Future of the French Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

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The Future of the French Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023, published by Strategic Defense Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the The French defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following –
– The French defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the French defense industry during 2019-2023, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country’s expenditure and modernization patterns
– Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
– Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years
– Market opportunities:list of the top ten defense investment opportunities over the next 5 years
– Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the French defense industry

Scope

– French military expenditure, which stands at US$52.1 billion in 2018, is anticipated to register a CAGR of 4.14% during the forecast period to value US$64.0 billion in 2023.

– The country, being a permanent member of the UN Security Council and NATO, is one of the highest contributors. Therefore, this active participation in international affairs requires higher spending on the defense sector.

– This, coupled with the country’s efforts in terms of replacing aging military equipment, along with modernizing defense forces with advanced technology equipment, is expected to drive defense expenditure over the forecast period.

– As a percentage of GDP, the country’s defense expenditure is expected to average 2.2% over 2019-2023.

Reasons to Buy

– This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the French defense industry market trends for the coming five years

– The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

– Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

– A deep qualitative analysis of the French defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Key Trends , and latest industry contracts

Dassault Aviation
Thales
Constructions Mécaniques de Normandie (CMN)
EuroTorp
Airbus Defense and Space
Safran Group
Nexter Systems
MBDA
Airbus Helicopters
Naval Group
Renault Truck Defense.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

1. Introduction 9

1.1. What is this Report About? 9

1.2. Definitions 9

1.3. Summary Methodology 11

1.4. About Strategic Defense Intelligence 12

2. Executive Summary 13

3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities 15

3.1. Current Market Scenario 16

3.1.1. Primary Threat Perception 16

3.1.2. Military Doctrine & Strategy 18

3.1.3. Military Fleet Size 21

3.1.4. Procurement Programs 26

3.1.5. Ongoing Procurement programs 26

3.1.6. Future Procurement Programs 28

3.1.7. Top Procurement Programs by Value (US$ Million) 2018-2023 29

3.1.8. Social, Political and Economic Environment & Support for Defense Projects 30

3.1.9. Political & Strategic Alliances 31

3.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast 32

3.2.1. French total defense expenditure, including pensions, to grow at a CAGR of

4.14% during 2019-2023 32

3.2.2. French defense budget, excluding pensions, to grow at a CAGR of

4.43% during 2019-2023 34

3.2.3. International peacekeeping operation contributions and armed forces modernization programs drive the French defense industry 36

3.2.4. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP will remain at an average of

1.70% over the forecast period 37

3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 39

3.3.1. Share of capital expenditure is expected to increase during the forecast period 39

3.3.2. Capital expenditure is anticipated to record a CAGR of

4.66% over the forecast period 41

3.3.3. The army accounted for the largest percentage share of the overall French defense budget 43

3.3.4. Army to continue accounting for the majority share of the France defense budget 45

3.3.5. French per capita defense expenditure to increase during the forecast period 49

3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast 51

3.4.1. France’s homeland security market is expected to grow at a CAGR of

2.24% over the forecast period 51

3.4.2. Counter terrorism activities, cyber security, police modernization, and gendarmerie drives France’s homeland security expenditure 53

