Poland Power Market Outlook to 2035 – Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape

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The Poland power market had a cumulative installed capacity of 62.7GW in 2022 and will achieve a CAGR of more than 5% during 2021-2035. The industrial sector accounted for the highest share of power consumption across Poland in 2022.

Poland Power Market Outlook 2022-2035 (GW)
Poland Power Market Outlook 2022-2035 (GW)

The market research report discusses the Polish power market structure. It provides historical and forecast numbers for capacity, generation, and consumption up to 2035. The report also analyzes the Poland power market’s regulatory structure and competitive landscape.

Cumulative Installed Capacity (2022) 62.7GW
CAGR (2021-2035) >5%
Regulations ·       Poland Energy Policy 2040 (PEP2040)

·       Renewable Energy Sources Act (RES Act)

Leading Companies ·       PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna SA

·       Enea SA

·       Tauron Polska Energia SA

·       Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA

·       Polskie Gornictwo Naftowe i Gazownictwo SA

·       Zespol Elektrowni Patnow Adamow Konin SA

Key Deal Types ·       Asset Transactions

·       Partnerships

·       Debt Offerings

·       Acquisitions

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Poland Power Market Dynamics

Poland’s power demand has been increasing due to economic growth and rising industrial and residential demand. In 2022, thermal power dominated the capacity segment, where its share in total capacity was over 60%. It was followed by renewable power and hydropower. Among the thermal sources, coal-based power plants dominate the generation mix. This is because coal reserves are abundant, which also makes the country a leading exporter of coal worldwide.

The government is aware of the need to alleviate the climate change effects of thermal power generation and is turning towards renewable power generation sources. The country is currently promoting wind, biomass, biogas, and solar photovoltaic (PV) to achieve the 2030 EU targets. In its Energy Strategy 2040 (EPP 2040), the country plans to end its dependence on coal after the Polish government, miners’ unions, and the state-owned coal firm, Polish Mining Group (PGG), agreed on a plan to phase out mines by 2049, which is very late in comparison to other EU nations.

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Poland Power Market – Competitive Landscape

In 2022, the Poland’s power generation market was dominated by PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna which contributed a share of more than 28% in total power generation. This was followed by Enea SA and Tauron Polska Energia SA.

Poland Power Market Analysis by Companies, 2022 (%)
Poland Power Market Analysis by Companies, 2022 (%)

 

Poland Power Market Segmentation by Deal Types

Asset transactions dominated the Polish power market in 2021, accounting for over 41% of the market. This was followed by partnership and acquisition deals.

Poland Power Market Analysis by Deal Types, 2021 (%)
Poland Power Market Analysis by Deal Types, 2021 (%)

 

Segments Covered in the Report

Poland Power Type Industry Outlook (Value, 2010-2035)

  • Residential Sector
  • Industrial Sector
  • Transport Sector
  • Other Sector
  • Commercial Sector

Poland Power Market Deal Type Outlook (Value, 2010-2035)

  • Debt Offerings
  • Acquisition
  • Asset Transactions
  • Partnerships

Scope

  • Snapshot of the country’s power sector across parameters – macroeconomics, supply security, generation infrastructure, transmission infrastructure, electricity import and export scenario, degree of competition, regulatory scenario, and future potential of the power sector.
  • Statistics for installed capacity, generation, and consumption from 2010 to 2022, and forecast for the next 13 years to 2035.
  • Capacity, generation, and major power plants by technology.
  • Data on leading active and upcoming power plants.
  • Information on transmission and distribution infrastructure, electricity imports and exports,
  • Policy and regulatory framework governing the market.
  • Detailed analysis of top market participants, including market share analysis and SWOT analysis.

Reasons to Buy

  • Identify opportunities and plan strategies by having a strong understanding of the investment opportunities in the country’s power sector.
  • Identify key factors driving investment opportunities in the country’s power sector.
  • Facilitate decision-making based on strong historical and forecast data.
  • Develop strategies based on the latest regulatory events.
  • Position yourself to gain the maximum advantage of the industry’s growth potential.
  • Identify key partners and business development avenues.
  • Identify key strengths and weaknesses of important market participants.
  • Respond to your competitors’ business structure, strategy, and prospects.

PGE
Enea SA
Tauron Polska Energia SA
Orlen SA
Polskie Gornictwo Naftowe i Gazownictwo SA
Zespol Elektrowni Patnow Adamow Konin SA

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

1.1 Poland’s dependency on thermal power a major roadblock towards achieving climate goals.

1.2 Industrial and commercial sectors dominate power consumptionz.

2 Introduction

2.1 Poland Power Market

2.2 GlobalData Report Guidance

3 Poland Power Market, Snapshot

3.1 Country Summary

3.2 Macroeconomic Factors

3.3 Supply Security

3.4 Opportunities

3.5 Challenges

4 Poland Power Market, Market Analysis

4.1 Market Structure

4.2 Key Market Players

4.3 Financial Deals

Deal Value and Volume, 2010–2022

Deals by Type, 2022

4.4 Poland Power Market, Demand Structure

Power Consumption by Sector, 2022

5 Poland Power Market, Regulatory Scenario

5.1 Thermal Power Policy

5.2 Renewable Energy Market, Overview

5.3 Policy Snapshot

5.4 Poland Energy Policy 2040 (PEP2040/EPP2040)

5.5 Coal Phase Out

5.6 Geothermal Target

5.7 Energy Law Act

Quota System (Renewable Portfolio Standards)

