Global Infrastructure Outlook

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Published: March 28, 2017 Report Code: GD-IF0001IG-ST

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The global infrastructure market totaled US$3.1 trillion in 2016, and is expected to grow by 6.0% on an annual basis until 2020.

In 2016, developing economies accounted for 62% of total infrastructure spending, and are forecast to represent 66% by 2020.

Infrastructure spending is closely aligned with GDP growth; annual average global growth is projected to stand at 3.0% in 2016−2020. This comes following a quieter 2011−2015, when global economic growth averaged 2.2%.

Scope

An in-depth assessment of the current state of infrastructure spending globally, including market share and projected growth out to 2020 by country, region and sector (roads, railways, electricity and power, water and sewerage, telecommunications, airports and ports).

Analysis on the drivers and barriers to infrastructure growth including current quality of infrastructure base, gaps in infrastructure needs, level of public finances, demographics, use of public-private partnership mechanisms for infrastructure funding, investment in regions and projected cancellations for infrastructure projects.

For each infrastructure sector, an analysis of the project pipeline, looking at projects by stage of completion and funding mechanism and a more detailed look at the prospects for major infrastructure projects in each sector.

Additional insight for countries identified as markets to watch, identified as such due to factors such as their size compared with the overall global infrastructure market or high project growth in infrastructure spending or for the general economy.

Key Highlights

Spending on infrastructure reached US$3.1 trillion in 2016. It is expected to grow to US$4.2 trillion in 2020. China accounts for 29% of the world’s infrastructure expenditure, and is set to grow at 10.5% annually to 2020.

In terms of investment opportunities, GlobalData’s IIC is currently tracking over 12,700 public and private large-scale infrastructure projects worldwide, from initial announcement to the execution phase.

Collectively, these projects are worth US$14.2 trillion. Power and electricity projects dominate at a cost of US$5.4 trillion, while railways, valued at US$5.2 trillion, account for the second-largest sector.

Road projects recorded the third-largest cost share of US$1.9 trillion, followed by airports and ports (US$1.2 trillion) and water and sewerage (US$421.5 billion).

Almost half of all projects require private investment, either directly or through PPPs.

Reasons to Buy

• Assess the current state of global infrastructure, and the main drivers of investment, including the key institutions and financing methods.

• Investigate forecasts and gain an understanding of key trends in each of the main infrastructure sectors.

• Analyze the main project participants operating in each sector, to better understand the competitive environment.

• Identify top projects by sector, development stage and start date, to inform expansion strategy.

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Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Overall Infrastructure Market Size and Growth

