Global Commercial Vehicle Forecast: Sales, Production and Manufacturer Assessment by Region and Key Countries (Q2 2026)

Powered by

All the vital news, analysis, and commentary curated by our industry experts.

Global commercial vehicle forecast: analyze medium & heavy vehicles, buses, OEM market share, and 12-year sales and production outlook.

Why Does the Global Commercial Vehicles Market Matter?

The global commercial vehicles market is being shaped by changing economic conditions, evolving regulations, technological advancements, and shifting demand across transportation and logistics.

GlobalData’s Global Commercial Vehicle Forecast provides a detailed outlook for the medium and heavy commercial vehicle sectors, as well as buses and coaches. The report combines current-year analysis with a 12-year forecast to support both short-term planning and long-term strategic decision-making.

The report provides detailed sales and production forecasts across countries, regions, vehicle types, gross vehicle weight (GVW) classes, global makes, and sales groups. It also provides in-depth assessments of major original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), including market share analysis across key segments.

With quarterly updates, the report enables businesses to monitor changes in sales trends, production performance, and competitive dynamics over time.

Key Insights in the Global Commercial Vehicles Market

The report provides a comprehensive view of the commercial vehicle industry, with key themes including:

  • Current-year plus 12-year sales and production forecasts
  • Detailed analysis of medium and heavy commercial vehicles
  • Outlook for the global bus and coach sector
  • Country-, regional-, and global-level market analysis
  • Commercial vehicle sales and production by vehicle type
  • Market share analysis of major OEMs
  • OEM performance by individual segments
  • Analysis by GVW class
  • Quarterly tracking of market trends and performance
  • Assessment of economic, regulatory, technological, and consumer factors influencing the market

Scope

What Will You Learn from This Global Commercial Vehicle Forecast?

This report provides insight into:

  • Global commercial vehicle sales forecasts
  • Global commercial vehicle production forecasts
  • Medium commercial vehicle market trends
  • Heavy commercial vehicle market trends
  • Bus and coach market outlook
  • Country-level commercial vehicle performance
  • Regional market developments
  • Global make and sales group performance
  • GVW class analysis
  • Commercial vehicle type analysis
  • Major OEM market shares
  • OEM market share by segment
  • Quarterly sales trends
  • Long-term market projections
  • Key factors influencing commercial vehicle demand and production

Target Buyers for This Global Commercial Vehicle Forecast

This report may be valuable for:

  • Commercial vehicle manufacturers
  • Automotive OEMs
  • Component and parts suppliers
  • Automotive technology companies
  • Fleet operators
  • Transportation and logistics companies
  • Automotive investors
  • Private equity firms
  • Strategy and consulting firms
  • Automotive market intelligence teams
  • Sales and business development teams
  • Corporate planning and forecasting teams

How Companies Use This Commercial Vehicle Market Analysis

Automotive manufacturers can use the report to assess market trends, benchmark OEM performance, and plan production and sales strategies over the short and long term.

Component suppliers can identify markets and vehicle segments with potential for future growth and align their product strategies with expected demand.

Fleet operators can use market forecasts to understand changes in vehicle availability, demand, and segment performance.

Investors and consultants can evaluate market growth prospects, competitive positioning, and long-term industry trends to support investment and strategic planning.

 

Reasons to Buy

Benchmark Commercial Vehicle OEMs and Market Segments

The report allows stakeholders to benchmark the performance of major OEMs across the global commercial vehicle market.

Comparative analysis covers:

  • Overall OEM market share
  • Segment-level market share
  • Sales performance
  • Production performance
  • Vehicle type
  • GVW class
  • Country and regional performance
  • Global make and sales group performance

This enables businesses to understand competitive positioning and identify areas where market share is shifting.

Plan for Short- and Long-Term Commercial Vehicle Growth

The Global Commercial Vehicle Forecast provides the market intelligence needed to navigate changing commercial vehicle demand and competitive conditions.

