Respiratory Syncytial Virus: Epidemiology Forecast in Asia-Pacific Markets to 2028

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a common respiratory infection that most children will be infected with by the time they are two years old. In healthy individuals RSV usually self-resolves within a week or two without need for significant therapeutic intervention. In preterm and very young infants, the elderly, or those with otherwise compromised immune systems, however, RSV can cause severe illness or death.

It has been estimated that up to 30 million episodes of RSV-related lower respiratory infection occur annually worldwide, with the majority of those cases occurring in low-income countries. RSV is also considered to be the leading cause of bronchiolitis and pneumonia in children less than one year old and one of the leading causes of respiratory disease in older adults. Currently RSV has neither a known cure nor a vaccine; however, preventive measures can be taken to help mitigate the spread of the disease

GlobalData epidemiologists provide a well-rounded, evidence-based analysis and forecast for the hospitalized and prophylactic populations for RSV in this report. This analysis covered all at-risk groups that are recommended for RSV prophylactic treatment. Each population, including the hospitalized population, is also segmented by ages and by sex, thereby providing a granular visualization of the RSV prophylactic and hospitalized markets in the 5GM.

Scope

The Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) Epidemiology Report and Model provide an overview of the risk factors and global trends RSV in the five growth markets (5GM: Japan, Australia, urban China, India, and South Korea).

This report also includes a 10-year epidemiology forecast for the pediatric and adult populations hospitalized due to RSV infection (hospitalized population) in the 5GM, in addition to the pediatric and adult populations that are most at risk for severe RSV infection and are therefore eligible to receive prophylactic treatment (prophylactic population). The prophylactic population consists of: children born before 37 weeks of gestation (preterm population); preterm births with neonatal chronic lung disease (CLD); live births with hemodynamically significant congenital heart disease; boys, 0–2 years old, with Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD); children, 0–2 years old, with spinal muscular atrophy (SMA); pregnant women in the third trimester; adults ages 55 years or older living in nursing homes (long-term-care institutions).

The RSV epidemiology report and model were written and developed by Masters- and PhD-level epidemiologists.

  • The Epidemiology Report is in-depth, high quality, transparent and market-driven, providing expert analysis of disease trends in the 5GM.
  • The Epidemiology Model is easy to navigate, interactive with dashboards, and epidemiology-based with transparent and consistent methodologies. Moreover, the model supports data presented in the report and showcases disease trends over a 10-year forecast period using reputable sources.

Reasons to buy

The RSV Epidemiology series will allow you to:

Develop business strategies by understanding the trends shaping and driving the global RSV market.

Quantify patient populations in the global RSV market to improve product design, pricing, and launch plans.

Organize sales and marketing efforts by identifying the age groups and sex that present the best opportunities for RSV therapeutics in each of the markets covered.

Understand magnitude of RSV population by both therapeutic and prophylactic markets.

Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents

1.1 List of Tables

1.2 List of Figures

2 Respiratory Syncytial Virus: Executive Summary

2.1 Related Reports

2.2 Upcoming Reports

3 ...

1 Table of Contents

1.1 List of Tables

1.2 List of Figures

2 Respiratory Syncytial Virus: Executive Summary

2.1 Related Reports

2.2 Upcoming Reports

3 Epidemiology

3.1 Disease Background

3.2 Risk Factors and Comorbidities

3.3 Global and Historical Trends

3.4 Forecast Methodology

3.4.1 Sources Used and Not Used

3.4.2 Forecast Assumptions and Methods

3.5 Epidemiological Forecast for RSV Hospitalized Population (2018–2028)

3.5.1 Number of Hospitalized Adults with Positive RSV Test

3.5.2 Number of Children Hospitalized for Confirmed RSV

3.6 Epidemiological Forecast for RSV Prophylactic Population (2018–2028)

3.6.1 Number of Preterm Births by Gestational Age

3.6.2 Preterm Infants with CLD

3.6.3 Number of Live Births with Hemodynamically Significant Heart Disease

3.6.4 Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of DMD

3.6.5 Number of Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of SMA

3.6.6 Number of Third Trimester Pregnant Women

3.6.7 Number of Adults Living in Nursing Homes/Long-Term Care Institutions

3.7 Discussion

3.7.1 Epidemiological Forecast Insight

3.7.2 Limitations of Analysis

3.7.3 Strengths of Analysis

4 Appendix

4.1 Bibliography

4.2 About the Authors

4.2.1 Epidemiologist

4.2.2 Reviewers

4.2.3 Global Director of Therapy Analysis and Epidemiology

4.2.4 Global Head and EVP of Healthcare Operations and Strategy

4.3 About GlobalData

4.4 Contact Us

4.5 Disclaimer

List of Tables

Table 1: 5GM, Summary of the Prophylactic Population in 2018

Table 2: Risk Factors for Severe RSV

Table 1: 5GM, Summary of the Prophylactic Population in 2018

Table 2: Risk Factors for Severe RSV

List of Figures

Figure 1: 5GM, Children, Boys and Girls, 0–2 Years Old, Confirmed RSV Hospitalizations, N, 2008 and 2018

Figure 2: 5GM, Rate of Preterm Births (per ...

Figure 1: 5GM, Children, Boys and Girls, 0–2 Years Old, Confirmed RSV Hospitalizations, N, 2008 and 2018

Figure 2: 5GM, Rate of Preterm Births (per 1,000 Live Births), 2008–2018

Figure 3: 5GM, Percentage of Adults Living in Long-Term Care, Ages ≥55 Years, 2008–2018

Figure 4: 5GM, Sources Used to Forecast the Number of Adults Hospitalized Who Test Positive for RSV, 2018–2028

Figure 5: 5GM, Sources Used to Forecast the Number of Children Hospitalized with Confirmed RSV

Figure 6: 5GM, Sources Used to Forecast the Number of Preterm Births

Figure 7: 5GM, Sources Used to Forecast the Number of Preterm Births with CLD, 2018–2028

Figure 8: 5GM, Sources Used to Forecast the Number of Live Births with Hemodynamically Significant Heart Disease

Figure 9: 5GM, Sources Used to Forecast Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of DMD

Figure 10: 5GM, Sources Used to Forecast the Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of SMA

Figure 11: 5GM, Sources Used to Forecast the Number of Third Trimester Pregnancies

Figure 12: 5GM, Sources Used to Forecast the Number of Adults Living in Long-Term Care

Figure 13: 5GM, Number of Hospitalized Adults with Positive RSV Test, Ages ≥60 Years, Men and Women, 2018

Figure 14: 5GM, Number of Children Hospitalized for Confirmed RSV, Ages 0–2 Years, Boys and Girls, 2018

Figure 15: 5GM, Number of Preterm Births by Gestational Age, N, 2018

Figure 16: 5GM, Number of Preterm Infants with CLD, N, 2018–2028

Figure 17: 5GM, Number of Live Births with Hemodynamically Significant Heart Disease, 2018–2028

Figure 18: 5GM, Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of DMD in Boys, Ages 0–2 Years, 2018–2028

Figure 19: 5GM, Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of SMA, Boys and Girls, Ages 0–2 Years, 2018–2028

Figure 20: 5GM, Number of Third Trimester Pregnant Women, N, 2018–2028

Figure 21: 5GM, Number of Adults Living in Long-Term Care Institutions, Ages ≥55 Years, N, 2018–2028

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