China Construction Market Size, Trend Analysis by Sector, Competitive Landscape and Forecast to 2030 (Q1 2026)
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The Chinese construction industry is expected to contract by 1% in real terms in 2026, owing to decline in the value of contracts signed by construction enterprises and fixed asset investments in the construction industry. According to the National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS), the total value of new contracts signed by construction enterprises fell by 10.5% year-on-year (YoY) in Q4 2025, preceded by YoY decline of 0.7% in Q3 and 10% in Q2 2025. Furthermore, the ongoing decline in the residential construction sector, which has been on a downward trend since 2020 owing to decrease in residential permits issued and investment in real estate sector, is hindering the construction industry's output. According to the NBS, the total floor space of residential buildings on which construction started declined by 19.9% YoY in 2025, whereas investment in real estate development fell by 16.5% YoY during the same period.
However, over the remainder of the forecast period, the Chinese construction industry is expected to rebound and register an average annual growth of 4% from 2027 to 2030, supported by public and private sector investments in transport infrastructure, renewable energy and industrial projects. In late December 2025, China's National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) approved approximately CNY295 billion ($41.3 billion) for the development of country’s 281 major infrastructure projects. This investment is a part of its 15th Five-Year Plan (2026–30), which is scheduled to be finalized in March 2026. To stimulate the growth in private and technology-oriented firms, in January 2026, People’s Bank of China (PBOC) announced an investment of CNY900 billion ($126 billion). This initiative is part of a broader monetary easing strategy to bolster economic growth in the upcoming years. Growth over the forecast period also be driven by country’s aim of expanding 60,000km of high-speed rail network by 2030, with further expansion of 70,000km by 2035, from around 48,000km in 2024. Additionally, the country plans to expand its total railway network from an estimated 162,000km in 2024 to 200,000km by 2035. In line with this, the government plans to spend approximately CNY300 billion ($42 billion) on transportation infrastructure projects, along with water and energy projects by 2030. This investment is a part of its 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030). Moreover, to drive investments in the manufacturing industry and achieve self-sufficiency in low-carbon hydrogen, in late December 2025, National Energy Administration of China (NEA) approved 41 clean-hydrogen pilot projects, which will be eligible for significant state support in the form of preferential loans and subsidies.
GlobalData’s Construction in China – Key Trends and Opportunities to 2030 (Q1 2026) report provides detailed market analysis, information, and insights into the Chinese construction industry, including –
• The Chinese construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
• Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Chinese construction industry
• Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.
Scope
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in China. It provides –
• Historical (2021–2025) and forecast (2026–2030) valuations of the construction industry in China, featuring details of key growth drivers.
• Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
• Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
• Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants
Reasons to Buy
Identify and evaluate market opportunities using our standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies
Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts
Understand the latest industry and market trends
Formulate and validate business strategies using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight
Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures
Evaluate competitive risk and success factors
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