3.4.3. France falls under the “highly affected” category in the terrorism index 55

3.4.4. France faces threats from terrorist organizations 56

3.4.5. France has a terrorism index score of

6.0 58

3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets 59

3.5.1. France ranks highly among the major global defense markets 59

3.5.2. France is expected to remain among the top 10 defense spending countries in the world 61

3.5.3. French defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to decline over the forecast period 62

3.6. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Drivers 63

3.6.1. Top 10 Defense Market Sectors by Value (US$ Million) – Projections over period 2018-2023 63

3.6.2. Physical Security 64

3.6.3. Land-based C4ISR 65

3.6.4. Military IT-Networking 66

3.6.5. Transport Aircraft 67

4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics 68

4.1. Import Market Dynamics 69

4.1.1. Domestic companies are key equipment suppliers to the French Ministry of Defense 69

4.1.2. The US, Spain, and the Netherlands are France’s major suppliers 70

4.1.3. Aircraft and missiles accounted for a total share of

60.3% in terms of French defense imports 71

4.2. Export Market Dynamics 72

4.2.1. France ranked fifth among the countries with the highest volume of defense exports 72

4.2.2. Asian countries are the major prospects for French defense exports 73

4.2.3. Aircraft accounted for a large share of French defense exports during 2011-2015 74

5. Industry Dynamics 75

5.1. Five Forces Analysis 75

5.1.1. Bargaining Power of Supplier: Low 76

5.1.2. Bargaining Power of Buyer: High 76

5.1.3. Barrier to Entry: High 76

5.1.4. Intensity of Rivalry: Medium to High 76

5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: Medium 76

6. Market Entry Strategy 77

6.1. Market Regulation 77

6.1.1. No formal offset policy in France 77

6.1.2. Foreign direct investment in the defense sector and transfer of defense-related products are subject to prior authorization 77

