

Table 10: Value analysis of Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies market by categories, 2011-2021 23

Table 11: Volume analysis of Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies market by categories, 2011-2021 23

Table 12: Value analysis of Cereal Bars market by categories, 2011-2021 25

Table 13: Volume analysis of Cereal Bars market by categories, 2011-2021 25

Table 14: Value analysis of Cookies (Sweet Biscuits) market by categories, 2011-2021 27

Table 15: Volume analysis of Cookies (Sweet Biscuits) market by categories, 2011-2021 28

Table 16: Value analysis of Dough Products market by categories, 2011-2021 30

Table 17: Volume analysis of Dough Products market by categories, 2011-2021 30

Table 18: Value analysis of Morning Goods market by categories, 2011-2021 33

Table 19: Volume analysis of Morning Goods market by categories, 2011-2021 33

Table 20: Value analysis of Savory Biscuits market by categories, 2011-2021 35

Table 21: Volume analysis of Savory Biscuits market by categories, 2011-2021 35

Table 22: Brand Value and Volume – Bakery & Cereals sector 49

Table 23: Brand Value and Volume – Baking Ingredients market 51

Table 24: Brand Value and Volume – Baking Mixes market 52

Table 25: Brand Value and Volume – Bread & Rolls market 53

Table 26: Brand Value and Volume – Breakfast Cereals market 55

Table 27: Brand Value and Volume – Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies market 56

Table 28: Brand Value and Volume – Cereal Bars market 57

Table 29: Brand Value and Volume – Cookies (Sweet Biscuits) market 58

Table 30: Brand Value and Volume – Dough Products market 60

Table 31: Brand Value and Volume – Morning Goods market 61

Table 32: Brand Value and Volume – Savory Biscuits market 62

Table 33: Brand Value and Volume – Baking Chocolate Chips & Morsels category 63

Table 34: Brand Value and Volume – Baking Powder/Soda category 63

Table 35: Brand Value and Volume – Cake Decorations & Icing category 63

Table 36: Brand Value and Volume – Dry Yeast category 64

Table 37: Brand Value and Volume – Fruit Pectins and Glazed Fruit category 64

Table 38: Brand Value and Volume – Non-Chocolate Baking Chips category 64

Table 39: Brand Value and Volume – Other Baking Ingredients category 64

Table 40: Brand Value and Volume – Bread Mixes category 65

Table 41: Brand Value and Volume – Brownie Mixes category 65

Table 42: Brand Value and Volume – Cake Mixes category 65

Table 43: Brand Value and Volume – Dessert Mixes category 65

Table 44: Brand Value and Volume – Muffin Mixes category 66

Table 45: Brand Value and Volume – Pancake Mixes category 66

Table 46: Brand Value and Volume – Rolls/Biscuit Mixes category 66

Table 47: Brand Value and Volume – Other Baking Mixes category 66

Table 48: Brand Value and Volume – Hot Cereals category 67

Table 49: Brand Value and Volume – Ready-to-Eat Cereals category 67

Table 50: Brand Value and Volume – Granola/Muesli/Yogurt Bars category 68

Table 51: Brand Value and Volume – Other Cereal Bars category 68

Table 52: Brand Value and Volume – Bread Substitutes category 69

Table 53: Brand Value and Volume – Cheese-Flavored Crackers category 69

Table 54: Brand Value and Volume – Plain Crackers category 69

Table 55: Brand Value and Volume – Other Crackers category 70

Table 56: Consumption of Bakery & Cereals by Gender and markets (Kg Million, 2016) 96

Table 57: Consumption of Bakery & Cereals by age and markets (Kg Million, 2016) 97

Table 58: Consumption of Bakery & Cereals by education and markets (Kg Million, 2016) 98

Table 59 : Consumption of Bakery & Cereals by urbanization and markets (Kg Million, 2016) 99

Table 60: Market Definitions 101

Table 61: Category Definitions 102

Table 62: Category Definitions 103

Table 63: Category Definitions 104

Table 64: Category Definitions 105

Table 65: Channel Definitions 106

Table 66: Health & Wellness: Product Attributes-Food Minus 107

Table 67: Health & Wellness: Product Attributes – Free From 108

Table 68: Health & Wellness: Product Attributes – Functional & Fortified 109

Table 69: Health & Wellness: Product Attributes – Naturally Healthy 110

Table 70: Health & Wellness: Product Attributes – Food Intolerance 111

Table 71: Health & Wellness: Consumer Benefits – Health Management 112

Table 72: Health & Wellness: Analysis by Consumer Benefits 113

Table 73: Health & Wellness: Consumer Benefits – Performance 114

Table 74: Market Value for Baking Ingredients – by category (Kr Million) 2011-2021 115

