China PESTLE Insights – A Macroeconomic Outlook Report

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China PESTLE Insights Report Overview

The GDP of China was $17.8 trillion in 2023 and the country ranked 52nd out of 153 nations in the GCRI Q3 2023. On March 11, 2024, China’s parliament amended a law to enhance the Communist Party’s control over the State Council and China’s cabinet following the cancellation of the premier’s post-parliament news conference for the first time in thirty years.

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The China PESTLE insights report consists of the country’s snapshot, risk factors about the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure, and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.

GDP 2023 $17.8 trillion
Key Landscape ·       Political Landscape

·       Economic Landscape

·       Social Landscape

·       Technological Landscape

·       Environmental Landscape

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 China Macroeconomic Key Sector’s Contribution to the Economy

China Macroeconomic Key Sector’s Contribution to the Economy

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PESTLE Insights of the China Macroeconomic Outlook Report

Political Landscape: Xi Jinping has been elected to an unprecedented third term as the President of China by the National People’s Congress (NPC) in March 2023. The vote was unanimous and there was no other candidate in the election. Xi has consolidated his power in recent years and is widely considered to be the most powerful Chinese leader since Mao Zedong. The continued leadership is likely to have significant implications for China’s domestic and foreign policies.

Economic Landscape: In 2023, the economy of China expanded by and will grow more than 4% in 2024. In April 2024, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), China’s leading economic planner unveiled a set of stimulus measures to enhance the economy following the country’s Q1 2024. According to officials, the government’s work plan includes supportive measures such as streamlining investment plans from the central budget and encouraging additional treasury bond issuances to bolster growth for the remainder of the year.

Key Landscape Analysis in the China PESTLE Insights Report

Key Landscape Analysis in the China PESTLE Insights Report

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Scope

In November 2023, the Chinese government announced a plan to invest CNY1 trillion ($140.8 billion) to support the country’s project on disaster relief and construction.

Key Highlights

The SHCOMP index has been on a volatile trend. As of March 26, 2024, the index stood at 3,031.5, compared to 3,265.7 on March 26, 2023.

Reasons to Buy

  • Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potential of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal, and environmental (PESTLE) structure.
  • PESTLE Insights provides a 360-degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials, and the direction of operations.
  • Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors about the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure, and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.
  • This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country’s GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.

Huawei
PetroChina
Baosteel
Vanke

Table of Contents

List of Exhibits

Did You Know?

Country Highlights

Key Economic Updates

Country Snapshot

Political Landscape

Economic Landscape

Social Landscape

Technological Landscape

Legal Landscape

Environmental Landscape

Outlook

Table

Exhibit 1: China’s performance in country risk analysis in comparison to Asia-Pacific and World average

Exhibit 2: Performance overview (score: 0-100)

Exhibit 3: Broad categories and weights behind the index

Exhibit 4: SHCOMP index, (March 2023 – March 2024)

Exhibit 5: Key sectors contribution to the economy (2019–26f)

Exhibit 6: FDI inflows to China, FDI outflows from China, and FDI inward stock, FDI outward stock (2018-22)

Exhibit 7: Value and number of greenfield FDI projects and number of net cross border M&As purchases (2018–22)

Exhibit 8: Key infrastructure indicators

Exhibit 9: Real GDP and household consumption growth rate (2019–26f)

Exhibit 10: Real GDP growth rate comparison (2023)

Exhibit 11: Volume of exports and imports growth (2019–26f)

Exhibit 12: Current account balance (2019–26f)

Exhibit 13: Top three commodity exports, % of total exports (2018–22)

Exhibit 14: Electrical machinery and equipment and parts thereof; sound recorders and reproducers, television, % of world total (2022)

Exhibit 15: Interest rates (April 2019 – April 2024)

Exhibit 16: Exchange rate and inflation (2019–26f)

Exhibit 17: Public finance (2019–26f)

Exhibit 18: General government debt (2019–26f)

Exhibit 19: Unemployment rate (2019–26f)

Exhibit 20: Average annual wages (2019–26f)

Exhibit 21: Labor cost index (2019–26f)

Exhibit 22: Rural/urban share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 23: Age-group share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 24: Gender split (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 25: Internet users as a percentage of total population, mobile penetration rate and broadband penetration rate (2023)

Exhibit 26: Number of patents granted per million population (2022)

Exhibit 27: High technology exports, % of manufactured exports (2022)

Exhibit 28: Rule of law index (rankings) 2023

Exhibit 29: Corruption perceptions index (rankings) (2023)

Exhibit 30: Renewable energy, installed capacity (2019–23)

Exhibit 31: CO2 emissions (2018–22)

Figures

List of Figures

Exhibit 1: China’s performance in terms of its country risk analysis in comparison to Asia Pacific and the World

Exhibit 2: Performance overview (Score: 1-100)

Exhibit 3: Broad categories and weights behind the index

Exhibit 4: Shanghai SE Composite Index (SHCOMP INDEX), March 2021 – March 2022

Exhibit 5: Key sectors; contribution to the economy (2017-2024f)

Exhibit 6: FDI flows and FDI stock (2017-2020)

Exhibit 7: Cross border Mergers & Acquisitions (2017-2020) and announced greenfield investments (2017-2020)

Exhibit 8: Key infrastructure indicators

Exhibit 9: Real GDP and household consumption growth rate (2017-2024f)

Exhibit 10: Real GDP growth rate comparison (2021)

Exhibit 11: Exports, imports and trade balance (2017-2024f)

Exhibit 12: Current account balance (2017-2024f)

Exhibit 13: Top three commodity exports, % of total exports, (2016-2020)

Exhibit 14: Electrical machinery and parts thereof % share of world’s total (2020)

Exhibit 15: Inflation rates (2017 – 2024f)

Exhibit 16: Exchange rate (2017-2024f)

Exhibit 17: General government net lending/borrowing (2017-2024f)

Exhibit 18: General government gross debt (2017-2024f)

Exhibit 19: Unemployment rate (2017-2024f))

Exhibit 20: Average annual wages (2017-2024f))

Exhibit 21: Labor cost index (2017-2024f)

Exhibit 22: Rural/urban share of total population (2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 23: Age-group share of total population (2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 24: Gender split (2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 25: Internet users as % of the total population, mobile and broadband penetration rates (2021)

Exhibit 26: Number of patents granter per million people (2020)

Exhibit 27: Research and development expenditure (% of GDP) 2020

Exhibit 28: Doing business in China 2020

Exhibit 29: Corruption perceptions index (rankings) (2020)

Exhibit 30: Renewable energy, installed capacity (2016-2020)

Exhibit 31: CO2 emissions (2016-2020)

Frequently asked questions

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