6.2. Market Entry Route 78

6.2.1. Budgeting Process 78

6.2.2. Procurement Policy and Process 79

6.2.3. Foreign Military Sales (FMS) to France 80

6.2.4. Collaborations provide market entry opportunities 80

6.2.5. Joint equipment programs favored by the French government 81

6.3. Key Challenges 82

6.3.1. Increased preference for domestic and European defense companies impedes the entry of non-European firms 82

6.3.2. Increased cost overruns and delays in product delivery 82

7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights 83

7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview 83

7.2. Key Public Sector Companies 86

7.2.1. Dassault Aviation: Overview 86

7.2.2. Dassault Aviation: Product Focus 86

7.2.3. Dassault Aviation: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 86

7.2.4. Dassault Aviation: Alliances 89

7.2.5. Dassault Aviation: Recent Contract Wins 90

7.2.6. Dassault Aviation: Financial Analysis 91

7.2.7. Thales: Overview 93

7.2.8. Thales: Major Products and Services 93

7.2.9. Thales: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 95

7.2.10. Thales: Alliances 99

7.2.11. Thales: Recent Contract Wins 101

7.2.12. Thales: Financial Analysis 105

7.2.13. Constructions Mécaniques de Normandie (CMN): Overview 107

7.2.14. Constructions Mécaniques de Normandie (CMN): Product Focus 107

7.2.15. Constructions Mécaniques de Normandie (CMN): Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 107

7.2.16. Constructions Mécaniques de Normandie (CMN): Alliances 108

7.2.17. Constructions Mécaniques de Normandie (CMN): Recent Contract Wins 108

7.2.18. EuroTorp: Overview 109

7.2.19. EuroTorp: Product Focus 109

7.2.20. EuroTorp: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 110

7.2.21. EuroTorp: Alliances 110

7.2.22. EuroTorp: Recent Contract Wins 110

7.2.23. Airbus Defense and Space: Overview 112

7.2.24. Airbus Defense and Space: Major Products and Services 112

7.2.25. Airbus Defense and Space: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives. 114

7.2.26. Airbus Defense and Space: Alliances 117

7.2.27. Airbus Defense and Space: Recent Contract Wins 118

7.2.28. Safran Group: Overview 121

7.2.29. Safran Group: Product Focus 121

7.2.30. Safran Group: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 122

7.2.31. Safran Group: Alliances 124

7.2.32. Safran Group: Recent Contract Wins 125

7.2.33. Safran Group: Financial Analysis 128

7.2.34. Nexter Systems: Overview 130

7.2.35. Nexter Systems: Product Focus 130

7.2.36. Nexter Systems: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 130

7.2.37. Nexter Systems: Alliances 131

7.2.38. Nexter Systems: Recent Contract Wins 132

7.2.39. MBDA: Overview 134

7.2.40. MBDA: Product Focus 134

7.2.41. MBDA: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 135

7.2.42. MBDA: Alliances 138

7.2.43. MBDA: Recent Contract Wins 139

7.2.44. Airbus Helicopters: Overview 141

7.2.45. Airbus Helicopters: Product Focus 141

7.2.46. Airbus Helicopters: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 142

7.2.47. Airbus Helicopters: Alliances 143

7.2.48. Airbus Helicopters: recent contract wins 144

7.2.49. Naval Group: Overview 146

7.2.50. Naval Group: Major Products and Services 146

7.2.51. Naval Group: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 147

7.2.52. Naval Group: Alliances 148

7.2.53. Naval Group: Recent Contract Wins 149

7.2.54. Renault Truck Defense: Overview 151

7.2.55. Renault Truck Defense: Product Focus 151

7.2.56. Renault Truck Defense: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 151

7.2.57. Renault Truck Defense: Alliances 153

7.2.58. Renault Truck Defense: Recent Contract Wins 153

8. Business Environment and Country Risk 155

8.1. Economic Performance 155

8.1.1. GDP Per Capita at Constant Prices (US$) 155

8.1.2. GDP at Current Prices (US$) 156

8.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion) 157

8.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services (LCU) 158

8.1.5. Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Billion) 159

8.1.6. LCU per US$ (Period Average) 160

8.1.7. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion) 161

8.1.8. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (Percentage of GDP) 162

8.1.9. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as a Percentage of GDP (LCU) 163

8.1.10. Goods Exports and Imports as a Percentage of GDP 164

8.1.11. Services Imports and Exports as a Percentage of GDP 165

8.1.12. Foreign Direct Investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billion) 166

8.1.13. Net Foreign Direct Investment as a Percentage of GDP 167

8.1.14. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ billion) 168

9. Appendix 169

9.1. About SDI 169

9.2. Disclaimer 169

Table

List of Tables

Table 1: French Army Strength 21

Table 2: French Navy Strength 23

Table 3: French Air Force Strength 25

Table 4: French – Ongoing Development and Procurement Programs 26

Table 5: French – Future Procurement Programs 28

Table 6: Top French Defense Procurement Programs by Value (US$ Million) 2018-2023 29

Table 7: France Defense Expenditure (EUR billion & US$ billion), 2014-2023 32

Table 8: France Defense Budget Allocations Excluding Pensions (EUR billion & US$ billion), 2014-2023 34

Table 9: France GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2014-2023 37

Table 10: France Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 39

Table 11: France Defense Capital Expenditure (EUR Billion & US$ Billion), 2014-2023 41

Table 12: French Defense Budget Split Between Army, Navy, Air Force and Common Services, 2014-2023 43

Table 13: French Defense Budget in EUR Billion – Breakdown by Services (Army, Navy, Air Force and Common Services) 2014-2023 45

Table 14: French Defense Budget in US$ Billion – Breakdown by Services (Army, Navy, Air Force and Common Services) 2014-2023 47

Table 15: French Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023 49

Table 16: France Homeland Security Expenditure (EUR billion& US$ billion), 2014-2023 51

Table 17: Terrorism Index, 2018 56

Table 18: Benchmarking with Key Markets – 2014-2018 vs. 2019-2023 59

Table 19: Top 10 The France’s Defense Market Sectors by Value (US$ Million) – 2018-2023 63

Table 20: French Budget Formation Timetable 78

Table 21: FMS deals to France 80

Table 22: French Participation in International Defense Equipment Development Collaborations 81

Table 23: Top 10 Defense Suppliers in The French Defense Industry – By Value (US$ Million) 2018-2023 83

Table 24: Competitive Landscape of the French Defense Industry 84

Table 25: Dassault Aviation – Product Focus 86

Table 26: Dassault Aviation – Alliances 89

Table 27: Dassault Aviation – Recent Contract Wins 90

Table 28: Thales – Major Products and Services 93

Table 29: Thales – Alliances 99

Table 30: Thales – Recent Contract Wins 101

Table31: Dassault Aviation – Product focus 107

Table 32: Constructions Mécaniques de Normandie (CMN) – Alliances 108

Table 33: Constructions Mécaniques de Normandie (CMN) – Recent Contract Wins 108

Table 34: Dassault Aviation – Product Focus 109

Table 35: EuroTorp – Alliances 110

Table 36: EuroTorp – Recent Contract Wins 110

Table 37: Airbus Defense and Space – Major Products and Services 112

Table 38: Airbus Defense and Space – Alliances 117

Table 39: Airbus Defense and Space – Recent Contract Wins 118

Table 40: Safran Technologies – Product Focus 121

Table 41: Safran Group – Alliances 124

Table 42: Safran Group – Recent Contract Wins 125

Table 43: Nexter Systems – Product Focus 130

Table 44: Nexter Systems – Alliances 131

Table 45: Nexter Systems – Recent Contract Wins 132

Table 46: MBDA – Product Focus 134

Table 47: MBDA – Alliances 138

Table 48: MBDA – Recent Contract Wins 139

Table 49: Airbus Helicopters – Product Focus 141

Table50:Airbus Helicopters – Alliances 143

Table51:Airbus Helicopters – Recent Contract Wins 144

Table 52: Naval Group – Major Products and Services 146

Table 53: Naval Group – Alliances 148

Table 54: Naval Group – Recent Contract Wins 149

Table 55: Renault Truck Defense – Product Focus 151

Table 56: Renault Truck Defense – Alliances 153

Table 57: Renault Truck Defense – Recent Contract Wins 153

Figures

List of Figures

Figure 1: France Defense Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2014-2023 33

