5G Technology Overview, Use Cases and Demand Forecast: Addressing Latency, Reliability and Network Density Opens Up New Business Opportunities

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"5G Technology Overview, Use Cases and Demand Forecast" is a thematic research report by GlobalData that gives an overview of the 5G technology and the main trends worldwide. Data consumption is set to grow fourfold in the next five years. 5G will, for the first time, go beyond increased bandwidth and capacity, as was the focus in previous wireless generations, adding low latency, high density and high reliability. These capabilities will enable a variety of use cases, opening the door to new, predominantly business focused services such as self-driving cars and smart cities.

The report analyzes the business user cases for 5G and the pace of deployment worldwide, with specific focus and forecasts in South Korea, Japan, the US, China and Europe. Data and insights for this report were derived through a mix of desk-based secondary research and qualitative primary research. Primary research involves in-depth interviews with market players, and the secondary research effort includes obtaining relevant data and intelligence through publicly available sources, regulatory authority publications, trade associations, specialist databases and company financial reports, presentations and press releases.

The report is structured as follows -

- Technology Overview: This section provides a background and a rationale to 5G, explaining the drivers behind 5G deployment, the terminology and spectrum requirement.

- Use Cases and New Services: Here we examine capabilities and opportunities enabled by 5G, taking a deep look at fixed wireless, massive machine, latency, reliability, automotive and drone services and network virtualization.

- Timeline and Key Country Forecasts: In this section, we provide a timeframe for commercial launch of 5G worldwide, by operator, up to 2022. we then forecast main trends in 5G subscriptions in South Korea, Japan, the US, China and Europe.

- Key findings and recommendations: We conclude the report with a summary of the opportunities, challenges and success factors in deploying 5G, as well as recommendations, for network operators and vendors.

Scope

- 5G goes beyond previous wireless generations, with additional capabilities beyond increased bandwidths and capacities, resulting in new opportunities but also additional challenges in complexity.

- 5G is gaining momentum, given that standardization timelines have been brought forward. As a result, in Japan, South Korea and USA all the major operators are planning to launch IMT 2020 based services during 2019. Important events such as Olympics are an additional driver in a number of countries.

- The 28GHz frequency band is enjoying the most initial focus, and will support early services in South Korea and US, although it is not available in all regions. The 3.5GHz frequency band has, by some way, the broadest support across key regions including US, where it is to become available as shared spectrum. Many other high frequency bands are also being considered, notably 2.5GHz, 4GHz and 39GHz; these will be complemented by low frequency bands also, including 600MHz, 700MHz and 1.3GHz.

- The 5G business case for operators depends very much on small cell deployment and the associated availability of high capacity backhaul.

Reasons to buy

- The report provides a global view of the opportunity in deploying 5G and growth trends in terms of subscriptions, as well as new use cases with customized communications.

- This analysis is useful for telecom executives to evaluate their position vis-à-vis the major growth opportunities in 5G and make informed decisions about strategic investments, value proposition and growth strategies to rapidly grow their 5G networks.

- The report provides valuable insights about use cases made possible by the 5G family of technologies.

- The report benchmarks five countries and regions and their attitude vis a vis 5G deployment and trends in terms of launch and pace of take-up of 5G mobile subscriptions.

Companies mentioned

China Telecom

Unicom

China Mobile

AT&T

KT

Verizon

Deutsche Telekom

NTT DOCOMO

Softbank

Sprint

T-Mobile USA

EE

Singtel

Swisscom

Telefonica

TIM

Etisalat

Orange

Vodafone

KDDI ...

China Telecom

Unicom

China Mobile

AT&T

KT

Verizon

Deutsche Telekom

NTT DOCOMO

Softbank

Sprint

T-Mobile USA

EE

Singtel

Swisscom

Telefonica

TIM

Etisalat

Orange

Vodafone

KDDI

Telia

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

List of exhibits

Executive summary

Section 1: Technology Overview

Background to 5G

Terminology

Standards

Radio and Spectrum

Spectrum Availability

Spectrum and Radio ...

Table of Contents

List of exhibits

Executive summary

Section 1: Technology Overview

Background to 5G

Terminology

Standards

Radio and Spectrum

Spectrum Availability

Spectrum and Radio Networks

Spectrum Bands

Small Cells

Backhaul Options

Backhaul: Full Duplex Transmission

Revenue Growth Backdrop to 5G

Section 2: Use Cases and New Services

Key Use Cases

Fixed Wireless

Network Virtualization and 5G

Massive Machine, Latency and Reliability

Automotive and Drone Services

Efficiencies Through Virtualization

Section 3: Timeline and Key Country Forecasts

Network Launch Timeline

South Korea 5G Forecast

Japan 5G Forecast

US 5G Forecast

China 5G Forecast

Europe 5G Forecast

Section 4: Key Findings and Recommendations

Key Findings

Recommendations

Appendices

Acronyms and definitions

Companies mentioned

About the authors

Contact information

List of tables

List of Tables

Exhibit 1: 5G as a proportion of total mobile subscribers 7

Exhibit 2: Mobile data growth by device, 2016 & 2021 9 ...

