PESTLE Insights: Macroeconomic Outlook Report – Nigeria

The agriculture sector contributed 21.1% to the gross value added (GVA) in 2018, followed by wholesale, retail and hotels, and mining, manufacturing and utilities which contributed 19.8 and 18.8%, respectively. According to MarketLine, the three sectors are expected to grow by 12.4%, 12.1% and 12.2%, respectively, in 2019.

North west, south west and north central Nigeria are the major regions in Nigeria which account for around 60.2% of the total population, as of 2016

Nigeria’s banking sector received the majority of inward FDI in 2018

Overall, the NSE exhibited a downward trend over the last year. As of June 13, 2019, the NSE stood at 30,029.2, compared to 39,031.7 on June 13, 2018.

Scope

– As per the World Bank's logistics performance index (LPI), transport and logistic infrastructure in Nigeria has deteriorated over the last two years with a decline in rank from 90th in 2016 to 110th out of 160 countries in 2018

Reasons to buy

– Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potentials of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental (PESTLE) structure.

– PESTLE Insights provides 360 degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials and direction of operations

– Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors pertaining to the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.

– This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.

Companies mentioned

Arik Air

Dana Air

Oando

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

List of Exhibits

Did You Know?

Country Highlights

Country Snapshot

PESTLE Insights

Political Landscape

Economic Landscape

Social Landscape

Technological Landscape

Legal Landscape

Environmental Landscape

Outlook

List of Figures

List of Figures

Exhibit 1: Nigeria’s Performance in terms of its Country Risk Analysis in Comparison to the Middle East, Africa and the World

Exhibit 2: Performance Overview (Score: 1-100)

Exhibit 3: Broad Categories and Weights Behind the Index

Exhibit 4: NSE Index

Exhibit 5: Key Sectors’ Contribution to the Economy (2014–2021f)

Exhibit 6: FDI Inflows (2014–2018)and Greenfield Investment Projects (2010–2018)

Exhibit 7: Key Infrastructure Indicators

Exhibit 8: Real GDP and Household Consumption Growth Rate (2014–2021f)

Exhibit 9: Real GDP Growth Rate Comparison (2018)

Exhibit 10: Export, Import and Trade Balance (2014–2021f)

Exhibit 11: Current Account Balance (2014–2021f)

Exhibit 12: Top Three Commodity Exports, % of Total Exports (2015–2018)

Exhibit 13: Mineral Fuels, Mineral Oils and Products of their Distillation, % of World Total (2018)

Exhibit 14: Interest Rates (May 2012 – May 2019)

Exhibit 15: Exchange Rate (2014–2021f)

Exhibit 16: Public Finance (2014–2021f)

Exhibit 17: General Government Debt (2014–2021f)

Exhibit 18: Employment/Unemployment (2014–2021f)

Exhibit 19: Employment by Sector (2014–2021f)

Exhibit 20: Labor Force Participation Rate (2014–2021f)

Exhibit 21: Rural/Urban Share in Total Population (1990, 2000, 2010, 2020)

Exhibit 22: Age-group Share of Total Population (2000, 2010, 2020)

Exhibit 23: Gender Split (1990, 2000, 2010, 2020)

Exhibit 24: Internet Users % of Total Population, Mobile Penetration Rate and Broadband Penetration Rate (2018)

Exhibit 25: Number of Patents Granted Per Million People (2018)

Exhibit 26: High-technology Exports (% of Manufactured Exports) (2017)

Exhibit 27: Doing Business in Nigeria 2019

Exhibit 28: Corruption Perception Index (Rankings) (2018)

Exhibit 29: CO2 Emissions (2012–2017)

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