EpiCast Report: Type 2 Diabetes – Epidemiology Forecast to 2026

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Type 2 diabetes (T2D), formerly known as non-insulin dependent diabetes mellitus or adult-onset diabetes mellitus, is a chronic disorder of glucose equilibrium that results from the body’s inability to make use of available insulin along with relative insulin deficiency. T2D constitutes approximately 90–95% of all diabetes cases around the world, while type 1 diabetes and gestational diabetes make up the remaining 5–10% of cases. Lifestyle factors such as obesity, physical inactivity, and dietary habits are modifiable risk factors, and can therefore be controlled or prevented. Non-modifiable risk factors such as race/ethnicity, family history, and advancing age can also put a person at high risk for developing the disease. T2D is also associated with several comorbidities including chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular disease, hypertension, and dyslipidemia.

In the 7MM, GlobalData epidemiologists forecast an increase in the diagnosed prevalent cases of T2D from 56,060,328 diagnosed prevalent cases in 2016 to 77,823,223 diagnosed prevalent cases in 2026, with an annual growth rate (AGR) of 3.88% during the forecast period. The US will have the highest number of diagnosed prevalent cases of T2D among the 7MM throughout the forecast period, while Italy will have the lowest.

GlobalData’s epidemiological forecast for the diagnosed prevalence of T2D in the 7MM is supported by longitudinal historical data, which provide detailed insights into the epidemiology of the disease in each market, from studies conducted in these respective countries. GlobalData epidemiologists used nationally representative, country-specific studies published in peer-reviewed journals or national healthcare databases to forecast the prevalent cases of diagnosed T2D in all of the 7MM. GlobalData epidemiologists also segment the diagnosed prevalent cases of T2D in each country by age and sex, and into the major comorbidities of T2D.

Scope

The Type 2 Diabetes (T2D) EpiCast Report and EpiCast Model provide an overview of the risk factors, comorbidities, and global trends of T2D in the 7MM (US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, and Japan). It includes a 10-year epidemiological forecast for the diagnosed prevalent cases of T2D segmented by age (for ages 20 years and older) and sex in these markets. Additionally, the report provides a forecast of the major comorbidities of T2D, such as chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular disease, obesity, hypertension, and dyslipidemia in the diagnosed T2D prevalent pool.

The T2D epidemiology report and model were written and developed by Masters- and PhD-level epidemiologists.

The EpiCast Report is in-depth, high quality, transparent and market-driven, providing expert analysis of disease trends in the 7MM.The EpiCast Model is easy to navigate, interactive with dashboards, and epidemiology-based with transparent and consistent methodologies. Moreover, the model supports data presented in the report and showcases disease trends over a 10-year forecast period using reputable sources.

Reasons to Buy

The T2D EpiCast series will allow you to:

Develop business strategies by understanding the trends shaping and driving the global T2D market.

Quantify patient populations in the global T2D market to improve product design, pricing, and launch plans.

Organize sales and marketing efforts by identifying the age groups and sex that present the best opportunities for T2D therapeutics in each of the markets covered.

Identify the percentage of T2D diagnosed prevalent cases by age, sex, and major comorbid disorders.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents

1.1 List of Tables

1.2 List of Figures

2 Executive Summary

2.1 Related Reports

2.2 Upcoming Reports

3 Epidemiology

3.1 Disease Background

3.2 Risk Factors and Comorbidities

3.3 Global and Historical Trends

3.4 Forecast Methodology

3.4.1 Sources

3.4.2 Forecast Assumptions and Methods

3.4.3 Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D

3.5 Epidemiological Forecast for T2D (2016–2026)

3.5.1 Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D

3.5.2 Age-Specific Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D

3.5.3 Sex-Specific Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D

3.5.4 Comorbidities Among the Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D

3.6 Discussion

3.6.1 Epidemiological Forecast Insight

3.6.2 Limitations of Analysis

3.6.3 Strengths of Analysis

4 Appendix

4.1 Bibliography

4.2 About the Authors

4.2.1 Epidemiologist

4.2.2 Reviewers

4.2.3 Global Director of Therapy Analysis and Epidemiology

4.2.4 Global Head and EVP of Healthcare Operations and Strategy

4.3 About GlobalData

4.4 Contact Us

4.5 Disclaimer

Table

Table 1: Risk Factors and Comorbidities for T2D.

Table 2: 7MM, Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D, Ages ≥20 Years, Both Sexes, N, Selected Years 2016–2026

Figures

Figure 1: 7MM, Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D, Both Sexes, Ages ≥20 Years, 2016 and 2026

Figure 2: 7MM, Age-Standardized Diagnosed Prevalence (%) of T2D, Men, Ages ≥20 Years, 2006–2026

Figure 3: 7MM, Age-Standardized Diagnosed Prevalence (%) of T2D, Women, Ages ≥20 Years, 2006–2026

Figure 4: 7MM, Sources Used and Not Used, Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D

Figure 5: 7MM, Sources Used, Prevalent Cases of CKD Among the Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D

Figure 6: 7MM, Sources Used, Prevalent Cases of CVD Among the Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D

Figure 7: 7MM, Sources Used, Prevalent Cases of Obesity Among the Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D

Figure 8: 7MM, Sources Used, Prevalent Cases of Hypertension Among the Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D

Figure 9: 7MM, Sources Used, Prevalent Cases of Dyslipidemia Among the Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D

Figure 10: 7MM, Age-Specific Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D, Ages ≥20 Years, Both Sexes, N, 2016

Figure 11 : 7MM, Sex-Specific Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D, Ages ≥20 Years, N, 2016

Figure 12: 7MM, Prevalent Cases of CKD Among the Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D, Ages ≥20 Years, Both Sexes, N, 2016

Figure 13: 7MM, Prevalent Cases of CVD Among the Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D, Ages ≥20 Years, Both Sexes, N, 2016

Figure 14: 7MM, Prevalent Cases of Obesity Among the Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D, Ages ≥20 Years, Both Sexes, N, 2016

Figure 15:7MM, Prevalent Cases of Hypertension Among the Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D, Ages ≥20 Years, Both Sexes, N, 2016

Figure 16: 7MM, Prevalent Cases of Dyslipidemia Among the Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of T2D, Ages ≥20 Years, Both Sexes, N, 2016

Frequently asked questions

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