Construction in Indonesia – Key Trends and Opportunities to 2023

The Indonesian construction industry continues to expand at a fast pace, driven mainly by government investment in energy and transport infrastructure. It registered an annual growth rate of 6.1% in real terms in 2018.

The industry’s output value is expected to continue to expand at a healthy rate over the forecast period (2019–2023), with investments in housing, transport and tourism infrastructure projects continuing to drive growth. In the 2019 budget, the government increased its total spending on transport infrastructure from IDR410.7 trillion (US$28.8 billion) in 2018 to IDR415 trillion (US$29.1 billion) in 2019. The focus on the development of local energy resources is also expected to drive industry growth. The government aims to produce 114GW of power by 2024 and 430GW of power by 2050, to meet the rising electricity demand of the country.

The industry’s output value in real terms is expected to rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.75% over the forecast period.

GlobalData’s Construction in Indonesia – Key Trends and Opportunities to 2023 report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Indonesian construction industry, including -

- The Indonesian construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity

- Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Indonesian construction industry

- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline

Key Highlights

- GlobalData expects the infrastructure construction market to register a forecast-period CAGR of 10.68% in nominal terms, driven by the government’s focus on the development of transport infrastructure. In the 2019 budget, the government announced plans to build 2,271.3km of roads, 615.1km of new railway lines, four airports, 200km of toll roads and bridges by the end of 2019, with an investment of IDR415 trillion (US$28.4 billion).

- Forecast-period growth in the energy and utilities construction market will be driven by the government’s plan to increase the country’s electricity production, in line with rising demand. The government aims to produce 114GW of power by 2024 and 430GW of power by 2050. In 2019, the government increased its total spending on power generation capacity by 6.7%, rising from IDR151.2 trillion (US$11.3 billion) in 2018 to IDR170.9 trillion (US$12 billion) in 2019.

- GlobalData expects the residential construction market to record a forecast-period CAGR of 8.46% in nominal terms, driven by the government’s focus on the development of affordable houses. In the 2019 budget, the government announced plans to build 50,000 housing units across the country by the end of 2019. Moreover, in February 2019, the Ministry of Public Works and Housing (MPWH) announced plans to build 635,361 housing units with a total investment of IRD17.6 trillion (US$1.3 billion).

- Institutional construction market’s forecast-period growth will be driven by increased government expenditures on healthcare and education. In the 2019 budget, the government increased its total spending on the education sector by 12.3%, going from IDR434.6 trillion (US$30.5 billion) in 2018 to IDR487.9 trillion (US$33.4 billion) in 2019. Moreover, the government allocated IDR299 billion (US$21 million) in the 2019 budget to restore damaged elementary and high schools in the Bekasi region. The government increased its 2019 budget spending on the healthcare sector by 13.6%, going from IDR107.4 trillion (US$7.5 billion) in 2018 to IDR122 trillion (US$8.3 billion) in 2019.

- The total construction project pipeline in Indonesia – as tracked by GlobalData, and including all mega projects with a value above US$25 million – stands at IDR9 quadrillion (US$630.9 billion). The pipeline, which includes all projects from pre-planning to execution, is well balanced, with 50.8% of the pipeline value being in projects in the pre-execution and execution stages as of May 2019.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Indonesia. It provides -

- Historical (2014–2018) and forecast (2019–2023) valuations of the construction industry in Indonesia, featuring details of key growth drivers.

- Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector

- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.

- Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants

Reasons to buy

- Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.

- Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.

- Understand the latest industry and market trends.

- Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight.

- Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.

- Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.