With current-year plus 12-year forecasts, detailed sales and production data, OEM market share analysis, and quarterly updates, the report helps businesses identify growth opportunities, assess risks, benchmark competitors, and make informed decisions across the global commercial vehicle market.

Daimler Group
CNH Industrial
Paccar
Volvo Group
VW Group

Table of Contents

1. Foreword

2. Global Summary

2.1. Macroeconomic Outlook

2.2. Truck Sales

2.3. Truck Assembly

3. Global Manufacturer Assessment

3.1. Daimler Group

3.2. CNH Industrial

3.3. Paccar

3.4. Volvo Group

3.5. VV Group

4. Western Europe

4.1. West European Summary

4.2. France

4.3. Germany

4.4. Italy

4.5. Spain

4.6. United Kingdom

4.7. Austria

4.8. Belgium

4.9. Denmark

4.10. Finland

4.11. Greece

4.12. Ireland

4.13. Netherlands

4.14. Norway

4.15. Portugal

4.16. Sweden

4.17. Switzerland

5. Central and Eastern Europe

5.1. Russia and Former Soviet Union

5.2. Turkey

5.3. Poland

5.4. Czech Republic

6. North America

6.1. United States of America

6.2. Canada

6.3. Mexico

7. South America

7.1. Brazil

7.2. Argentina

8. Asia

8.1. China

8.2. Japan

8.3. Korea

8.4. India

8.5. Indonesia

8.6. Malaysia

8.7. Philippines

8.8. Thailand

9. Appendix

9.1. Product Cycle

9.2. Emission Regulations

9.3. Truck Assembly Plant Locations

Table

Global Tables

Table 1: World Truck Assembly

Table 2: World Truck Sales

Table 3: World Medium Truck (GVW 6-15t) Assembly

Table 4: World Heavy Truck (GVW >15t) Assembly

Table 5: World Production by Manufacturer and Region

Table 6: World Bus Sales (GVW >6t) by Region

Table 7: World Bus Production (GVW >6t) by Region

Western Europe

Table 8: General Summary of Macroeconomic Conditions

Table 9: Monthly Truck Sales (GVW >6t) And SAARS

Table 10: Truck Assembly (GVW >6t) By Country and Manufacturer

Table 11: Medium Truck Assembly (GVW 6-15t) By Country and Manufacturer

Table 12: Heavy Truck Assembly (GVW >15t) By Country and Manufacturer

Table 13: Truck Sales and Assembly (GVW >6t) by Manufacturer

Table 14: Truck Sales by Country by Segment

Table 15: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 16: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

France

Table 17: Summary of Forecasts – France

Table 18: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 19: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Germany

Table 20: Summary of Forecasts – Germany

Table 21: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 22: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Italy

Table 23: Summary of Forecasts – Italy

Table 24: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 25: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Spain

Table 26: Summary of Forecasts – Spain

Table 27: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 28: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

United Kingdom

Table 29: Summary Of Forecasts – Uk

Table 30: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 31: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Austria

Table 32: Summary of Forecasts – Austria

Table 33: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 34: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Belgium

Table 35: Summary of Forecasts – Belgium

Table 36: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 37: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Denmark

Table 38: Summary of Forecasts – Denmark

Table 39: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Finland

Table 40: Summary of Forecasts – Finland

Table 41: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 42: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Greece

Table 43: Summary of Forecasts – Greece

Table 44: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Ireland

Table 45: Summary of Forecasts – Ireland

Table 46: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Netherlands

Table 47: Summary of Forecasts – Netherlands

Table 48: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 49: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Norway

Table 50: Summary of Forecasts – Norway

Table 51: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Portugal

Table 52: Summary of Forecasts – Portugal

Table 53: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 54: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Sweden

Table 55: Summary of Forecasts – Sweden

Table 56: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 57: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Switzerland

Table 58: Summary of Forecasts – Switzerland

Table 59: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Central and Eastern Europe

Table 60: Summary of Forecasts – Russia

Table 61: Russian Truck Sales by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Table 62: Russian & CIS Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Table 63: Summary of Forecasts – Turkey