Table 75: Market Value for Baking Ingredients – by category (Kr Million) 2011-2021 116

Table 76: Market Value for Baking Mixes – by category (Kr Million) 2011-2021 117

Table 77: Market Value for Bread & Rolls – by category (Kr Million) 2011-2021 117

Table 78: Market Value for Breakfast Cereals – by category (Kr Million) 2011-2021 118

Table 79: Market Value for Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies – by category (Kr Million) 2011-2021 118

Table 80: Market Value for Cereal Bars – by category (Kr Million) 2011-2021 119

Table 81: Market Value for Cookies (Sweet Biscuits) – by category (Kr Million) 2011-2021 119

Table 82: Market Value for Dough Products – by category (Kr Million) 2011-2021 120

Table 83: Market Value for Energy Bars – by category (Kr Million) 2011-2021 120

Table 84: Market Value for Morning Goods – by category (Kr Million) 2011-2021 120

Table 85: Market Value for Savory Biscuits – by category (Kr Million) 2011-2021 121

Table 86: Market Value for Baking Ingredients – by category (US$ Million) 2011-2021 122

Table 87: Market Value for Baking Mixes – by category (US$ Million) 2011-2021 123

Table 88: Market Value for Bread & Rolls – by category (US$ Million) 2011-2021 123

Table 89: Market Value for Breakfast Cereals – by category (US$ Million) 2011-2021 124

Table 90: Market Value for Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies – by category (US$ Million) 2011-2021 124

Table 91: Market Value for Cereal Bars – by category (US$ Million) 2011-2021 125

Table 92: Market Value for Cookies (Sweet Biscuits) – by category (US$ Million) 2011-2021 125

Table 93: Market Value for Dough Products – by category (US$ Million) 2011-2021 126

Table 94: Market Value for Energy Bars – by category (US$ Million) 2011-2021 126

Table 95: Market Value for Morning Goods – by category (US$ Million) 2011-2021 126

Table 96: Market Value for Savory Biscuits – by category (US$ Million) 2011-2021 127

Table 97: Market Value for Baking Ingredients – by category (Kg Million) 2011-2021 128

Table 98: Market Value for Baking Mixes – by category (Kg Million) 2011-2021 129

Table 99: Market Value for Bread & Rolls – by category (Kg Million) 2011-2021 130

Table 100: Market Value for Breakfast Cereals – by category (Kg Million) 2011-2021 131

Table 101: Market Value for Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies – by category (Kg Million) 2011-2021 131

Table 102: Market Value for Cereal Bars – by category (Kg Million) 2011-2021 132

Table 103: Market Value for Cookies (Sweet Biscuits) – by category (Kg Million) 2011-2021 132

Table 104: Market Value for Dough Products – by category (Kg Million) 2011-2021 133

Table 105: Market Value for Energy Bars – by category (Kg Million) 2011-2021 133

Table 106: Market Value for Morning Goods – by category (Kg Million) 2011-2021 133

Table 107: Market Value for Savory Biscuits – by category (Kg Million) 2011-2021 134

Table 108: Components of change- by Market 135

Table 109: Key Health & Wellness product attributes driving sales in Denmark (Kr Million) 136

Table 110: Key Health & Wellness consumer benefits driving sales in Denmark (Kr Million) 136

Table 111: Packaging Material (in Million pack units) 137

Table 112: Container Type (in Million pack units) 137

Table 113: Closure Type (in Million pack units) 138

Table 114: Outer Type (in Million pack units) 138

Table 115: Exchange Rates: (US$-Kr), 2011-2021 139

Table 116: GDP Per Capita (Kr) 139

Table 117: Population 140

Table 118: Consumer Price Index 140

Table 119: Age Profile (Millions of Persons) 140

Figures

List of Figures

Figure 1: Denmark compared to other top four countries in Western Europe – market size, growth, and competitive landscape 5

Figure 2: Market size analysis by value and volume, Bakery & Cereals sector, 2011-2021 6

Figure 3: Per capita consumption in Denmark compared to global and Western European average, 2011-2021 7

Figure 4: Degree of trading up/down in the Danish Bakery & Cereals sector, 2015-2016 8

Figure 5: Value and volume growth analysis by markets, 2016-2021 9

Figure 6: Per capita consumption (by markets) in Denmark compared to global and Western European average, 2016 11

Figure 7: Value and volume growth analysis, Baking Ingredients market, 2011-2021 12

Figure 8: Value and volume growth analysis, Baking Mixes market, 2011-2021 15

Figure 9: Value and volume growth analysis, Bread & Rolls market, 2011-2021 18

Figure 10: Value and volume growth analysis, Breakfast Cereals market, 2011-2021 20

