MEED Insights: MENA Power Sector Outlook 2018 – Understanding the region’s new energy sector

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Published: May 30, 2018 Report Code: GDMD001PE-ST

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With $772bn worth of power generation and transmission projects planned or underway across the Mena region, the power sector is one of the region’s most active areas of capital investment.

Of this, about $409bn of power projects have been announced but not yet awarded, presenting abundant opportunities for companies with the right products and services.

MEED’s Middle East & North Africa Power Sector Outlook 2018 provides a detailed assessment of the market, examining investment plans, emerging project opportunities and reviewing key players.

In addition to high levels of capital investment, several profound changes are taking place that are reshaping the sector. Renewable energy is now at the top of the regional power agenda. More than $89bn worth of renewables projects are in pipeline, accounting for about 22 per cent of the total planned projects.

Governments are also seeking to increase the role of the private sector and increase the number of public-private partnerships for delivering major generation projects.

Written by MEED, the Middle East market experts within the GlobalData Group, this in-depth report will help you save time and investment on research and analysis and provide you with exclusive data and insight on the changing Mena Power market.

Scope

Regional overview – Summary on the development of the power sector

Detailed analysis of 14 country markets covering structure, policy, projects and players

Power project client activity review

Supply and demand – Detailed analysis on the power supply and demand scenario, energy mix, major power consumers

All the latest data and plans for power generation and transmission capacity trends

Insight on regional power projects and investment plans

Overview analysis and data of regional power market

In-depth of renewable energy programmes and targets

Analysis of the region’s nuclear power sector

Power project rankings of top projects, contractors and project sponsors

Generation Projects – Existing and planned projects developed by the government and private sector

Detailed analysis on renewables and alternative power projects, including nuclear

Transmission and Distribution – Overview of transmission and distribution network in the country, key projects in the sector

Reasons to Buy

The report covers 14 markets and provides a comprehensive country-by-country review of the Mena power sector with in-depth analysis on supply and demand, projected investment levels, the role of the private sector and the search for alternative energy, along with details of key client bodies, including:

Quantify future market sizes with supply and demand forecasts up to 2021

Track project opportunities and planned investments by the government and private sector

Understand the strategy of each country and how projects are procured and financed

Access power project rankings of top projects, contractors and project sponsors

Gain insight into detailed analysis on renewables and alternative power projects, including nuclear