List of Tables

Exhibit 1: 5G as a proportion of total mobile subscribers 7

Exhibit 2: Mobile data growth by device, 2016 & 2021 9

Exhibit 3: ITU-R IMT 2020 requirements 10

Exhibit 4: Mobile Technology Generations 11

Exhibit 5: 5G standardization timeline 12

Exhibit 6: 5G New Radio Requirements 13

Exhibit 7: International 5G spectrum availability 14

Exhibit 8: Qualcomm 5G air interface technologies 15

Exhibit 9: Beam-forming and MIMO technologies 17

Exhibit 10: Advantages, challenges and deployment scenarios for key 5G spectrum bands 19

Exhibit 11: 5G network densification will require small cells and new site types 20

Exhibit 12: Microwave share of backhaul by region, 2016 and 2021 21

Exhibit 13: Kumu Networks’ full duplex technology for backhaul 23

Exhibit 14: Backhaul capacity requirements per radio site for operators in advanced mobile broadband phase 23

Exhibit 15: Consolidated 2016 revenue ($bn) and revenue growth 24

Exhibit 16: ITU IMT 2020 use cases 26

Exhibit 17: 5G use case timeline 27

Exhibit 18: New fields for 5G 28

Exhibit 19: Long term 5G business case 29

Exhibit 20: 5G Automotive Association (5GAA) Membership 30

Exhibit 21: NTT DOCOMO drone platform 30

Exhibit 22: Network slicing architecture 31

Exhibit 23: Degree of network virtualization planned for 2020 by operator 32

Exhibit 24: 5G expected timeline launches 34

Exhibit 25: 5G subscriptions forecast - S.Korea, 2018- 2022 35

Exhibit 26: 5G subscriptions forecast - Japan, 2018-2022 36

Exhibit 27: 5G subscriptions forecast -US, 2018-2022 37

Exhibit 28: 5G subscriptions forecast - China, 2018-2022 38

Exhibit 29: 5G subscriptions forecast - Europe (EE, Orange EU, Vodafone EU and DTAG), 2018-2022 39

List of figures

List of Figures

Exhibit 1: 5G as a proportion of total mobile subscribers 7

Exhibit 2: Mobile data growth by device, 2016 & 2021 9 ...

List of Figures

Exhibit 1: 5G as a proportion of total mobile subscribers 7

Exhibit 2: Mobile data growth by device, 2016 & 2021 9

Exhibit 3: ITU-R IMT 2020 requirements 10

Exhibit 4: Mobile Technology Generations 11

Exhibit 5: 5G standardization timeline 12

Exhibit 6: 5G New Radio Requirements 13

Exhibit 7: International 5G spectrum availability 14

Exhibit 8: Qualcomm 5G air interface technologies 15

Exhibit 9: Beam-forming and MIMO technologies 17

Exhibit 10: Advantages, challenges and deployment scenarios for key 5G spectrum bands 19

Exhibit 11: 5G network densification will require small cells and new site types 20

Exhibit 12: Microwave share of backhaul by region, 2016 and 2021 21

Exhibit 13: Kumu Networks’ full duplex technology for backhaul 23

Exhibit 14: Backhaul capacity requirements per radio site for operators in advanced mobile broadband phase 23

Exhibit 15: Consolidated 2016 revenue ($bn) and revenue growth 24

Exhibit 16: ITU IMT 2020 use cases 26

Exhibit 17: 5G use case timeline 27

Exhibit 18: New fields for 5G 28

Exhibit 19: Long term 5G business case 29

Exhibit 20: 5G Automotive Association (5GAA) Membership 30

Exhibit 21: NTT DOCOMO drone platform 30

Exhibit 22: Network slicing architecture 31

Exhibit 23: Degree of network virtualization planned for 2020 by operator 32

Exhibit 24: 5G expected timeline launches 34

Exhibit 25: 5G subscriptions forecast - S.Korea, 2018- 2022 35

Exhibit 26: 5G subscriptions forecast - Japan, 2018-2022 36

Exhibit 27: 5G subscriptions forecast -US, 2018-2022 37

Exhibit 28: 5G subscriptions forecast - China, 2018-2022 38

Exhibit 29: 5G subscriptions forecast - Europe (EE, Orange EU, Vodafone EU and DTAG), 2018-2022 39

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