Quarterly Production and Capital Expenditure Outlook for Key Planned and Announced Upstream Projects in Southeast Asia – Indonesia at the Forefront in Capex Spending

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Published: April 30, 2018 Report Code: GDGE0229MAR-ST

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In Southeast Asia, more than 40 key crude oil and natural gas projects are expected to start operations by 2025. Indonesia leads with the highest number of planned projects, followed by Malaysia and Vietnam. Malaysia leads in terms of announced projects, followed by Indonesia and Vietnam. Key projects in Southeast Asia are expected to contribute up to 190 mbd to global crude production and more than 8,400 mmcfd to global gas production in 2025. Among operators, Sapura Energy Berhad, Husky-CNOOC Madura Limited and PETRONAS Carigali Sdn Bhd lead in terms of operatorship of planned and announced projects

Scope

Oil and gas production outlook by key countries and companies in Southeast Asia

Planned projects count and starts by key countries and companies in the region

Details of key planned crude and natural gas projects in Southeast Asia

Capex and opex outlook by key countries and companies in the region

Key Highlights

A total of 46 crude and natural gas projects are expected to start operations in four countries in Southeast Asia during 2018 to 2025. Among these, 26 represent the number of planned projects with identified development plans and 20 represent the number of early-stage announced projects that are undergoing conceptual studies and that are expected to get approved for development.

• In 2025, key projects in Southeast Asia are expected to contribute about 191 thousand barrels of oil per day (mbd) of global crude production and about 8,462 million cubic feet per day (mmcfd) of global gas production.

• In terms of number of planned oil and gas projects, Indonesia leads among countries with 10 projects, with Malaysia and Vietnam following with eight and seven projects, respectively. Malaysia leads in terms of announced projects with 10, followed by Indonesia and Vietnam with nine and one respectively.

• Among operators, both Sapura Energy Berhad and Husky-CNOOC Madura Limited lead with the highest operatorship with three planned projects each, all being natural gas projects. PETRONAS Carigali Sdn Bhd follows with two planned natural gas projects.

• In terms of announced projects, Sapura Energy Berhad has interest in three early-stage projects, followed by PETRONAS Carigali Sdn Bhd and Eni SpA with one project each.

• Proposed capital expenditure (capex) of US$28.8 billion is expected to be spent between 2018 and 2025 to bring the planned projects online in the Southeast Asia, and US$44.6 billion expected to be spent on key announced projects.

• Among countries, Vietnam, Malaysia, and Indonesia are expected to be the highest capex spenders on key planned projects with about US$12.6 billion, US$7.7 billion, and US$6.4 billion, respectively, during 2018–2025.

• With early-stage projects, Indonesia leads with a capex of US$28.4 billion, followed by Malaysia with US$15.6 billion.

• Among companies, ExxonMobil Corporation, Vietnam National Oil and Gas Group, and Petroliam Nasional Berhad have the highest level of spending on planned projects with US$5.6 billion, US$4.7 billion, and US$3.1 billion, respectively.

• The highest level of spending on early-stage announced projects is by Petroliam Nasional Berhad, Royal Dutch Shell Plc, and Inpex Corporation with US$9 billion, US$8.8 billion, and US$5.5 billion spent on capex, respectively.

Reasons to Buy

Understand oil and gas production outlook for the Southeast Asia

Keep abreast of key planned production projects in the region

Facilitate decision making on the basis of strong oil and gas production forecast

Develop business strategies with the help of specific insights on Southeast Asia production and capex outlook