Table of Contents

1. Regional Analysis

1.1 Overview

1.2 Growth in capacity

1.2.1 The rise of renewables

1.2.2 Emergence of nuclear power

1.3 Power project pipeline

1.3.1 Top 50 power generation projects

1.3.2 Top 10 Private power projects

1.3.3 Top 10 Renewable energy projects

1.3.4 Top 10 Alternative energy projects

1.3.5 Top 10 Transmission & distribution projects

1.3.6 Leading contractors

2. Algeria

2.1 Overview

2.2 Market Structure

2.3 Supply & demand

2.3.1 Installed capacity

2.3.2 Power generation

2.3.3 Power demand

2.4 Transmission & distribution

2.5 Major projects

2.5.1 Power generation projects

2.5.2 Transmission projects

2.6 Leading contractors

3. Bahrain

3.1 Overview

3.2 Market Structure

3.3 Supply & demand

3.3.1 Installed capacity

3.3.2 Power generation

3.3.3 Power demand

3.4 Transmission & distribution

3.5 Major Power Projects

3.5.1 Power generation projects

3.5.2 Transmission projects

3.6 Leading contractors

4. Egypt

4.1 Overview

4.2 Market Structure

4.3 Supply & demand

4.3.1 Installed capacity

4.3.2 Power generation

4.3.3 Power demand

4.4 Transmission & distribution

4.5 Major Projects

4.5.1 Power generation projects

4.5.2 Transmission projects

4.6 Leading contractors

5. Iran

5.1 Overview

5.2 Market Structure

5.3 Supply & demand

5.3.1 Installed capacity

5.3.2 Power generation

5.3.3 Power demand

5.4 Transmission & distribution

5.5 Major projects

5.5.1 Power generation projects

5.5.2 Transmission projects

5.6 Leading contractors

6. Iraq

6.1 Overview

6.2 Market Structure

6.3 Supply & demand

6.3.1 Installed capacity

6.3.2 Power generation

6.3.3 Power demand

6.4 Transmission & Distribution

6.5 Major projects

6.5.1 Power generation projects

6.5.2 Transmission projects

6.6 Leading contractors

6.7 KRG region

6.7.1 Demand forecasts

6.7.2 Future capacity additions

6.7.3 Transmission & distribution

6.7.4 Renewable energy

6.7.5 Sector reform

7. Jordan

7.1 Overview

7.2 Market Structure

7.3 Supply & Demand

7.3.1 Installed capacity

7.3.2 Power generation

7.3.3 Power demand

7.4 Transmission & distribution

7.5 Major projects

7.5.1 Power generation projects

7.5.2 Transmission projects

7.6 Leading contractors

8. Kuwait

8.1 Overview

8.2 Market Structure

8.3 Supply & demand

8.3.1 Installed capacity

8.3.2 Power generation

8.3.3 Power demand

8.4 Transmission & distribution

8.5 Major projects

8.5.1 Power generation projects

8.5.2 Transmission projects

8.6 Leading contractors

9. Libya

9.1 Overview

9.2 Market Structure

9.3 Supply & demand

9.3.1 Installed capacity

9.3.2 Power generation

9.3.3 Power demand

9.4 Transmission & distribution

9.5 Major Projects

9.5.1 Power generation projects

9.5.2 Transmission projects

9.6 Leading contractors

10. Morocco

10.1 Overview

10.2 Market Structure

10.4 Supply & demand

10.4.1 Installed capacity

10.4.2 Power generation

10.4.3 Power demand

10.5 Transmission & distribution

10.6 Major projects

10.6.1 Power generation projects

10.6.2 Transmission projects

10.7 Leading contractors

11. Oman

11.1 Overview

11.2 Market Structure

11.3 Supply & demand

11.3.1 Installed capacity

11.3.2 Power generation

11.3.3 Power demand

11.4 Transmission & distribution

11.5 Major projects

11.5.1 Power generation projects

11.5.2 Transmission projects

11.6 Leading contractors

12. Qatar

12.1 Overview

12.2 Market Structure

12.3 Supply & demand

12.3.1 Installed capacity

12.3.2 Power generation

12.3.3 Power demand

12.4 Transmission & distribution

12.5 Major projects

12.5.1 Power generation projects

12.5.2 Transmission projects

12.6 Leading contractors

13. Saudi Arabia

13.1 Overview

13.2 Market Structure

13.3 Supply & demand

13.3.1 Installed Capacity

13.3.2 Power Generation

13.3.3 Power Demand

13.4 Transmission & distribution

13.5 Major projects

13.5.1 Power generation projects

13.5.2 Transmission projects

13.6 Leading contractors

14. Tunisia

14.1 Overview

14.2 Market Structure

14.3 Supply & demand

14.3.1 Installed Capacity

14.3.2 Power Generation

14.3.3 Power Demand

14.4 Transmission & distribution

14.5 Major projects

14.5.1 Power generation projects

14.5.2 Transmission projects

14.6 Leading contractors

15. UAE

15.1 Overview

15.2 Market structure

15.3 Installed capacity & power generation

15.4 Abu Dhabi

15.4.1 Overview

15.4.2 Market Structure

15.4.3 Supply & demand

15.4.4 Transmission & distribution

15.4.5 Major projects

15.4.6 Leading contractors

15.5 Dubai

15.5.1 Overview

15.5.2 Market Structure

15.5.3 Supply & demand

15.5.4 Transmission & distribution

15.5.5 Major projects

15.5.6 Leading contractors

15.6 Northern Emirates

15.6.1 Overview, Market structure & Power demand

15.6.2 FEWA

15.6.3 SEWA

15.6.4 Major projects

15.6.5 Leading contractors

Table

Table 1: Mena upcoming independent power projects by value ($m), 2018-25

Table 2: Mena power contracts by country ($m), 2018-25

Table 3: Mena upcoming power generation projects by value, 2018-25

Table 4: Mena top 10 upcoming private power projects by value, 2018-25

Table 5: Mena top 10 upcoming renewable energy projects by value, 2018-25

Table 6: Mena top 10 upcoming alternative energy projects by value, 2018-25

Table 7: Mena top 10 upcoming transmission & distribution projects by value, 2018-25

Table 8: Mena leading contractors by value ($m), 2017

Table 9: Algeria power sector key facts, 2017

Table 10: Algeria planned capacity increases by fuel type (MW), 2015-30

Table 11: Algeria existing power generation projects by value, 2017

Table 12: Algeria upcoming power generation projects by value, 2018-20

Table 13: Algeria upcoming transmission projects by value, 2018-20

Table 14: Algeria leading contractors by value ($m), 2017

Table 15: Bahrain power sector key facts, 2017

Table 16: Bahrain average power generation by station, 2017 (GWh)

Table 17: Number of transmission substations in Bahrain, 2007-17

Table 18: Growth of transmission circuit bays in Bahrain, 2003-12

Table 19: Packages under 220kV & 66kV transmission development, Bahrain (2012-16)

Table 20: Bahrain upcoming power generation projects by value, 2018-25

Table 21: Bahrain upcoming transmission projects by value, 2018-20

Table 22: Bahrain leading contractors by value ($m), 2017

Table 23: Egypt power sector key facts, 2017

Table 24: Egypt Energy strategy, 2022

Table 25: Egypt contribution of renewables to total energy mix by 2022

Table 26: NREA planned EPC renewable projects up to 2024 in Egypt .

