New Zealand Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2018 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

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Published: May 30, 2018 Report Code: GDPE2078ICR-ST

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This report elaborates New Zealand's power market structure and provides historical and forecast numbers for capacity, generation, and consumption up to 2030. Detailed analysis of the New Zealand power market’s regulatory structure, import and export trends, competitive landscape, and power projects at various stages of the supply chain is provided. The report also gives a snapshot of the power sector in New Zealand on broad parameters of macroeconomics, supply security, generation infrastructure, transmission infrastructure, degree of competition, regulatory scenario, and future potential. An analysis of the deals market scenario in the country’s power sector is also included in the report.

Scope

Snapshot of the country’s power sector across parameters – macro economics, supply security, generation infrastructure, transmission infrastructure, degree of competition, regulatory scenario and future potential of the power sector.

Statistics for installed capacity, power generation and consumption from 2000 to 2017, forecast for the next 13 years to 2030

Break-up by technology, including thermal, hydro, renewable and nuclear

Data on leading current and upcoming projects

Information on grid interconnectivity, transmission and distribution infrastructure and power exports and imports

Policy and regulatory framework governing the market

Detailed analysis of top market participant, including market share analysis and SWOT analysis.

Key Highlights

–

Reasons to Buy

Identify opportunities and plan strategies by having a strong understanding of the investment opportunities in the country’s power sector

Identification of key factors driving investment opportunities in the country’s power sector

Facilitate decision-making based on strong historic and forecast data

Develop strategies based on the latest regulatory events

Position yourself to gain the maximum advantage of the industry’s growth potential

Identify key partners and business development avenues

Identify key strengths and weaknesses of important market participants

Respond to your competitors’ business structure, strategy and prospects.

Meridian Energy Ltd;
Genesis Energy Ltd;
Contact Energy Ltd;
Mercury NZ Ltd;
Infratil Ltd

Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents 1

1.1 List of Tables 4

1.2 List of Figures 5

2 Executive Summary 6

2.1 New Zealand, Power Sector Outlook 6

3 Introduction 9

3.1 GlobalData Report Guidance 10

4 New Zealand, Power Market, Snapshot 11

4.1 Macroeconomic Factors 11

4.2 Supply Security 13

4.3 Opportunities 13

4.4 Challenges 13

5 New Zealand, Power Market, Market Analysis 14

5.1 New Zealand, Power Market, Market Structure 14

5.2 New Zealand, Power Market, Key Market Players 14

5.3 New Zealand, Power Market, Financial Deals 15

5.3.1 Deal Value and Volume Analysis, 2008–April 2018 15

5.3.2 Deals by Type, 2017 16

5.4 New Zealand, Power Market, Demand Structure 17

5.4.1 Power Consumption by Sector, 2017 18

6 New Zealand, Power Market, Regulatory Scenario 20

6.1 New Zealand, Power Market, Regulatory Framework 20

6.2 New Renewable Energy Target for New Zealand 20

6.3 New Zealand Energy Strategy 20

6.4 New Zealand Energy Efficiency and Conservation Strategy 21

6.4.1 Energy in Business 21

6.4.2 Efficient and Renewable Electricity System 22

6.4.3 NZEECS 2017–2022 22

6.5 Buy-back Rates for Solar Power 22

7 New Zealand Power Market, Capacity and Generation Overview 24

7.1 New Zealand, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2000–2030 24

7.1.1 Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, 2017 24

7.2 Cumulative Installed Capacity and Annual Generation, 2000–2030 26

7.2.1 Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity and Annual Thermal Power Generation, 2000–2030 29

