COVID-19 to drive e-commerce growth in Australia at 10.3% CAGR through 2024, forecasts GlobalData

The e-commerce market in Australia has been on a high growth curve during the past few years. The COVID-19 outbreak is further set to drive the e-commerce sales in the country at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.3% between 2020 and 2024, according to GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company

An analysis of GlobalData’s E-Commerce Analytics reveals that e-commerce payments in Australia are estimated to grow by 13.9% in 2020 to reach A$52.2bn (US$36.7bn), as wary consumers stayed home and used online channels to avoid physical contact. The trend is likely to continue and as a result, e-commerce sales in Australia are expected to reach A$77.1bn (US$54.2bn) in 2024.

Shivani Gupta, Banking and Payments Senior Analyst at GlobalData, comments: “COVID-19 has changed consumer buying behavior as they are increasingly switching from offline to online channels. With social distancing rules and closure of many brick and mortar stores, shoppers had to embrace online channels for day-to-day shopping.”

According to Australian Bureau of Statistics, online sales in Australia registered a 55% rise in December 2020 compared to same period last year. Australia Post’s Online Shopping Report published in January 2021 reveals that over 5.6 million Australian households shopped online in December 2020, a 21.3% growth compared to 2019 average.

As Australian consumers continue to embrace online shopping, the use of electronic payments will increase as consumers move away from cash. Payment solutions such as PayPal, POLi, Apple Pay and Google Pay are benefitting from this trend.

According to GlobalData’s 2020 Banking & Payments Survey conducted in Q1 2020*, payment cards were the most preferred payment method for e-commerce purchases in Australia, accounting for 52.3% share while alternative payment solutions accounted for 38.1%.

Buy now, pay later solutions are also becoming popular in Australia, particularly among millennials, who use this as a budgeting tool to spread payments. Almost 5.8 million Australians have a buy now pay later account with brands including Afterpay, Zip, Openpay, Humm and Klarna. According to GlobalData, Afterpay accounts for 5.6% of the total e-commerce payments.

To capitalize on the growing e-commerce sales, clothing retail company H&M launched its online store in Australia in October 2020. It also partnered with buy now and pay later solution provider Klarna to offer convenient and flexible payment option.

Ms. Shivani concludes: “COVID-19 crisis opened e-commerce market to a whole new set of consumers, who were not using online channels. A significant rise in consumer preference for online channels during the pandemic coupled with proliferation of online retailers and customized payment solutions will further drive e-commerce growth in Australia.”

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