Table 64: Turkish Truck Sales by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Table 65: Turkish Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Table 66: Summary of Forecasts – Poland

Table 67: Polish Truck Sales

Table 68: Polish Truck Assembly

Table 69: Summary of Forecasts – Czech Republic

Table 70: Czech Republic Truck Sales

Table 71: Czech Republic Truck Production

North America

Table 72: US Economic Indicators

Table 73: Canadian Economic Indicators

Table 74: Mexican Economic Indicators

Table 75: North American Sales by Country by Weight Class

Table 76: North American Production by Weight Class

Table 77: North American Production by Manufacturer (Classes 4-8)

Table 78: North American Class 4-7 Production

Table 79: North American Class 8 Production

Table 80: North American Class 4-7 Retail Sales

Table 81: North American Heavy Truck (Class 8) Sales by Country and Manufacturer

Table 82: North American Truck (Classes 4-8) Sales by Country and Manufacturer

Mercosur

Table 83: Summary of Forecasts – Brazil

Table 84: Brazilian Truck Sales by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Table 85: Brazilian Truck Assembly by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 86: Summary of Forecasts – Argentina

Table 87: Argentinian Truck Sales by Manufacturer

Table 88: Argentinian Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

China

Table 89: Summary of Forecasts – China

Table 90: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 91: Truck Assembly by Segment and Manufacturer

Japan

Table 92: Summary of Forecasts – Japan

Table 93: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 94: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Korea

Table 95: Summary of Forecasts – Korea

Table 96: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 97: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

India

Table 98: Summary of Forecasts – India

Table 99: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 100: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Indonesia

Table 101: Summary of Forecasts – Indonesia

Table 102: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 103: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Malaysia

Table 104: Summary of Forecasts – Malaysia

Table 105: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 106: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Philippines

Table 107: Summary of Forecasts – Philippines

Table 108: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Thailand

Table 109: Summary of Forecasts – Thailand

Table 110: Truck Sales by Segment and Manufacturer

Table 111: Truck Assembly by Manufacturer and Weight Category

Global Commercial Vehicle Forecast: Sales, Production and Manufacturer Assessment by Region and Key Countries (Q2 2026) standard reports
Currency USD
$3,200

Can be used by individual purchaser only

$9,600

Can be shared globally by unlimited users within the purchasing corporation e.g. all employees of a single company


Undecided about purchasing this report?

Enquire Before Buying Download FREE Resources

Get in touch to find out about multi-purchase discounts

reportstore@globaldata.com
Tel +44 20 7947 2745

Sample Report

Global Commercial Vehicle Forecast: Sales, Production and Manufacturer Assessment by Region and Key Countries (Q2 2026) was curated by the best experts in the industry and we are confident about its unique quality. However, we want you to make the most beneficial decision for your business, so we offer free sample pages to help you:

  • Assess the relevance of the report
  • Evaluate the quality of the report
  • Justify the cost

Download your copy of the sample report and make an informed decision about whether the full report will provide you with the insights and information you need.

Below is a sample report to understand what you are buying

See what our customers are saying
testimonial-image
testimonial-image
testimonial-image
testimonial-image
testimonial-image
testimonial-image
testimonial-image

“The GlobalData platform is our go-to tool for intelligence services. GlobalData provides an easy way to access comprehensive intelligence data around multiple sectors, which essentially makes it a one-for-all intelligence platform, for tendering and approaching customers.

GlobalData is very customer orientated, with a high degree of personalised services, which benefits everyday use. The highly detailed project intelligence and forecast reports can be utilised across multiple departments and workflow scopes, from operational to strategic level, and often support strategic decisions. GlobalData Analytics and visualisation solutions has contributed positively when preparing management presentations and strategic papers.”

Business Intelligence & Marketing Manager, SAL Heavy Lift

“COVID-19 has caused significant interference to our business and the COVID-19 intelligence from GlobalData has helped us reach better decisions around strategy. These two highlights have helped enormously to understand the projections into the future concerning our business units, we also utilise the project database to source new projects for Liebherr-Werk to use as an additional source to pitch for new business.”

