Construction in Ukraine – Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022

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Following four years of contraction, the Ukrainian construction industry rebounded in 2016 and registered annual growth of 17.4% in real terms. This momentum continued in 2017 with a growth rate of 35.4%, driven by improving investor confidence and a declining budget deficit, which supported new investments in residential, infrastructure and commercial construction projects.

The industry is expected to continue to expand over the forecast period (2018–2022) as the government continues to implement major structural reforms to revitalize the economy growth. This is expected to restore business confidence and drive funds towards construction projects. Moreover, the government’s large-scale investments in transport, energy and residential infrastructure projects will also drive industry growth over the forecast period.

The industry’s output value in real terms increased at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.63% during the review period (2013–2017), and is expected to post a CAGR of 12.57% over the forecast period.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Ukraine. It provides:

  • Historical (2013–2017) and forecast (2018–2022) valuations of the construction industry in Ukraine, featuring details of key growth drivers.
  • Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
  • Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants

Key Highlights

  • GlobalData expects the infrastructure construction market to retain its leading position over the forecast period, with a share of 40.1% of the industry’s total value in 2022. In January 2018, the government announced plans to spend UAH323.8 billion (US$11.4 billion) on the construction of road infrastructure by 2023. Under this, the government plans to modernize 9,100km of highways and completely renovate 1,000km of roads across the country by 2023.
  • In January 2018, to support economic development and growth, the government launched the Digital Economy Strategy. Through this, the government aims to create investment opportunities, and ensure social and economic inclusion. Accordingly, the government is planning to ensure digitalization in the sectors such as medical, education, ecology, transport and infrastructure by 2021. It also plans to equip 80% of households with a high speed broadband connection by 2021. This will support construction activity in the telecommunications category.
  • GlobalData expects the energy and utilities construction market output to record a forecast-period CAGR of 19.73% in nominal terms, driven by the government’s focus on increasing country’s renewable energy generation capacity. The government plans to increase the share of renewable energy in the country’s total energy mix from 4.0% in 2017 to 25.0% by 2035. To meet this target, the government aims to invest UAH210.0 billion (US$7.9 billion) annually by 2035.
  • In 2017, PrivatBank, a large commercial bank in Ukraine, signed a contract with State Mortgage Institution with the aim to increasing the lending process for the construction of affordable houses. In addition, Citic, a Chinese state-owned company, sanctioned a loan of UAH327.7 billion (US$15.0 billion) to the government for the construction of affordable houses until by 2030.
  • The total construction project pipeline in Ukraine as tracked by the Construction Intelligence Center (CIC) – including all mega-projects with a value above US$25 million – stands at UAH1.9 trillion (US$71.0 billion). The pipeline, which includes all projects from pre-planning to execution, is well balanced, with 50.6% of the pipeline value being in projects in the pre-planning and planning stages as of April 2018.

Reasons to buy

  • Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
  • Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
  • Understand the latest industry and market trends.
  • Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight.
  • Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
  • Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.

Companies mentioned

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Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Construction Outlook: At-a-glance

3 Latest News and Indicators

4 Key Drivers and Risks

4.1 Economic Performance

4.2 Political Environment ...

1 Executive Summary

2 Construction Outlook: At-a-glance

3 Latest News and Indicators

4 Key Drivers and Risks

4.1 Economic Performance

4.2 Political Environment

4.3 Demographics

5 Construction Outlook

5.1 All Construction

5.1.1 Outlook

5.1.2 Project analytics

5.2 Commercial Construction

5.2.1 Outlook

5.2.2 Project analytics

5.3 Industrial Construction

5.3.1 Outlook

5.3.2 Project analytics

5.4 Infrastructure Construction

5.4.1 Outlook

5.4.2 Project analytics

5.5 Energy and Utilities Construction

5.5.1 Outlook

5.5.2 Project analytics

5.6 Institutional Construction

5.6.1 Outlook

5.6.2 Project analytics

5.7 Residential Construction

5.7.1 Outlook

5.7.2 Project analytics

6 Key Industry Participants

6.1 Contractors

6.2 Consultants

7 Appendix

7.1 What is this Report About?

7.2 Definitions

7.3 About GlobalData

7.4 About The Construction Intelligence Center

7.5 Disclaimer

List of tables

Table 1: Ukraine, Key Economic Indicators

Table 2: Ukraine, Construction Output Value (nominal, UAH Million)

Table 3: Ukraine, Construction Output Value (nominal, US$ Million)

Table ...

Table 1: Ukraine, Key Economic Indicators

Table 2: Ukraine, Construction Output Value (nominal, UAH Million)

Table 3: Ukraine, Construction Output Value (nominal, US$ Million)

Table 4: Ukraine, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value

Table 5: Ukraine, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value

Table 6: Ukraine, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value

Table 7: Ukraine, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value

Table 8: Ukraine, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value

Table 9: Ukraine, Top Residential and Mixed-Use Construction Projects by Value

Table 10: Ukraine, Key Contractors

Table 11: Ukraine, Key Consultants

Table 12: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions

Table 13: Construction Risk Index Ratings and Scores

List of figures

Figure 1: Key Markets, Construction Output Growth Matrix and Risk Matrix

Figure 2: Ukraine, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (UAH Billion)

Figure 3: Ukraine, Total ...

Figure 1: Key Markets, Construction Output Growth Matrix and Risk Matrix

Figure 2: Ukraine, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (UAH Billion)

Figure 3: Ukraine, Total construction value put in place (UAH, Billion)

Figure 4: Ukraine, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ billion, 2017 prices and exchange rate)

Figure 5: Ukraine, Construction Output Value, Growth Matrix

Figure 6: Ukraine, Construction Output Value, by Sector (UAH Billion), 2013–2022

Figure 7: Ukraine, Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (UAH Billion), 2017–2022

Figure 8: Ukraine, Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (UAH Billion)

Figure 9: Ukraine, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (UAH Billion), 2013–2022

Figure 10: Ukraine, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (UAH Billion)

Figure 11: Ukraine, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (UAH Billion)

Figure 12: Ukraine, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (UAH Billion), 2013–2022

Figure 13: Ukraine, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (UAH Billion)

Figure 14: Ukraine, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (UAH Billion)

Figure 15: Ukraine, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (UAH Billion), 2013–2022

Figure 16: Ukraine, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (UAH Billion)

Figure 17: Ukraine, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (UAH Billion)

Figure 18: Ukraine, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (UAH Billion), 2013–2022

Figure 19: Ukraine, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (UAH Billion)

Figure 20: Ukraine, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (UAH Billion)

Figure 21: Ukraine, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (UAH Billion), 2013–2022

Figure 22: Ukraine, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (UAH Billion)

Figure 23: Ukraine, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (UAH Billion)

Figure 24: Ukraine, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (UAH Billion), 2013–2022

Figure 25: Ukraine, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (UAH Billion)

Figure 26: Ukraine, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (UAH Billion)

Figure 27: Ukraine, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)

Figure 28: Ukraine, Headquarters of Foreign Contractors (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Contractor)

Figure 29: Ukraine, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)

Figure 30: Ukraine, Headquarters of Foreign Consultants (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Consultants)

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