7.2.2 Cumulative Installed Hydro Power Capacity and Annual Nuclear Power Generation, 2000–2030 32

7.2.3 Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation, 2000–2030 35

8 New Zealand, Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Overview 38

8.1 New Zealand, Power Market, Transmission Network Overview 38

8.2 New Zealand, Power Market, Distribution Network Overview 39

8.3 New Zealand, Power Market, Grid Interconnection 39

8.4 New Zealand, Power Market, Electricity Treading 40

9 New Zealand, Power Market, Competitive Landscape: Snapshot of Leading Power Generating Companies 41

9.1 Key Company in the New Zealand Power Market: Meridian Energy Ltd 41

9.1.1 Company Overview 41

9.1.2 Business Description 41

9.1.3 SWOT Overview 41

9.2 Key Company in the New Zealand Power Market: Genesis Energy Ltd 43

9.2.1 Company Overview 43

9.2.2 Business Description 44

9.2.3 SWOT Overview 44

9.3 Key Company in the New Zealand Power Market: Contact Energy Ltd 46

9.3.1 Company Overview 47

9.3.2 Business Description 47

9.3.3 SWOT Overview 47

9.4 Key Company in the New Zealand Power Market: Mercury NZ Ltd 49

9.4.1 Company Overview 49

9.4.2 Business Description 50

9.4.3 SWOT Overview 50

9.5 Key Company in the New Zealand Power Market: Infratil Ltd 53

9.5.1 Company Overview 53

9.5.2 Business Description 53

9.5.3 SWOT Overview 54

10 Appendix 57

10.1 Market Definitions 57

10.1.1 Power 57

10.1.2 Installed Capacity 57

10.1.3 Electricity Generation 57

10.1.4 Electricity Consumption 57

10.1.5 Thermal Power Plant 57

10.1.6 Hydropower Plant 57

10.1.7 Nuclear Power 57

10.1.8 Renewable Energy Resources 57

10.2 Abbreviations 58

10.3 Bibliography 58

10.4 Methodology 58

10.5 Coverage 58

10.5.1 Secondary Research 58

10.5.2 Primary Research 59

10.5.3 Modeling and Forecasting 59

10.6 Contact Us 60

10.7 Disclaimer 60

Table

1.1 List of Tables

Table 1: Power Market, New Zealand, Gross Domestic Product (NZD and $bn), Population (m), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2022 12

Table 2: Power Market, New Zealand, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies (%), 2017 15

Table 3: Power Market, New Zealand, Deal Value ($bn) and Number of Deals, 2008–April 2018 16

Table 4: Power Market, New Zealand, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2030 18

Table 5: Power Market, New Zealand, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2017 19

Table 6: Power Market, New Zealand, Buy-back Rates for Renewable Electricity, 2017 23

Table 7: Power Market, New Zealand, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2017 24

Table 8: Power Market, New Zealand, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 28

Table 9: Power Market, New Zealand, Leading Thermal Power Plants (MW), 2018 29

Table 10: Power Market, New Zealand, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 31

Table 11: Power Market, New Zealand, Leading Hydropower Plants (MW), 2018 32

Table 12: Power Market, New Zealand, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 34

Table 13: Power Market, New Zealand, Leading Non-hydro Renewable Power Plants (MW), 2018 35

Table 14: Power Market, New Zealand, Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity (GW and MW) and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation (TWh and GWh), 2000–2030 37

Table 15: Power Market, New Zealand, Transmission Line Length (Ckm), 2007–2025 38

Table 16: Power Market, New Zealand, Distribution Line Length (Ckm), 2007–2025 39

Table 17: Power Market, New Zealand, Meridian Energy Ltd, SWOT Profile, 2018 42

Table 18: Power Market, New Zealand, Genesis Energy Ltd, SWOT Profile, 2018 45

Table 19: Power Market, New Zealand, Contact Energy Ltd, SWOT Profile, 2018 48

Table 20: Power Market, New Zealand, Mercury NZ Ltd, SWOT Profile, 2018 51

Table 21: Power Market, New Zealand, Infratil Ltd, SWOT Profile, 2018 55

Table 22: Abbreviations 58

Figures

1.2 List of Figures

Figure 1: Power Market, New Zealand, Gross Domestic Product ($bn) and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2017 6

Figure 2: Power Market, New Zealand, Annual Power Consumption and Generation (TWh), 2000–2017 7

Figure 3: Power Market, New Zealand, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2017 8

Figure 4: Power Market, New Zealand, Gross Domestic Product ($bn), Population (m), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2022 12

Figure 5: Power Market, New Zealand, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies (%), 2017 15

Figure 6: Power Market, New Zealand, Deal Value ($bn) and Number of Deals, 2008–April 2018 16

Figure 7: Power Market, New Zealand, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2030 17

Figure 8: Power Market, New Zealand, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2017 19

Figure 9: Power Market, New Zealand, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2017 24

Figure 10: Power Market, New Zealand, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 27

Figure 11: Power Market, New Zealand, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 30

Figure 12: Power Market, New Zealand, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 33

Figure 13: Power Market, New Zealand, Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 36

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