2.1. The Global Infrastructure Market

2.2. Market Size by Infrastructure Sector

2.3. Market Size Relative to GDP

2.3.1. Colombia Provides Hope for Latin America

2.4. Growth in Infrastructure

2.4.1. Growth by Region: Latin America

2.4.2. Growth by Region: The US and Canada

2.4.3. Growth by Region: The Middle East and Africa

2.4.4. Growth by Region: Eastern Europe

2.4.5. Growth by Region: Western Europe

2.4.6. Growth by Region: Emerging Asia

2.4.7. Growth by Region: Developed Asia and Oceania

3. Drivers and Barriers to Growth

3.1. The GlobalData Infrastructure Risk Index

3.1.1. The Philippines – A Case of Conflicting Environments

3.2. Quality of Infrastructure

3.3. Infrastructure Gaps

3.3.1. Africa’s infrastructure gaps and opportunities

3.4. Public Finances

3.5. Demographics

3.6. Public-Private Partnerships

3.7. Regional Investment in Asia and Beyond

3.7.1. Major OBOR infrastructure Projects

3.8. Cancellations and Delays

3.8.1. Development of an Adjusted Project Pipeline

3.9. Infrastructure Indicators Matrix

4. Global Opportunities in the Project Pipeline

4.1. Road Infrastructure Projects Pipeline: Overview

4.2. Rail Infrastructure Projects Pipeline: Overview

4.3. Electricity and Power Infrastructure Projects Pipeline: Overview

4.4. Water and Sewerage Infrastructure Projects Pipeline: Overview

4.5. Airport and Port Infrastructure Projects Pipeline: Overview

5. Markets to Watch

5.1. Largest Players – China

5.2. Largest Players – India

5.4. Largest Players – The US

5.5. Largest Players – The UK

5.6. Largest Players – Russia

5.7. Fastest Growers – The Philippines

5.8. Fastest Growers – Indonesia

5.9. Fastest Growers – Qatar

5.10. Fastest Growers – The Slovak Republic

5.11. Fastest Growers – Malaysia

5.12. Key Emerging – Colombia

5.13. Key Emerging – Nigeria

5.14. Key Emerging – Myanmar

5.15. Key Emerging – Ethiopia

5.16. Key Emerging – Peru

6. Appendix

6.1. About GlobalData

6.2. Disclaimer

6.3. Infrastructure Indicators Data Tool

6.4. Infrastructure Risk Index: Risk Dimensions — Descriptions and Sources

Table

Table 1: Global Infrastructure at-a-Glance

Table 2: Infrastructure Growth by Sector (Annual Average Growth, %), 2016−2020

Table 3: Global Infrastructure Risk Index, Q4 2016

Table 4: PPP Perspectives, Top 10 Countries, 2017

Table 5: Infrastructure Indicators Matrix, Large Spending (% of GDP of US$) and Highest Projected Growth (%) Countries

Table 6: All Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, by Major Markets, 2017

Table 7: Top 10 Infrastructure Construction Projects

Table 8: Road Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, by Major Markets, 2017

Table 9: Top 10 Roads Construction Projects

Table 10: Rail Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, by Major Markets, 2017

Table 11: Top 10 Rail Construction Projects

Table 12: Electricity and Power Projects Pipeline, by Major Markets, 2017

Table 13: Top 10 Electricity and Power Construction Projects, 2017

Table 14: Water and Sewerage Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, by Major Markets, 2017

Table 15: Top 10 Water and Sewerage Construction Projects

Table 16: Airport and Port Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, by Major Markets, 2017

Table 17: Top 10 Airport Construction Projects, 2017

Table 18: Top 10 Port Construction Projects, 2017

Table 19: China Infrastructure Indicators, 2017

Table 20: India Infrastructure Indicators, 2017

Table 21: The US Infrastructure Indicators, 2017

Table 22: The UK Infrastructure Indicators, 2017

Table 23: Russia Infrastructure Indicators, 2017

Table 24: The Philippines Infrastructure Indicators, 2017

Table 25: Indonesia Infrastructure Indicators, 2017

Table 26: Qatar Infrastructure Indicators, 2017

Table 27: The Slovak Republic Infrastructure Indicators, 2017

Table 28: Malaysia Infrastructure Indicators, 2017

Table 29: Colombia Infrastructure Indicators, 2017

Table 30: Nigeria Infrastructure Indicators, 2017

Table 31: Myanmar Infrastructure Indicators, 2017

Table 32: Ethiopia Infrastructure Indicators, 2017

Table 33: Peru Infrastructure Indicators, 2017

Table 34: Risk Dimensions — Descriptions and Sources

Figures

Figure 1: Total Infrastructure Expenditure by Region (Percentage of GDP, Annual Average), 2011−2015

Figure 2: Total Infrastructure Expenditure by Region (Nominal US$ Billion), 2016 and 2020

Figure 3: Total Infrastructure Expenditure by Region (Nominal US$ Million), 2016 and 2020

Figure 4: Spending on Infrastructure (Percentage of GDP) and Relative to GDP Growth (%), 2011−2015

Figure 5: Infrastructure Expenditure (US$ billion), 2011−2015 vs Growth in Spending (%), 2016−2020

Figure 6: Fastest-Growing Infrastructure Markets (%), 2016−2020

Figure 7: Latin America − Projected Infrastructure Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016 and 2020 and Annual Average Growth Rate (%), 2016−2020

Figure 8: The US and Canada − Projected Infrastructure Expenditure (US$ Billion) 2016 and 2020 and Annual Average Growth Rate (%), 2016−2020

Figure 9: The Middle East and Africa − Projected Infrastructure Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016 and 2020 and Annual Average Growth Rate (%), 2016−2020