Figure 2: France Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 33

Figure 3: France Defense Budget Allocations Excluding Pensions (EUR Billion), 2014-2023 35

Figure 4: France Defense Budget Allocations Excluding Pensions (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 35

Figure 5: France GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2014-2023 38

Figure 6: France Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),2014-2023 40

Figure 7: France Defense Capital Expenditure (EUR billion), 2014-2023 42

Figure 8: France Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 42

Figure 9: French Defense Budget Split Between Army, Navy, Air Force and Common Services, 2014-2023 44

Figure 10: The French Defense Budget in EUR Billion – Breakdown by Services (Army, Navy, Air Force and Common Services) 2014-2023 46

Figure 11: The French Defense Budget in US$ Billion – Breakdown by Services (Army, Navy, Air Force and Common Services) 2014-2023 48

Figure 12: French Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023 50

Figure 13: French Homeland Security Expenditure (EUR billion), 2014-2023 52

Figure 14: French Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2014-2023 52

Figure 15: Terrorism Heat Map, 2018 55

Figure 16: Terrorism Index, 2018 58

Figure 17: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2014-2018 vs. 2019-2023 60

Figure 18: Defense Expenditure of the World’s Largest Military Spenders (US$ billion), 2018 and 2023 61

Figure 19: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2018 62

Figure 20: Physical Security Market Size (US$ Billion), 2018-2023 64

Figure 21: Land-based C4ISR Market Size (US$ Billion), 2018-2023 65

Figure 22: Military-IT Networking Market Size (US$ Billion), 2018-2023 66

Figure 23: Transport Aircraft Market Size (US$ Billion), 2018-2023 67

Figure 24: France’s Defense Procurements in Terms Of Their Supplier Relationships 68

Figure 25: French Defense Import Trend (US$ Million), 2012-2016 (TIV values*) 69

Figure 26: French Defense Imports by Country (%), 2012-2016 70

Figure 27: French Defense Imports by Category (%), 2012-2016 71

Figure 28: French Defense Export Trend (US$ Million), 2012-2016 (TIV values) 72

Figure 29: French Defense Exports by Country (%), 2012-2016 73

Figure 30: French Defense Exports by Category (%), 2012-2016 74

Figure 31: Industry Dynamics – Porter’s Five Forces Analysis 75

Figure 32: Dassault Aviation – Revenue Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2012-2016 91

Figure 33: Dassault Aviation – Operating Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2012-2016 91

Figure 34: Dassault Aviation – Net income Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2012-2016 92

Figure 35: Thales – Revenue Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2012-2016 105

Figure 36: Thales – Operating Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2012-2016 106

Figure 37: Thales – Net Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2012-2016 106

Figure 38: Safran Group – Revenue Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2012-2016 128

Figure 39: Safran Group – Operating Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2012-2016 128

Figure 40: Safran Group – Net Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2012-2016 129

Figure 41: French GDP Per Capita at Constant Prices (US$), 2015-2025 155

Figure 42: France GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2015-2025 156

Figure 43: French Exports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 157

Figure 44: French Imports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 158

Figure 45: French Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Billion), 2005-2013 159

Figure 46: French LCU per US$, 2015-2024 160

Figure 47: French Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2005-2012 161

Figure 48: French Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP), 2005-2012 162

Figure 49: French Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as a % of GDP (LCU), 2005-2012 163

Figure 50: French Goods Exports and Imports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014 164

Figure 51: French Services imports and Exports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014 165

Figure 52: French Foreign Direct Investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billion), 2005-2014 166

Figure 53: French Net Foreign Direct Investment as a % of GDP, 2005-2014 167

Figure 54: French Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ Billion), 2005-2014 168

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