Net Present Value Model: Imbruvica

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lgp npv report cover Net Present Value Model: Imbruvica

Overview

Evaluating the value of drugs is a complicated practice and requires a deep knowledge of the drug itself, the market currently and in the future, knowledge of cash inflows and outflows and the potential success rates for each stage of drug development. GlobalData has done all of this work for you, leveraging its gold standard Drugs Intelligence database to create high-value NPV models for purchase on a drug-by-drug basis.

Drug Operating Profit Model

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Imbruvica Drug Details

Ibrutinib (Imbruvica) is an anti-neoplastic agent. It is formulated as hard gelatin capsules, tablets, film coated tablets and suspension for oral route of administration. Ibrutinib is indicated for the treatment of patients with mantle cell lymphoma (MCL) who have received at least one prior therapy, for the treatment of patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL)/small lymphocytic lymphoma (SLL), for the treatment of patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) or small lymphocytic leukemia (SLL) with 17p deletion and for the treatment of patients with Waldenström’s macroglobulinemia (WM). It is also indicated for the treatment of patients with relapsed or refractory mantle cell lymphoma (MCL), chronic lymphocytic leukaemia (CLL) who have received at least one prior therapy, or in first line in the presence of 17p deletion or TP53 mutationin patients unsuitable for chemo-immunotherapy, Waldenstrom’s macroglobulinaemia (WM) who have received at least one prior therapy, or in first-line treatment for patients unsuitable for chemo-immunotherapy, for the treatment of small lymphocytic lymphoma (SLL), as a first-line treatment for patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL), for the treatment of patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) with 17p deletion. Imbruvica is now approved for all patients with CLL, expanding the number of patients who may benefit from this treatment. Imbruvica as a single-agent targeted therapy for previously untreated patients with active chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL), for the treatment of patients with relapsed/refractory (R/R) marginal zone lymphoma (MZL) who require systemic therapy and have received at least one prior anti-CD20-based therapy and in combination with obinutuzumab is indicated in adults for the treatment of naive patients with active chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). Imbruvica (ibrutinib) in combination with venetoclax (I+V) for adults with previously untreated chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL).Ibrutinib (PCI-32765) is under development for treatment of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infectious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), her2-positive metastatic breast cancer ( third line ), splenic, extranodal and nodal marginal zone lymphoma (MZL), relapsed and refractory classical Hodgkin lymphoma, pediatric and adolescent patients one year and older with chronic graft versus host disease (cGVHD) after failure of one or more lines of systemic therapy, B-cell malignancies (including relapsed and refractory chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL),mantle cell lymphoma, small lymphocytic lymphoma (SLL), and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), acute myeloid leukemia, untreated Waldenström’s macroglobulinemia (WM), indolent non-Hodgkin lymphoma, treatment-naive, relapsed and refractory follicular lymphoma (FL), hairy cell leukemia, T-cell lymphoma, primary CNS lymphoma, secondary CNS lymphoma, non small cell lung cancer, multiple myeloma (second and third line), relapsed and refractory marginal zone lymphoma, refractory or steroid-dependent graft versus host disease, recurrent head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma,  renal cell carcinoma, urothelial carcinoma, colorectal cancer, gastric or gastro-esophageal junctional adenocarcinoma, refractory myelodysplastic syndrome, relapsed and refractory acute lymphocytic leukemia (ALL), metastatic melanoma, and glioblastoma multiforme. ibrutinib in combination with obinutuzumab (Gazyva) for adult patients with previously untreated chronic lymphocytic leukemia/small lymphocytic lymphoma (CLL/SLL). Imbruvica is indicated for the treatment of relapsed/refractory primary macroglobulinemia and lymphoplasmacytic lymphoma.It was also under development for rheumatoid arthritis and relapsed or refractory precursor B lymphoblastic leukemia (B-ALL), Burkitt lymphoma and systemic mastocytosis.

Report Coverage

GlobalData takes into account factors including patent law, known and projected regulatory approval processes, cash flows, potential applicable patients, drug margins, company expenses, and pricing estimates. Combining these data points with GlobalData’s world class analysis creates high value models that companies can use to help in evaluation processes for each drug or company.

Quick View – NPV Data
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Reasons to Buy

  • Better understand the quantitative value of a specific drug
  • Create or support internal NPV models to improve accuracy
  • Understand the profit a drug is expected to make, taking into account revenue and cost forecasts leveraging public and proprietary data sets.

Frequently asked questions

    GlobalData’s NPV Model is a premium model providing a fully-interactive forecasting and valuation tool, driven by Analyst Consensus estimates, enabling users to analyze and customize valuations for pharmaceutical assets including drugs or segments. The tool provides 17-year drug forecasts from companies with sales forecast data in the pharmaceutical industry, including established global firms and emerging biotechs, which allows access to critical information to facilitate strategic decision making around pharmaceutical assets

    The NPV Model includes a forecasted Revenue Model, followed by a proprietary Patent Expiry Model, Operating Profit Model, Net Profit (apply Tax rate) and Discounted Cash Flow (apply Discount rates), to derive Net Present Value (NPV) for a chosen pharmaceutical asset

    • All drug sales and forecasts within NPV Model are calculated in our proprietary company based models . In these models, Analyst Consensus forecasts are built by using company-specific broker reports to create the sales forecasts for each Drug and Segment.
    • Sales and forecasts are not indication-specific where drugs are approved , or in development, for multiple indications. Please refer to GlobalData’s Disease Analysis reports for indication-specific sales forecasts.
    • Risk-adjusted NPVs use GlobalData’s LoA and PTSR for the indication in the highest development stage. Please refer to the Likelihood of Approval methodology for more details on this content.

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