Table 27: EETC planned BOO renewables projects up to 2022 in Egypt

Table 28: Egyptian planned merchant IPP renewables projects up to 2022

Table 29: Egyptian planned FIT renewables programme up to 2022

Table 30: Numbers of Transformers in Egypt, 2016

Table 31: Total length of transmission lines and cables, 2016

Table 32: Egypt distribution lines and cables (thousand kilometers), 2010/11-2015/16

Table 33: Egypt upcoming power generation projects by value, 2018-25

Table 34: Egypt upcoming power transmission projects by value, 2018-25

Table 35: Egypt leading contractors by value ($m), 2017

Table 36: Iran power sector key facts, 2017

Table 37: Iran transmission lines (km), 2008/09-2015/16

Table 38: Iran distribution lines (km), 2008/09-2015/16

Table 39: Iran transmission substation capacity – MVA (2015/16)

Table 40: Iran distribution losses (TWh), 2008/09-2015/16

Table 41: Iran power sector investment requirement, 2018-22

Table 42: Iran upcoming power generation projects by net project value, 2018-20

Table 43: Iran upcoming power transmission projects by net project value, 2018

Table 44: Iran leading contractors by value ($m), 2017

Table 45: Iraq power sector key facts, 2017

Table 46: Iraq existing power generation projects by value, 2017

Table 47: Iraq upcoming power generation projects by value, 2018-19

Table 48: Iraq existing power transmission projects by contract value, 2017

Table 49: Iraq leading contractors by value ($m), 2017

Table 50: Jordan power sector key facts, 2017

Table 51: Jordan’s CEGCO installed capacity by plant, 2016

Table 52: SEPCO installed capacity, 2010-16

Table 53: Electricity sales (GWh), 2011-16

Table 54: Transmission lines (km), 2011-16

Table 55: Main substations installed capacity (MVA), 2011-16

Table 56: Electricity imports (GWh), 2010-16

Table 57: Upcoming power generation projects by value, 2018-20

Table 58: Upcoming power transmission projects by value, 2018-20

Table 59: Jordan leading contractors by value ($m), 2017 2017

Table 60: Kuwait power sector key facts, 2017

Table 61: Kuwait planned generation capacity additions, 2028-30 (MW)

Table 62: Kuwait upcoming power generation projects by value, 2018-25

Table 63: Kuwait upcoming power transmission projects by value, 2018-25

Table 64: Kuwait leading contractors by value ($m), 2017

Table 65: Libya power sector key facts, 2017

Table 66: Libya renewable energy share of power generation, 2015-25

Table 67: Libya medium-term renewable energy targets, 2016-25

Table 68: Electricity consumption by sector, 2016

Table 69: Libya length of transmission lines (km), 2016

Table 70: Libya’s 400kV network future plan 2015-2030

Table 71: Libya existing power generation projects by value, 2017

Table 72: Existing power transmission projects by contract value

Table 73: Libya leading contractors by value ($m), 2017

Table 74: Morocco power sector key facts, 2017

Table 75: Morocco’s high-voltage transmission network, 2011-16 (km)

Table 76: Morocco existing power generation projects by value, 2017

Table 77: Morocco upcoming power generation projects by value, 2018-20

Table 78: Morocco power transmission projects by net project value ($m), 2018-20

Table 79: Morocco leading contractors by value ($m), 2017 2017

Table 80: Oman power sector key facts, 2017

Table 81: Contracted operational power capacity in the MIS

Table 82: Total power generation sources in MIS (MW), 2017-2023

Table 83: Contracted capacity in Dhofar Power System, 2017-23

Table 84: Non-firm & Contingency Reserves, 2017-23

Table 85: Oman upcoming power generation projects by net project value, 2018-25

Table 86: Oman upcoming power transmission projects by net project value, 2018-21