Figure 10: Eastern Europe − Projected Infrastructure Expenditure (US$ Billion) 2016 and 2020 and Annual Average Growth Rate (%), 2016−2020

Figure 11: Western Europe − Projected Infrastructure Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016 and 2020 and Annual Average Growth Rate (%), 2016−2020

Figure 12: Emerging Asia − Projected Infrastructure Expenditure (US$ Billion) 2016 and 2020 and Annual Average Growth Rate (%) 2016−2020

Figure 13: Developed Asia and Oceania − Projected Infrastructure Expenditure (US$ Billion) 2016 and 2020 and Annual Average Growth Rate (%) 2016−2020

Figure 14: IRI Breakdown by Environment, 2017

Figure 15: Philippines IRI Breakdown, 2017

Figure 16: Quality vs Spending Growth (Annual %), 2008−2016

Figure 17: Infrastructure Spending (Percentage of GDP) and Infrastructure Quality (Out of Seven), 2017

Figure 18: Water and Sewerage Infrastructure Gaps and Spending (%), 2017

Figure 19: Electricity and Power Infrastructure Gaps and Spending (%), 2017

Figure 20: Telecommunications Infrastructure Gaps and Spending (%), 2017

Figure 21: Public Finances Effect on Infrastructure Spending (ann. avg. 2011-2015)

Figure 22: Urbanization Rate and Population Growth (Annual Average Percentage Growth), 2011−2015

Figure 23: PPP Environment, 2017

Figure 24: PPP Opportunities, 2017

Figure 25: One-Belt-One-Road Trade Routes

Figure 26: GlobalData Infrastructure Project Pipeline (US$ Billion) by Region, 2017

Figure 27: Initial and Adjusted Cancellation/Delay Rate Forecasts (%), 2010−2020

Figure 28: Global Opportunities in the Project Pipeline (1), 2017

Figure 29: Global Opportunities in the Project Pipeline (2), 2017

Figure 30: All Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, by Stage (US$ Billion), 2017

Figure 31: All Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, by Funding (US$ Billion), 2017)

Figure 32: Key Opportunities in the Road Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, 2017

Figure 33: Road Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, by Stage (US$ Billion), 2017

Figure 34: Roads Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, by Funding (US$ Billion), 2017

Figure 35: Key Opportunities in the Rail Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, 2017

Figure 36: Rail Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, by Stage (US$ Billion), 2017

Figure 37: Rail Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, by Funding (US$ Billion), 2017

Figure 38: Key Opportunities in the Electricity and Power Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, 2017

Figure 39: Electricity and Power Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, by Stage (US$ Billion), 2017

Figure 40: Electricity and Power Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, by Funding (US$ Billion), 2017

Figure 41: Water and Sewerage Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, by Stage (US$ Billion), 2017

Figure 42: Water and Sewerage Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, by Funding (US$ Billion), 2017

Figure 43: Airport and Port Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, by Stage (US$ Billion), 2017

Figure 44: Airport and Port Infrastructure Projects Pipeline, by Funding (US$ Billion), 2017

Figure 45: China Project Pipeline (US$ billion), 2017

Figure 46: India Project Pipeline (US$ billion), 2017

Figure 47: The US Project Pipeline (US$ billion), 2017

Figure 48: The UK Project Pipeline (US$ billion), 2017

Figure 49: Russia Project Pipeline (US$ billion), 2017

Figure 50: The Philippines Project Pipeline (US$ billion), 2017

Figure 51: Indonesia Project Pipeline (US$ billion), 2017

Figure 52: Qatar Project Pipeline (US$ billion), 2017

Figure 53: The Slovak Republic Project Pipeline (US$ billion), 2017

Figure 54: Malaysia Project Pipeline (US$ billion), 2017

Figure 55: Colombia Project Pipeline (US$ billion), 2017

Figure 56: Nigeria Project Pipeline (US$ billion), 2017

Figure 57: Myanmar Project Pipeline (US$ billion), 2017

Figure 58: Ethiopia Project Pipeline (US$ billion), 2017

Figure 59: Peru Project Pipeline (US$ billion), 2017

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