Russian Federation Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2018 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

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Published: October 31, 2018 Report Code: GDPE2109ICR-ST

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This report elaborates Russia's power market structure and provides historical and forecast numbers for capacity, generation, and consumption up to 2030. Detailed analysis of the Russian power market’s regulatory structure, import and export trends, competitive landscape, and power projects at various stages of the supply chain is provided. The report also gives a snapshot of the power sector in Russia on broad parameters of macroeconomics, supply security, generation infrastructure, transmission infrastructure, degree of competition, regulatory scenario, and future potential. An analysis of the deals market scenario in the country’s power sector is also included in the report.

Scope

Snapshot of the country’s power sector across parameters – macro economics, supply security, generation infrastructure, transmission infrastructure, degree of competition, regulatory scenario and future potential of the power sector.

Statistics for installed capacity, power generation and consumption from 2000 to 2017, forecast for the next 13 years to 2030

Break-up by technology, including thermal, hydro, renewable and nuclear

Data on leading current and upcoming projects

Information on grid interconnectivity, transmission and distribution infrastructure and power exports and imports

Policy and regulatory framework governing the market

Detailed analysis of top market participant, including market share analysis and SWOT analysis.

Key Highlights

–

Reasons to Buy

Identify opportunities and plan strategies by having a strong understanding of the investment opportunities in the country’s power sector

Identification of key factors driving investment opportunities in the country’s power sector

Facilitate decision-making based on strong historic and forecast data

Develop strategies based on the latest regulatory events

Position yourself to gain the maximum advantage of the industry’s growth potential

Identify key partners and business development avenues

Identify key strengths and weaknesses of important market participants

Respond to your competitors’ business structure, strategy and prospects.

RusHydro;
Inter RAO UES;
Rosenergoatom Concern;
EuroSibEnergo PLC;
OGK-2

Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents 1

1.1 List of Tables 4

1.2 List of Figures 5

2 Executive Summary 6

2.1 Russian Federation, Power Sector Outlook 6

3 Introduction 9

3.1 GlobalData Report Guidance 10

4 Russian Federation, Power Market, Snapshot 11

4.1 Macroeconomic Factors 11

4.2 Supply Security 13

4.3 Opportunities 13

4.4 Challenges 14

5 Russian Federation, Power Market, Market Analysis 15

5.1 Russian Federation, Power Market, Market Structure 15

5.2 Russian Federation, Power Market, Key Market Players 15

5.3 Russian Federation, Power Market, Financial Deals 16

5.3.1 Deal Value and Volume Analysis, 2008–September 2018 16

5.3.2 Deals by Type, 2017 18

5.4 Russian Federation, Power Market, Demand Structure 18

5.4.1 Power Consumption by Sector, 2017 20

6 Russian Federation, Power Market, Regulatory Scenario 22

6.1 Russian Federation, Power Market, Regulatory Framework 22

6.2 Russian Federation, Power Market, Decree No. 449 on the Mechanism for the Promotion of Renewable Energy on the Wholesale Electricity and Market 22

6.3 Russian Federation, Power Market, Renewable Energy Program 26

6.4 Russian Federation, Power Market, Energy Strategy to 2030 26

6.5 Russian Federation, Power Market, Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) to the Paris Agreement 26

7 Russian Federation, Power Market, Capacity and Generation Overview 27

7.1 Russian Federation, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2000–2030 27

7.1.1 Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, 2017 27

7.2 Cumulative Installed Capacity and Annual Generation, 2000–2030 28

7.2.1 Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity and Annual Thermal Power Generation, 2000–2030 30

7.2.2 Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity and Annual Hydropower Generation, 2000–2030 33

7.2.3 Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity and Annual Nuclear Power Generation, 2000–2030 36

