Global Construction Outlook 2021

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The pace of expansion in the global construction industry steadied in 2016, standing at 2.4%, but there will be an improvement in the next five years, with growth averaging 2.8%. The pick-up will reflect trends in the wider economy; in 2017–2021, the world economy is set to expand by close to 3% per year on average.

However, there a number of key risks; most notable is how the Chinese authorities will rein in credit growth and manage the ensuing economic slowdown, and how investors in advanced economies will respond to the shift towards monetary policy normalization, particularly in view of the likely pick-up in inflation as commodity prices bounce back.

In real value terms (measured at constant 2010 US$ exchange rates), global construction output reached US$8.8 trillion in 2016 – up from US$7.9 trillion in 2012 – and will stand at US$10.1 trillion in 2021. The value of construction activity in the emerging world (at real 2010 US$ exchange rates) surpassed that of advanced economies in 2014, and this difference will continue to widen. In 2012, emerging markets accounted for 46.7% of global output – a share that will rise to 52.8% by 2021. Asia-Pacific will continue to account for the largest share of the global construction industry, given that it includes the large markets of China, Japan and India.

However, the pace of growth will slow, given the relative sluggishness in China’s construction industry, the expansion of which will be undermined by the glut of new residential property. The emerging markets of Southeast Asia will invest heavily in new infrastructure projects, supported by private investment.

Scope

  • An overview of the global economic outlook to 2021
  • Analysis of the outlook for the construction industry in six major global regions: North America, Latin America, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Asia-Pacific and the Middle East and Africa
  • A comprehensive benchmarking of 50 leading construction markets according to construction market value and economic growth
  • Comparative global rankings for construction output. This includes data on the ranking change and average percentage change for construction output for the review period (2012 to 2016), in addition to projections for the forecast period (2017 to 2021)
  • An evaluation of global construction risk incorporating five key parameters: market risk, operating risk, economic risk, financial risk and political risk
  • Profiles of the 50 leading construction markets, providing highlights of market growth forecasts and focus points

Key Highlights

What value will the global construction industry attain in 2021?

How much of global output was accounted for by emerging markets in 2016, and how is this share anticipated to rise by 2021?

Which region will continue to account for the largest share of the global construction industry?

Which emerging markets will have the fastest growing construction industries over the next five years?

Which countries present the highest levels of risk in terms of the expansion in construction activity?

Reasons to buy

  • Determine competitive risk based on insights from GlobalData’s Construction Risk Index and realign business strategy, while being aware of any potential barriers to expansion plans.
  • Evaluate regional construction trends from insight on output values and forecast data to 2021. Identify the fastest growers to enable assessment and targeting of commercial opportunities in the markets best suited to strategic focus.
  • Identify the drivers in the global construction market and consider growth in emerging and developed economies. Formulate plans on where and how to engage with the market while minimizing any negative impact on revenues.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Global Economic Outlook

2.1. Solid growth in the global economy

2.2. Risks abound for emerging markets

3. Global Construction ...

1. Executive Summary

2. Global Economic Outlook

2.1. Solid growth in the global economy

2.2. Risks abound for emerging markets

3. Global Construction Outlook

3.1. Ongoing Recovery

3.2. North America

3.3. Western Europe

3.4. Eastern Europe

3.5. Asia-Pacific

3.6. Middle East and Africa

3.7. Latin America

4. Global Construction Risk Review

4.1. Highlights

4.2. Market Risk

4.3. Operating Risk

4.4. Economic Risk

4.5. Financial Risk

4.6. Political Risk

4.7. CRI Methodology Brief

5. Asia-Pacific

5.1. Australia

5.2. China

5.3. Hong Kong

5.4. India

5.5. Indonesia

5.6. Japan

5.7. Malaysia

5.8. The Philippines

5.9. Singapore

5.10. South Korea

5.11. Thailand

5.12. Vietnam

6. Western Europe

6.1. Austria

6.2. Belgium

6.3. Denmark

6.4. Finland

6.5. France

6.6. Germany

6.7. Greece

6.8. Ireland

6.9. Italy

6.10. The Netherlands

6.11. Portugal

6.12. Spain

6.13. Sweden

6.14. Switzerland

6.15. The UK

7. Eastern Europe

7.1. The Czech Republic

7.2. Hungary

7.3. Poland

7.4. Romania

7.5. Russia

7.6. Turkey

8. North America

8.1. Canada

8.2. The US

9. Latin America

9.1. Argentina

9.2. Brazil

9.3. Chile

9.4. Colombia

9.5. Mexico

9.6. Peru

9.7. Venezuela

10. The Middle East and Africa

10.1. Algeria

10.2. Egypt

10.3. Morocco

10.4. Nigeria

10.5. Qatar

10.6. Saudi Arabia

10.7. South Africa

10.8. The UAE

11. Appendix

11.1. About The Construction Intelligence Center

11.2. Disclaimer

11.3. Main Sources of Data

List of tables

Table 1: North America – Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion)

Table 2: Western Europe – Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion)

Table 3: Eastern Europe – Construction Output (2010 ...

