Net Present Value Model: Vidaza
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Overview
Evaluating the value of drugs is a complicated practice and requires a deep knowledge of the drug itself, the market currently and in the future, knowledge of cash inflows and outflows and the potential success rates for each stage of drug development. GlobalData has done all of this work for you, leveraging its gold standard Drugs Intelligence database to create high-value NPV models for purchase on a drug-by-drug basis.
Drug Operating Profit Model
Vidaza Drug Details
Azacitidine (Vidaza, Azafuridine, Celazadine) is a pyrimidine analog acts as an anti-anemic, anti-neoplastic agent. It is formulated as lyophilized powder for suspension and solution for intravenous, and subcutaneous route of administration. It is indicated for the treatment of myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). It is indicated used for all 5 FAB (French-American-British) subtypes of myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) which include refractory anemia (RA), refractory anemia with ringed sideroblasts (RARS), refractory anemia with excess blasts (RAEB), refractory anemia with excess blasts in transformation (RAEB-T) and chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMMoL). Vidaza is also indicated for the treatment of adult patients aged 65 years or older with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) who are not eligible for hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) and indicated for the treatment of adult patients who are not eligible for hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) with intermediate-2 and high-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) according to the International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS), chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) with 10-29% marrow blasts without myeloproliferative disorder and acute myeloid leukemia (AML) with 20-30% blasts and multi-lineage dysplasia. Vidaza is indicated for the treatment of pediatric patients aged one month and older with newly diagnosed JMML.Injectable azacitidine is under development for newly diagnosed advanced myelodysplastic syndrome, myeloproliferative neoplasm, osteosarcoma, multiple myeloma and relapsed or refractory non-Hodgkin lymphoma, Hodgkin lymphoma, adult T-cell leukemia/lymphoma, extranodal NK-/T-cell lymphoma, nasal type, enteropathy-associated T-cell lymphoma, monomorphic epitheliotropic intestinal T-cell lymphoma, hepatosplenic T-cell lymphoma, subcutaneous panniculitis-like t-cell lymphoma, primary cutaneous anaplastic large cell lymphoma, primary cutaneous T-cell lymphoma, primary cutaneous CD8+ T-cell lymphoma, transformed mycosis fungoides, primary cutaneous CD4+ small/medium T-cell lymphoproliferative disorder, angioimmunoblastic T-cell lymphoma, follicular T-cell lymphoma, nodal peripheral T-cell lymphoma with TFH phenotype, ALK- and ALK+ anaplastic large-cell lymphoma.It was also under development for treatment of as a second line therapy for transitional cell cancer (urothelial cell cancer), epithelial ovarian cancer, fallopian tube cancer, peritoneal cancer pancreatic cancer, nasopharyngeal carcinoma, cervical carcinoma, anal carcinoma and merkel cell carcinoma (MCC).
Report Coverage
GlobalData takes into account factors including patent law, known and projected regulatory approval processes, cash flows, potential applicable patients, drug margins, company expenses, and pricing estimates. Combining these data points with GlobalData’s world class analysis creates high value models that companies can use to help in evaluation processes for each drug or company.
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Reasons to Buy
- Better understand the quantitative value of a specific drug
- Create or support internal NPV models to improve accuracy
- Understand the profit a drug is expected to make, taking into account revenue and cost forecasts leveraging public and proprietary data sets.
Frequently asked questions
- All drug sales and forecasts within NPV Model are calculated in our proprietary company based models . In these models, Analyst Consensus forecasts are built by using company-specific broker reports to create the sales forecasts for each Drug and Segment.
- Sales and forecasts are not indication-specific where drugs are approved , or in development, for multiple indications. Please refer to GlobalData’s Disease Analysis reports for indication-specific sales forecasts.
- Risk-adjusted NPVs use GlobalData’s LoA and PTSR for the indication in the highest development stage. Please refer to the Likelihood of Approval methodology for more details on this content.
GlobalData’s NPV Model is a premium model providing a fully-interactive forecasting and valuation tool, driven by Analyst Consensus estimates, enabling users to analyze and customize valuations for pharmaceutical assets including drugs or segments. The tool provides 17-year drug forecasts from companies with sales forecast data in the pharmaceutical industry, including established global firms and emerging biotechs, which allows access to critical information to facilitate strategic decision making around pharmaceutical assets
The NPV Model includes a forecasted Revenue Model, followed by a proprietary Patent Expiry Model, Operating Profit Model, Net Profit (apply Tax rate) and Discounted Cash Flow (apply Discount rates), to derive Net Present Value (NPV) for a chosen pharmaceutical asset
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