7.2.4 Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation, 2000–2030 39

8 Russian Federation, Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Overview 43

8.1 Russian Federation, Power Market, Power Supply Overview 43

8.2 Russian Federation, Power Market, Transmission Network Overview 43

8.3 Russian Federation, Power Market, Distribution Network Overview 44

8.4 Russian Federation, Power Market, Grid Interconnection 45

8.4.1 Russian Federation, Power Import and Export Scenario, 2000–2017 45

8.5 Russian Federation, Power Market, Electricity Trading 47

9 Russian Federation, Power Market, Competitive Landscape: Snapshot of Leading Power Generating Companies 49

9.1 Key Company in the Russian Federation Power Market: RusHydro 49

9.1.1 Company Overview 49

9.1.2 Business Description 49

9.1.3 SWOT Overview 50

9.2 Key Company in the Russian Federation Power Market: Inter RAO UES 51

9.2.1 Company Overview 51

9.2.2 Business Description 51

9.2.3 SWOT Overview 52

9.3 Key Company in the Russian Federation Power Market: Rosenergoatom Concern 53

9.3.1 Company Overview 53

9.3.2 Business Description 53

9.3.3 SWOT Overview 54

9.4 Key Company in the Russian Federation Power Market: EuroSibEnergo PLC 56

9.4.1 Company Overview 56

9.4.2 Business Description 56

9.4.3 SWOT Overview 57

9.5 Key Company in the Russian Federation Power Market: OGK-2 59

9.5.1 Company Overview 59

9.5.2 Business Description 59

9.5.3 SWOT Overview 59

10 Appendix 61

10.1 Market Definitions 61

10.1.1 Power 61

10.1.2 Installed Capacity 61

10.1.3 Electricity Generation 61

10.1.4 Electricity Consumption 61

10.1.5 Thermal Power Plant 61

10.1.6 Hydropower Plant 61

10.1.7 Nuclear Power 61

10.1.8 Renewable Energy Resources 61

10.2 Abbreviations 62

10.3 Bibliography 62

10.4 Methodology 63

10.5 Coverage 63

10.5.1 Secondary Research 63

10.5.2 Primary Research 64

10.5.3 Modeling and Forecasting 64

10.6 Contact Us 64

10.7 Disclaimer 65

Table

1.1 List of Tables

Table 1: Power Market, Russian Federation, Gross Domestic Product (RUB and $tn), Population (m), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2023 12

Table 2: Power Market, Russian Federation, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies (%), 2017 16

Table 3: Power Market, Russian Federation, Deal Value ($bn) and Number of Deals, 2008–September 2018 17

Table 4: Power Market, Russian Federation, Deals by Type (%), 2017 18

Table 5: Power Market, Russian Federation, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2030 20

Table 6: Power Market, Russian Federation, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2017 21

Table 7: Power Market, Russian Federation, Minimum Local Content Requirement (%),2014–2020 23

Table 8: Power Market, Russian Federation, Annual Limits on Renewable Capacity Addition (MW), 2014–2020 24

Table 9: Power Market, Russian Federation, Renewable Energy Capacity Tenders 24

Table 10: Power Market, Russian Federation, Renewable Energy Capacity Allocation for Auctions (MW), 2019–2023 26

Table 11: Power Market, Russian Federation, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2017 27

Table 12: Power Market, Russian Federation, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 29

Table 13: Power Market, Russian Federation, Leading Thermal Power Plants (MW), 2018 30

Table 14: Power Market, Russian Federation, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 32

Table 15: Power Market, Russian Federation, Leading Hydropower Plants (MW), 2018 33

Table 16: Power Market, Russian Federation, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 35

Table 17: Power Market, Russian Federation, Leading Nuclear Power Reactors, 2018 36

Table 18: Power Market, Russian Federation, Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Nuclear Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 38

Table 19: Power Market, Russian Federation, Leading Non-hydro Renewable Power Plants (MW), 2018 40

Table 20: Power Market, Russian Federation, Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 42

Table 21: Power Market, Russian Federation, Transmission Line Length (Ckm), 2007–2025 44

Table 22: Power Market, Russian Federation, Distribution Line Length (Ckm), 2007–2025 45

Table 23: Power Market, Russian Federation, Annual Power Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000–2017 46

Table 24: Power Market, Russian Federation, RusHydro, SWOT Profile, 2018 50

Table 25: Power Market, Russian Federation, Inter RAO UES, SWOT Profile, 2018 52

Table 26: Power Market, Russian Federation, Rosenergoatom Concern, SWOT Profile, 2018 55

Table 27: Power Market, Russian Federation, EuroSibEnergo PLC, SWOT Profile, 2018 57

Table 28: Power Market, Russian Federation, OGK-2, SWOT Profile, 2018 59

Table 29: Abbreviations 62

Figures

1.2 List of Figures

Figure 1: Power Market, Russian Federation, Gross Domestic Product ($tn) and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2017 6

Figure 2: Power Market, Russian Federation, Annual Power Consumption and Generation (TWh), 2000–2017 7

Figure 3: Power Market, Russian Federation, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2017 8

Figure 4: Power Market, Russian Federation, Gross Domestic Product ($tn), Population (m), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2023 12

Figure 5: Power Market, Russian Federation, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies (%), 2017 16

Figure 6: Power Market, Russian Federation, Deal Value ($bn) and Number of Deals, 2008–September 2018 17

Figure 7: Power Market, Russian Federation, Deals by Type (%), 2017 18

Figure 8: Power Market, Russian Federation, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2030 19

Figure 9: Power Market, Russian Federation, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2017 21

Figure 10: Power Market, Russian Federation, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2017 27

Figure 11: Power Market, Russian Federation, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 28

Figure 12: Power Market, Russian Federation, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 31

Figure 13: Power Market, Russian Federation, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 34

Figure 14: Power Market, Russian Federation, Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Nuclear Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 37

Figure 15: Power Market, Russian Federation, Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 41

Figure 16: Power Market, Russian Federation, Annual Power Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000–2017 46

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