Table 1: North America – Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion)

Table 2: Western Europe – Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion)

Table 3: Eastern Europe – Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion)

Table 4: Asia-Pacific – Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion)

Table 5: Middle East and Africa – Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion)

Table 6: Latin America – Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion)

Table 7: Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion), Global Ranking by Value

Table 8: Construction Risk Index, Q1 2017

Table 9: Australia – Key Indicators

Table 10: China – Key Indicators

Table 11: Hong Kong – Key Indicators

Table 12: India – Key Indicators

Table 13: Indonesia – Key Indicators

Table 14: Japan – Key Indicators

Table 15: Malaysia – Key Indicators

Table 16: Philippines – Key Indicators

Table 17: Singapore – Key Indicators

Table 18: South Korea – Key Indicators

Table 19: Thailand – Key Indicators

Table 20: Vietnam – Key Indicators

Table 21: Austria – Key Indicators

Table 22: Belgium – Key Indicators

Table 23: Denmark – Key Indicators

Table 24: Finland – Key Indicators

Table 25: France – Key Indicators

Table 26: Germany – Key Indicators

Table 27: Greece – Key Indicators

Table 28: Ireland – Key Indicators

Table 29: Italy – Key Indicators

Table 30: The Netherlands – Key Indicators

Table 31: Portugal – Key Indicators

Table 32: Spain – Key Indicators

Table 33: Sweden – Key Indicators

Table 34: Switzerland – Key Indicators

Table 35: The UK – Key Indicators

Table 36: The Czech Republic – Key Indicators

Table 37: Hungary – Key Indicators

Table 38: Poland – Key Indicators

Table 39: Romania – Key Indicators

Table 40: Russia – Key Indicators

Table 41: Turkey – Key Indicators

Table 42: Canada – Key Indicators

Table 43: US – Key Indicators

Table 44: Argentina – Key Indicators

Table 45: Brazil – Key Indicators

Table 46: Chile – Key Indicators

Table 47: Colombia – Key Indicators

Table 48: Mexico – Key Indicators

Table 49: Peru – Key Indicators

Table 50: Venezuela – Key Indicators

Table 51: Algeria – Key Indicators

Table 52: Egypt – Key Indicators

Table 53: Morocco – Key Indicators

Table 54: Nigeria – Key Indicators

Table 55: Qatar – Key Indicators

Table 56: Saudi Arabia – Key Indicators

Table 57: South Africa – Key Indicators

Table 58: The UAE – Key Indicators

Table 59: Main sources of data

List of figures

Figure 1: North America, Construction Output Value (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007–2020

Figure 2: Eastern Europe Construction Output Value (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007 ...

Figure 1: North America, Construction Output Value (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007–2020

Figure 2: Eastern Europe Construction Output Value (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007–2020

Figure 3: Western Europe Construction Output Value (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007–2020

Figure 4: Middle East and Africa Construction Output Value (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007–2020

Figure 5: Asia-Pacific Construction Output Value (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 6: Latin America Construction Output Value (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007–2020

Figure 7: Global Economic Growth, 2010–2021

Figure 8: Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 9: Construction Output Growth, 2012–2016 and 2017–2021

Figure 10: Construction Output (average% change, 2012–2016)

Figure 11: Construction Output (average% change, 2017–2021)

Figure 12: Global Risk Review

Figure 13: Regional Risk, Q1 2017

Figure 14: Australia – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 15: China – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 16: Hong Kong – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 17: India – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 18: Indonesia – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 19: Japan – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 20: Malaysia – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007–2020

Figure 21: Philippines – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 22: Singapore – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 23: South Korea – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 24: Thailand – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 25: Vietnam – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 26: Austria – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 27: Belgium – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 28: Denmark – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 29: Finland – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 30: France – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 31: Germany – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 32: Greece – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 33: Ireland – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 34: Italy – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007–2020

Figure 35: The Netherlands – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 36: Portugal— Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 37: Spain – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 38: Sweden – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 39: Switzerland – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 40: The UK – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 41: The Czech Republic – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 42: Hungary – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 43: Poland – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 44: Romania – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 45: Russia – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 46: Turkey – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 47: Canada – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 48: US – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 49: Argentina – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 50: Brazil – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 51: Chile – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 52: Colombia – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 53: Mexico – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 54: Peru – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 55: Venezuela – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007–2020

Figure 56: Algeria – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 57: Egypt – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 58: Morocco – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 59: Nigeria – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 60: Qatar – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 61: Saudi Arabia – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 62: South Africa – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

Figure 63: The UAE – Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010–2021

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