Figure 11: Value and volume growth analysis, Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies market, 2011-2021 22

Figure 12: Value and volume growth analysis, Cereal Bars market, 2011-2021 24

Figure 13: Value and volume growth analysis, Cookies (Sweet Biscuits) market, 2011-2021 26

Figure 14: Value and volume growth analysis, Dough Products market, 2011-2021 29

Figure 15: Value and volume growth analysis, Energy Bars market, 2011-2021 31

Figure 16: Value and volume growth analysis, Morning Goods market, 2011-2021 32

Figure 17: Value and volume growth analysis, Savory Biscuits market, 2011-2021 34

Figure 18: Distribution channel share, Bakery & Cereals, 2011-2016 36

Figure 19: Distribution channel share, Baking Ingredients market, 2011-2016 37

Figure 20: Distribution channel share, Baking Mixes market, 2011-2016 38

Figure 21: Distribution channel share, Bread & Rolls market, 2011-2016 39

Figure 22: Distribution channel share, Breakfast Cereals market, 2011-2016 40

Figure 23: Distribution channel share, Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies market, 2011-2016 41

Figure 24: Distribution channel share, Cereal Bars market, 2011-2016 42

Figure 25: Distribution channel share, Cookies (Sweet Biscuits) market, 2011-2016 43

Figure 26: Distribution channel share, Dough Products market, 2011-2016 44

Figure 27: Distribution channel share, Energy Bars market, 2011-2016 45

Figure 28: Distribution channel share, Morning Goods market, 2011-2016 46

Figure 29: Distribution channel share, Savory Biscuits market, 2011-2016 47

Figure 30: Leading brands in the Danish Bakery & Cereals sector, value and volume share, 2016 48

Figure 31: Leading brands in the Baking Ingredients market, value and volume share, 2016 51

Figure 32: Leading brands in the Baking Mixes market, value and volume share, 2016 52

Figure 33: Leading brands in the Bread & Rolls market, value and volume share, 2016 53

Figure 34: Leading brands in the Breakfast Cereals market, value and volume share, 2016 54

Figure 35: Leading brands in the Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies market, value and volume share, 2016 56

Figure 36: Leading brands in the Cereal Bars market, value and volume share, 2016 57

Figure 37: Leading brands in the Cookies (Sweet Biscuits) market, value and volume share, 2016 58

Figure 38: Leading brands in the Dough Products market, value and volume share, 2016 60

Figure 39: Leading brands in the Morning Goods market, value and volume share, 2016 61

Figure 40: Leading brands in the Savory Biscuits market, value and volume share, 2016 62

Figure 41: Private label penetration by markets (value terms), 2016 71

Figure 42: Growth analysis, private label and brands, (2011-2016) 72

Figure 43: Value of Health & Wellness claims by market, US$ million, 2016-2021 73

Figure 44: Value analysis by Health & Wellness product attributes, 2016 74

Figure 45: Volume analysis by Health & Wellness product attributes, 2016 75

Figure 46: Value analysis by Health & Wellness consumer benefits, 2016 76

Figure 47: Volume analysis by Health & Wellness consumer benefits, 2016 77

Figure 48: Leading companies in the Health & Wellness market by value, 2016 -Bread & Rolls 78

Figure 49: Leading companies in the Health & Wellness market by value, 2016 – Breakfast Cereals 79

Figure 50: Leading companies in the Health & Wellness market by value, 2016 – Cakes, Cereal Bars 80

Figure 51: Packaging share and growth analysis by packaging material, 2011-2021 81

Figure 52: Use of packaging material by markets (in pack units), 2016 82

Figure 53: Packaging share and growth analysis by container type, 2011-2021 83

Figure 54: Use of container type by markets (in pack units), 2016 84

Figure 55: Packaging share and growth analysis by closure type, 2011-2021 85

Figure 56: Use of closure type by markets (in pack units), 2016 86

Figure 57: Packaging share and growth analysis by outer type, 2011-2021 87

Figure 58: Use of outer type by markets (in pack units), 2016 88

Figure 59: Relative comparison of countries based on PEST analysis 89

Figure 60: Denmark’s GDP per capita, 2011-2016 92

Figure 61 Population growth in Denmark, 2011-2016 93

Figure 62: Consumer Price Index, Denmark, 2010-2016 94

Figure 63: Age Profile, Denmark, 2016 95

Figure 64: Consumption of Bakery & Cereals by Gender, Denmark, 2016 96

Figure 65: Consumption of Bakery & Cereals by age, Denmark, 2016 97

Figure 66: Consumption of Bakery & Cereals by education, Denmark, 2016 98

Figure 67: Consumption of Bakery & Cereals by urbanization, Denmark, 2016 99

Figure 68: About GlobalData 141

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