Table 87: Oman leading contractors by value ($m), 2017

Table 88: Qatar power sector key facts, 2017

Table 89: Qatar T&D infrastructure, 2009-16

Table 90: Qatar upcoming power generation projects by value, 2018-19

Table 91: Qatar existing power transmission projects by contract value, 2015-17

Table 92: Qatar upcoming transmission projects by value ($m), 2018

Table 93: Qatar leading contractors by value ($m), 2017 2017

Table 94: Saudi Arabia power sector key facts, 2017

Table 95: Saudi Arabia transmission & distribution infrastructure, 2013-16

Table 96: Saudi Arabia number of transmission substations, 2013-16

Table 97: Saudi Arabia upcoming power generation projects by value ($m), 2018-25

Table 98: Saudi Arabia upcoming power transmission projects by value ($m), 2018-25

Table 99: Saudi Arabia leading contractors by value ($m), 2017

Table 100: Tunisia power sector key facts, 2017

Table 101: Tunisia – STEG sales, 2009-16 (GWh)

Table 102: Tunisia 2020: Transmission and distribution strategy

Table 103: Tunisia upcoming power generation projects by net project value, 2018-25

Table 104: Tunisia transmission projects by net project value ($m), 2017

Table 105: Tunisia leading contractors by value ($m), 2017

Table 106: UAE power sector key facts, 2017

Table 107: Abu Dhabi power sector key facts, 2017

Table 108: Abu Dhabi upcoming power generation projects by value, 2018-25

Table 109: Abu Dhabi upcoming power transmission projects by value, 2018

Table 110: Abu Dhabi leading contractors by value ($m), 2017

Table 111: Dubai power sector key facts, 2017

Table 112: Dubai key T&D infrastructure, 2011-17

Table 113: Dubai upcoming power generation projects by value, 2018-25

Table 114: Dubai upcoming power transmission projects by value, 2018-20

Table 115: Dubai leading contractors by value ($m), 2017

Table 116: FEWA total capacity, 2017

Table 117: Northern Emirates upcoming power generation projects by value, 2018 – 2021

Table 118: Northern Emirates upcoming transmission projects by value, 2018-19

Table 119: Northern Emirates leading contractors by value ($m), 2017

Figures

Figure 1: Mena installed total capacity (GW), 2010-25

Figure 2: Mena power capacity by country (MW), 2017-25

Figure 3: Mena power capacity by fuel type for selected countries (MW), 2025

Figure 4: Mena renewable power capacity by type for selected countries (MW), 2010-25

Figure 5: Mena renewable share in total capacity (per cent), 2017 and 2025

Figure 6: Mena solar power capacity for selected countries (MW), 2010-25

Figure 7: Mena nuclear power capacity (MW), 2010-25

Figure 8: Mena power contracts by country, stage and value ($m), 2018-25

Figure 9: Mena power contracts by country, stage and capacity (MW), 2018-25

Figure 10: Mena leading contractors by value ($m), 2017

Figure 11: Algeria’s Sonelgaz group companies

Figure 12: Algeria installed total capacity by fuel type (MW), 2010-2025

Figure 13: Algeria installed total capacity by fuel type (per cent), 2015-2020 (Phase 1)

Figure 14: Algeria installed total capacity by fuel type (per cent), 2021-2030 (Phase 2)

Figure 15: Algeria electricity generation by fuel type (GWh), 2010-25

Figure 16: Algeria power demand (GWh), 2010-25

Figure 17: Algeria’s length of transmission network (km), 2004-2016

Figure 18: Algeria’s length of distribution network (km), 2010-2016

Figure 19: Bahrain installed total capacity (MW), 2010-25

Figure 20: Bahrain electricity generation (GWh), 2010-25

Figure 21: Bahrain power supply by source, 2017 (per cent)

Figure 22: Bahrain peak demand (MW), 2010-20

Figure 23: Bahrain peak demand growth (per cent), 2010-20

Figure 24: Bahrain electricity consumption by sector 2017 (per cent)

Figure 25: Structure of the Egyptian electricity sector

Figure 26: Egypt installed total capacity by fuel type (MW), 2010-2025

Figure 27: Egypt electricity generation by fuel type (GWh), 2010-25

Figure 28: Egypt power demand, 2010-25 (GWh)

Figure 29: Egypt electricity consumption by end-user, 2015-16

Figure 30: Distribution of transformer capacities for MV&LV (Thousand MVA), 2009/10-2015/16

Figure 31: Iran installed total capacity (MW), 2010-2025

Figure 32: Iran electricity generation (GWh), 2010-25

Figure 33: Iran power demand (TWh), 2010-25

Figure 34: Iran electricity exports and imports (TWh)

Figure 35: Iraq power sector capital expenditure requirement, 2012-30 ($bn)