Companies mentioned

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Construction Outlook: At-a-glance

3 Latest News and Indicators

4 Key Drivers and Risks

4.1. Economic Performance

4.2. Political ...

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Construction Outlook: At-a-glance

3 Latest News and Indicators

4 Key Drivers and Risks

4.1. Economic Performance

4.2. Political Environment

4.3. Demographics

4.4. Risk Profile

5 Construction Outlook

5.1. All Construction

5.1.1. Outlook

5.1.2. Project analytics

5.2. Commercial Construction

5.2.1. Outlook

5.2.2. Project analytics

5.3. Industrial Construction

5.3.1. Outlook

5.3.2. Project analytics

5.4. Infrastructure Construction

5.4.1. Outlook

5.4.2. Project analytics

5.5. Energy and Utilities Construction

5.5.1. Outlook

5.5.2. Project analytics

5.6. Institutional Construction

5.6.1. Outlook

5.6.2. Project analytics

5.7. Residential Construction

5.7.1. Outlook

5.7.2. Project analytics

6 Key Industry Participants

6.1. Contractors

6.2. Consultants

7 Appendix

7.1. What is this Report About?

7.2. Definitions

8 About GlobalData

8.1. GlobalData at a Glance

8.2. GlobalData Construction

8.3. Disclaimer

8.4. Contact Us

List of Tables

List of Tables

Table 1: Construction Outlook

Table 2: Indonesia, Key Economic Indicators

Table 3: Indonesia, Construction Output Value (nominal, IDR trillion)

Table 4: Indonesia, ...

List of Tables

Table 1: Construction Outlook

Table 2: Indonesia, Key Economic Indicators

Table 3: Indonesia, Construction Output Value (nominal, IDR trillion)

Table 4: Indonesia, Construction Output Value (nominal, US$ Million)

Table 5: Indonesia, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value

Table 6: Indonesia, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value

Table 7: Indonesia, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value

Table 8: Indonesia, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value

Table 9: Indonesia, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value

Table 10: Indonesia, Top Residential and Mixed-Use Construction Projects by Value

Table 11: Indonesia, Key Contractors

Table 12: Indonesia, Key Consultants

Table 13: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions

Table 14: Construction Risk Index Ratings and Scores

List of Figures

List of Figures

Figure 1: Key Markets, Construction Output Growth Matrix and Risk Matrix

Figure 2: Indonesia, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (IDR trillion)

Figure ...

List of Figures

Figure 1: Key Markets, Construction Output Growth Matrix and Risk Matrix

Figure 2: Indonesia, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (IDR trillion)

Figure 3: Indonesia, Residential Property Price Index

Figure 4: Indonesia, Commercial Property Demand Index

Figure 5: Indonesia, Risk Profile

Figure 6: Indonesia, Risk Comparison Review

Figure 7: Indonesia, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ billion, 2017 prices and exchange rate)

Figure 8: Indonesia, Construction Output Value, Growth Matrix

Figure 9: Indonesia, Construction Output Value, by Sector (IDR Trillion), 2014–2023

Figure 10: Indonesia, Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (IDR Trillion), 2018–2023

Figure 11: Indonesia, Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (IDR Trillion)

Figure 12: Indonesia, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (IDR Trillion), 2014–2023

Figure 13: Indonesia, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (IDR Trillion)

Figure 14: Indonesia, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (IDR Trillion), 2018–2023

Figure 15: Indonesia, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (IDR Trillion), 2014–2023

Figure 16: Indonesia, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (IDR Trillion)

Figure 17: Indonesia, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (IDR Trillion), 2018–2023

Figure 18: Indonesia, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (IDR Trillion), 2014–2023

Figure 19: Indonesia, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (IDR Trillion)

Figure 20: Indonesia, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (IDR Trillion), 2018–2023

Figure 21: Indonesia, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (IDR Trillion), 2014–2023

Figure 22: Indonesia, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (IDR Trillion)

Figure 23: Indonesia, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (IDR Trillion), 2018–2023

Figure 24: Indonesia, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (IDR Trillion), 2014–2023

Figure 25: Indonesia, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (IDR Trillion)

Figure 26: Indonesia, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (IDR Trillion), 2018–2023

Figure 27: Indonesia, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (IDR Trillion), 2014–2023

Figure 28: Indonesia, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (IDR Trillion)

Figure 29: Indonesia, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (IDR Trillion), 2018–2023

Figure 30: Indonesia, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)

Figure 31: Indonesia, Headquarters of Foreign Contractors (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Contractor)

Figure 32: Indonesia, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)

Figure 33: Indonesia, Headquarters of Foreign Consultants (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Consultants)

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