Assess your competitor’s planned oil and gas production projects in the region

Table of Contents

1. Table of Contents 1

1.1. List of Tables 2

1.2. List of Figures 3

2. Quarterly Production and Capital Expenditure Outlook for Southeast Asia 4

2.1. Key Highlights 4

2.2. Major Planned and Announced Projects Count by Country in Southeast Asia 5

2.3. Major Planned and Announced Project Starts by Country in Southeast Asia 6

2.4. Economic Metrics of Key Planned and Announced Projects by Country in Southeast Asia 7

2.5. Crude Production from Key Planned and Announced Projects by Country in Southeast Asia 9

2.6. Gas Production from Key Planned and Announced Projects by Country in Southeast Asia 12

2.7. Major Planned and Announced Projects by Terrain and Country in Southeast Asia 16

2.8. Key Planned and Announced Crude Projects in Southeast Asia 17

2.9. Key Planned and Announced Gas Projects in Southeast Asia 18

2.10. Capex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Country in Southeast Asia 22

2.11. Opex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Country in Southeast Asia 24

2.12. Major Planned and Announced Projects Count by Operator in Southeast Asia 26

2.13. Crude and Condensate Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Company in Southeast Asia 27

2.14. Gas Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Company in Southeast Asia 29

2.15. Capex and Opex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Company in Southeast Asia 31

3. Appendix 33

3.1. Abbreviations 33

3.2. Methodology 33

3.2.1. Coverage 33

3.2.2. Secondary Research 33

3.3. Contact Us 34

3.4. Disclaimer 34

Table

Table 1: Major Planned and Announced Projects Count by Country, 2018–2025 5

Table 2: Total Crude Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Country, 2018–2025 (bd) 9

Table 3: Total Crude Production from Major Planned Projects by Country, 2018–2025 (bd) 10

Table 4: Total Crude Production from Major Announced Projects by Country, 2018–2025 (bd) 11

Table 5: Total Gas Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Country, 2018–2025 (mmcfd) 12

Table 6: Total Gas Production from Major Planned Projects by Country, 2018–2025 (mmcfd) 13

Table 7: Total Gas Production from Major Announced Projects by Country (mmcfd) 14

Table 8: Key Planned Crude Projects, 2018–2025 17

Table 9: Key Announced Crude Projects, 2018–2025 17

Table 10: Key Planned Gas Projects, 2018–2025 18

Table 11: Key Planned Gas Projects, 2018–2025 (Contd.) 19

Table 12: Key Announced Gas Projects, 2018–2025 20

Table 13: Key Announced Gas Projects, 2018–2025 (Contd.) 21

Table 14: Capex Outlook for Major Planned Projects by Country (US$ mil) 23

Table 15: Capex Outlook for Major Announced Projects by Country (US$ mil) 23

Table 16: Opex Outlook for Major Planned Projects by Key Country (US$ mil) 25

Table 17: Opex Outlook for Major Announced Projects by Country (US$ mil) 25

Figures

Figure 1: Major Planned and Announced Projects Count and Capex by Country, 2018–2025 5

Figure 2: Major Planned Project Starts by Country, 2018–2025 6

Figure 3: Major Announced Project Starts by Country, 2018–2025 6

Figure 4: Economic Metrics of Major Planned and Announced Crude Projects by Country, 2018–2025* 7

Figure 5: Economic Metrics of Major Planned and Announced Gas Projects by Country, 2018–2025* 7

Figure 6: Economic Metrics of Key Planned and Announced Crude Projects, 2018–2025* 8

Figure 7: Economic Metrics of Key Planned and Announced Gas Projects, 2018–2025* 8

Figure 8: Total Crude Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Country, 2018–2025 (bd) 9

Figure 9: Total Crude Production from Major Planned Projects by Country, 2018–2025 (bd) 10

Figure 10: Total Crude Production from Major Announced Projects by Country, 2018–2025 (bd) 11

Figure 11: Total Gas Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Country, 2018–2025 (mmcfd) 12

Figure 12: Total Gas Production from Major Planned Projects by Country, 2018–2025 (mmcfd) 13

Figure 13: Total Gas Production from Major Announced Projects by Country (mmcfd) 14

Figure 14: Production Outlook and Contribution from Major Planned and Announced Projects, 2018–2025 15

Figure 15: Major Planned and Announced Projects by Terrain and Country, 2018–2025 16

Figure 16: Capex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Country, 2018–2025 (US$ bil) 22

Figure 17: Capex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Country, 2018–2025 (US$ bil) 22

Figure 18: Opex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Country, 2018–2025 (US$ bil) 24

Figure 19: Opex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Country, 2018–2025 (US$ bil) 24

Figure 20: Major Planned and Announced Projects Count by Key Operators, 2018–2025 26

Figure 21: Crude Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies (bd) 27

Figure 22: Crude Production from Major Planned Projects by Key Companies (bd) 27

Figure 23: Crude Production from Major Announced Projects by Key Companies (bd) 28

Figure 24: Gas Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies (mmcfd) 29

Figure 25: Gas Production from Major Planned Projects by Key Companies (mmcfd) 29

Figure 26: Gas Production from Major Announced Projects by Key Companies (mmcfd) 30

Figure 27: Capex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies, 2018–2025 (US$ bil) 31

Figure 28: Capex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies, 2018–2025 (US$ bil) 31

Figure 29: Opex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies, 2018–2025 (US$ bil) 32

Figure 30: Opex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies, 2018–2025 (US$ bil) 32

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