5.8 Renewable Energy Sources Act (RES Act)

Amendments under the RES Act

Distance Act

5.9 Auction-based Feed-in Tariff (FIT)/Feed-in Premium (FIP) Results

Renewable Energy Auction Plan -2022

Renewable Energy Auction Plan -2021

5.10 Financial Incentives

BOCIAN–support for distributed energy sources

Green Investment Scheme

Certification–based Investment Scheme

Solar Rebate Scheme ‘Mój Prąd’ or ‘My Electricity’, 2019

6 Poland Power Market, Capacity and Generation

6.1 Cumulative Capacity Share by Technology, 2022

6.2 Total Power Capacity and Generation, 2010–2035

6.3 Thermal Power Capacity and Generation, 2010–2035

6.4 Hydropower Capacity and Generation, 2010–2035

6.5 Nuclear Power Capacity and Generation, 2030–2035

6.6 Renewable Power Capacity and Generation, 2010–2035

7 Poland Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Overview

7.1 Transmission Network

7.2 Distribution Network

7.3 Electricity Import and Export

7.4 Grid Interconnection

8 Poland Power Market, Major Generating Companies

8.1 PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna SA

Company Overview

Business Description

SWOT Overview

8.2 Enea SA

Company Overview

Business Description

SWOT Overview

8.3 Tauron Polska Energia SA

Company Overview

Business Description

SWOT Overview

8.4 Orlen SA

Company Overview

Business Description

SWOT Overview

9 Appendix

9.1 Abbreviations

9.2 Market Definitions

Power

Renewable Power

Installed Capacity

Electricity Generation

Electricity Consumption

9.3 Methodology

Coverage

Secondary Research

Primary Research

Modelling and Forecasting

About GlobalData

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Table

List of Tables

Table 1: Power Market, Poland, Macroeconomic Factors, 2010–2030

Table 2: Policy Snapshot, Poland, 2022

Table 3: Renewable Energy Auctions, Poland, 2018-2022

Table 4: Renewables Capacity Allocations through Auctions, 2021

Table 5: Power Market, Poland, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation, 2010–2035

Table 6: Power Market, Poland, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation Share by Technology, 2010–2035

Table 7: Thermal Power Market, Poland, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation, 2010–2035

Table 8: Thermal Power Market, Poland, Major Plants, 2022

Table 9: Hydropower Market, Poland, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation, 2010–2035

Table 10: Hydropower Market, Poland, Major Plants, 2022

Table 11: Nuclear Power Market, Poland, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation, 2030–2035

Table 12: Nuclear Power Market, Poland, Major Plants, 2022

Table 13: Renewable Power Market, Poland, Cumulative Capacity (GW), 2010–2035

Table 14: Renewable Power Market, Poland, Annual Generation (TWh), 2010–2035

Table 15: Renewable Power Market, Poland, Major Plants, 2022

Table 16: Power Market, Poland, Transmission Line Length (Ckm) by Voltage Level, 2010–2027

Table 17: Power Market, Poland, Distribution Line Length (Ckm) by Voltage Level, 2010–2027

Table 18: Power Market, Poland, Annual Electricity Import and Export (TWh), 2000–2022

Table 19: Power Market, Poland, Upcoming Interconnection Projects

Table 20: Abbreviations

Figures

List of Figures

Figure 1: Power Market, Poland, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2022

Figure 2: Power Market, Poland, Country Summary

Figure 3: Power Market, Poland, Macroeconomic Factors, 2010–2030

Figure 4: Power Market, Poland, Market Structure

Figure 5: Power Market, Poland, Market Share of Generation Companies (%), 2022

Figure 6: Power Market, Poland, Deal Value and Number of Deals, 2010–2022

Figure 7: Power Market, Poland, Deals by Type (%), 2022

Figure 8: Power Market, Poland, Annual Power Consumption, 2010–2035

Figure 9: Power Market, Poland, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2022

Figure 10: Power Market, Poland, Cumulative Capacity Share by Technology (%), 2022

Figure 11: Power Market, Poland, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation, 2010–2035

Figure 12: Power Market, Poland, Capacity Share by Technology, 2010–2035

Figure 13: Power Market, Poland, Annual Generation Share by Technology, 2010–2035

Figure 14: Thermal Power Market, Poland, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation, 2010–2035

Figure 15: Hydropower Market, Poland, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation, 2010–2035

Figure 16: Nuclear Power Market, Poland, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation, 2030–2035

Figure 17: Renewable Power Market, Poland, Cumulative Capacity, 2010–2035

Figure 18: Renewable Power Market, Poland, Annual Generation, 2010–2035

Figure 19: Power Market, Poland, Annual Electricity Import and Export, 2000–2022

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