Market Analyst & Management, Liebherr-Werk

Your daily news has saved me a lot of time and keeps me up-to-date with what is happening in the market, I like that you almost always have a link to the source origin. We also use your market data in our Strategic Business Process to support our business decisions. By having everything in one place on the Intelligence Center it has saved me a lot of time versus looking on different sources, the alert function also helps with this.

Head of Key Accounts, Saab AB

Having used several other market research companies, I find that GlobalData manages to provide that ‘difficult-to-get’ market data that others can’t, as well as very diverse and complete consumer surveys.

Marketing Intelligence Manager, Portugal Foods

Our experience with GlobalData has been very good, from the platform itself to the people. I find that the analysts and the account team have a high level of customer focus and responsiveness and therefore I can always rely on. The platform is more holistic than other providers. It is convenient and almost like a one stop shop. The pricing suite is highly competitive and value for our organisation.

I like reports that inform new segments such as the analysis on generation Z, millennials, the impact of COVID 19 to our banking customers and their new channel habits. Secondly the specialist insight on affluent sector significantly increases our understanding about this group of customers. The combination of those give us depth and breadth of the evolving market.

I’m in the business of answering and helping people make decisions so with the intelligence center I can do that, effectively and efficiently. I can share quickly key insights that answer and satisfy our country stakeholders by giving them many quality studies and primary research about competitive landscape beyond the outlook of our bank. It helps me be seen as an advisory partner and that makes a big difference. A big benefit of our subscription is that no one holds the whole data and because it allows so many people, so many different parts of our organisation have access, it enables all teams to have the same level of knowledge and decision support.

Head of Customer Insight and Research, Standard Chartered

“I know that I can always rely on Globaldata’s work when I’m searching for the right consumer and market insights. I use Globaldata insights to understand the changing market & consumer landscape and help create better taste & wellbeing solutions for our customers in food, beverage and healthcare industries.

Globaldata has the right data and the reports are of very high quality compared to your competitors. Globaldata not only has overall market sizes & consumer insights on food & beverages but also provides insights at the ingredient & flavour level. That is key for B2B companies like Givaudan. This way we understand our customers’ business and also gain insight to our unique industry”

Head of Consumer Sensory Insights, Givaudan

GlobalData provides a great range of information and reports on various sectors that is highly relevant, timely, easy to access and utilise.  The reports and data dashboards help engagement with clients; they provide valuable industry and market insights that can enrich client conversations and can help in the shaping of value propositions. Moreover, using GlobalData products has helped increase my knowledge of the finance sector, the players within it, and the general threats and opportunities.

I find the consumer surveys that are carried out to be extremely beneficial and not something I have seen anywhere else. They provided an insightful view of why and which consumers take (or don’t) particular financial products. This can help shape conversations with clients to ensure they make the right strategic decisions for their business.

One of the challenges I have found is that data in the payments space is often piecemeal. With GD all of the data I need is in one place, but it also comes with additional market reports that provide useful extra context and information. Having the ability to set-up alerts on relevant movements in the industry, be it competitors or customers, and have them emailed directly to me, ensures I get early sight of industry activity and don’t have to search for news.

Senior Account Manager, TSYS
Go even deeper with GlobalData Intelligence Center

Every Company Report we produce is powered by the GlobalData Intelligence Center.

Subscribing to our intelligence platform means you can monitor developments at Global Commercial Vehicle Forecast: Sales, Production and Manufacturer Assessment by Region and Key Countries (Q2 2026) in real time.

  • Access a live Global Commercial Vehicle Forecast: Sales, Production and Manufacturer Assessment by Region and Key Countries (Q2 2026) dashboard for 12 months, with up-to-the-minute insights.
  • Fuel your decision making with real-time deal coverage and media activity.
  • Turn insights on financials, deals, products and pipelines into powerful agents of commercial advantage.