Figure 36: Iraq installed total capacity by fuel type (MW), 2010-2025

Figure 37: Iraqelectricity generation by fuel type (MW), 2010-25

Figure 38: Iraq power demand (TWh), 2010-2025

Figure 39: Iraq power consumption by sector, 2017 (per cent)

Figure 40: Jordan’s installed total capacity (MW), 2010-25

Figure 41: Location of CEGCO power plants in Jordan

Figure 42: Jordan power generation (GWh), 2010-25

Figure 43: Jordan peak demand (MW), 2010-25

Figure 44: Jordan peak demand (per cent), 2010-25

Figure 45: Jordan power consumption by sector, 2016 (per cent)

Figure 46: Kuwait installed total capacity (MW), 2010-25

Figure 47: Kuwait power generation (GWh), 2010-25

Figure 48: Kuwait peak power demand (MW), 2010-25

Figure 49: Kuwait peak power demand growth (per cent), 2010-25

Figure 50: Kuwait power consumption by sector (per cent), 2017

Figure 51: Libya installed total capacity (MW), 2010-25

Figure 52: Libya installed capacity by fuel type (MW), 2016

Figure 53: Libya electricity generation (GWh), 2010-25

Figure 54: Libya electricity generation by fuel type, 2017 (per cent)

Figure 55: Libya peak power demand (MW), 2010-25

Figure 56: Libya peak power demand growth, 2010-25 (per cent)

Figure 57: Libya Electricity consumption by sector, 2016 (per cent)

Figure 58: Morocco installed total capacity by fuel type (MW), 2010-2025

Figure 59: Morocco electricity generation by fuel type (GWh), 2010-2025

Figure 60: Morocco power demand (TWh), 2010-2025

Figure 61: Morocco power consumption by sector, 2016 (per cent)

Figure 62: Oman installed total capacity* (MW), 2010-25

Figure 63: Oman electricity generation, 2011-25 (GWh)

Figure 64: Oman peak power demand*, 2010-23 (MW)

Figure 65: Peak and average power demand in MIS (MW), 2010-23

Figure 66: Peak and average power demand in Dhofar (MW), 2010-23

Figure 67: Peak power demand in Duqm (MW), 2016-23

Figure 68: Oman peak power demand in Musandam (MW), 2016-23

Figure 69: Qatar installed total capacity by fuel type (MW), 2010-25

Figure 70: Qatar electricity generation by fuel type (GWh), 2010-2025

Figure 71: Qatar peak power demand, 2010-25 (MW)

Figure 72: Qatar peak power demand growth, 2010-25 (per cent)

Figure 73: Qatar power consumption by sector, 2016 (TWh)

Figure 74: Saudi Arabia installed total capacity by fuel type (MW), 2010-25

Figure 75: Saudi Arabia electricity generation by fuel type (GWh), 2010-25

Figure 76: Saudi Arabia peak power demand (MW), 2010-25

Figure 77: Saudi Arabia peak power demand growth (per cent), 2010-25

Figure 78: Saudi Arabia power consumption by sector (per cent), 2016

Figure 79: Tunisia installed total capacity (MW), 2010-25

Figure 80: Tunisia’s selected upcoming renewable energy projects

Figure 81: Tunisia electricity generation (GWh), 2010-25

Figure 82: Tunisia peak power demand (MW), 2010-25

Figure 83: Tunisia peak power demand growth (per cent), 2010-25

Figure 84: Tunisia electricity consumption by sector (per cent), 2016

Figure 85: UAE’s energy mix by 2050

Figure 86: UAE installed total capacity by fuel type (MW), 2010-25 (MW)

Figure 87: UAE electricity generation by fuel type (GWh), 2010-25

Figure 88: Abu Dhabi installed total capacity (MW), 2010-16

Figure 89: Abu Dhabi power generation (GWh), 2010-16

Figure 90: ADWEC’s peak power demand (MW), 2010-25

Figure 91: ADWEC’s peak power demand growth ( per cent), 2010-25

Figure 92: ADWEA’s electricity exports at peak time (MW)

Figure 93: Abu Dhabi power consumption by sector, 2016 (per cent)

Figure 94: Dubai installed total capacity (MW), 2010-25

Figure 95: Dubai peak power demand (MW), 2010-17

Figure 96: Dubai power consumption by sector, 2017 (per cent)

Figure 97: FEWA’s peak power imports from Abu Dhabi (MW), 2010-16

Figure 98: SEWA peak power demand growth (per cent), 2010-16

Figure 99: SEWA’s peak power imports from Abu Dhabi, 2010-16

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