Future of the Kenyan Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

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The Future of the Kenyan Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023, published by Strategic Defense Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.


This report offers detailed analysis of the Kenyan defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following –
– The Kenyan defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Kenyan defense industry during 2019-2023, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country’s expenditure and modernization patterns
– Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
– Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years
– Market opportunities:list of the top ten defense investment opportunities over the next 5 years
– Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Kenyan defense industry.


– With an armed force that is considered to be one of the most powerful in East Africa, Kenya has consistently procured a large amount of military hardware, including small arms, aircraft, artilleries and armored vehicles, which drove defense expenditure during the historic period.

– The country’s defense budget increased at a CAGR of 8.33%, with an investment of US$1.0 billion in 2014 to US$1.3 billion in 2018. The government’s well-defined military modernization plans and efforts to counter domestic and foreign terrorist attacks, along with the country’s active and consistent participation in various peacekeeping missions, will stimulate expenditure over the forecast period.

– The country’s defense budget is expected to increase at a CAGR of 4.09%, from US$1.4 billion in 2018 to US$1.6 billion in 2023.

Reasons to Buy

– This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Kenyan defense industry market trends for the coming five years

– The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

– Profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers . This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

– A deep qualitative analysis of the Kenyan defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Key Trends , and latest industry contracts

Lockheed Martin
Lockheed Sikorsky
Construcciones Aeronáuticas SA (CASA)/ IPTN
Korean Aerospace Industries
Boeing (McDonnell Douglas)
Samsung Techwin
Hyundai Rotem
Howaldtswerke-Deutsche Werft (HDW)- Thyssenkrupp Marine Systems
General Atomics Aeronautical Systems
Makina ve Kimya Endüstrisi Kurumu (MKEK)
Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI)
Tusas Engine Industries (TEI)
FNSS Defense Systems Company
Istanbul Shipyard.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

1. Introduction 6

1.1. What is this Report About? 6

1.2. Definitions 6

1.3. Summary Methodology 8

1.4. About Strategic Defense Intelligence 9

2. Executive Summary 10

3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities 12

3.1. Current Market Conditions 13

3.1.1. Military fleet size 13

3.1.2. Procurement Programs 16

3.1.3. Key Drivers and Challenges 17

3.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast 19

3.2.1. Kenyan defense budget to grow at a CAGR of

4.09% during 2019-2023 19

3.2.2. Border security, threats from terrorist group, peacekeeping missions, and the need to modernize outdated defense equipment to drive Kenya’s defense expenditure 21

3.2.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP will be at an average of

1.3% over the forecast period 23

3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 25

3.3.1. Share of capital expenditure is expected to increase during the forecast period 25

3.3.2. Capital expenditure is anticipated to record a CAGR of

4.15% over the forecast period 27

3.3.3. Kenya’s per capita defense expenditure is expected to increase over the forecast period 29

3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast 31

3.4.1. The homeland security market in Kenya is expected to grow at a CAGR of

2.25% over the forecast period 31

3.4.2. Human trafficking and illicit drugs trade to drive homeland security expenditure 33

3.4.3. Kenya faces a high level of threat from terrorist organizations 35

3.4.4. Kenya faces a high level of threat from terrorist organizations 36

3.4.5. Kenya has a Terrorism Index score of

6.2 38

3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets 39

3.5.1. Kenyan defense expenditure is expected to remain low compared to leading spenders 39

3.5.2. Kenya will continue to remain a small contributor in the global arms market 41

3.5.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase over the forecast period 42

3.6. Market Opportunities: Key Trends 43

3.6.1. Top 10 Defense market sectors by value (US$ Million) – Projections over period 2018-2023 43

4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics 44

4.1. Import Market Dynamics 45

4.1.1. Defense imports increased during the period of 2013−2017 45

4.1.2. Weapons manufactured in Serbia comprised the largest share of imports to Kenya 46

4.1.3. Aircraft and artillery accounted for a total share

86.5% in Kenyan defense imports 47

4.2. Export Market Dynamics 48

4.2.1. Kenya defense exports were negligible during 2013−2017 48

5. Industry Dynamics 49

5.1. Market Regulation 49

5.1.1. Kenya does not disclose any offset obligations imposed by the country 49

5.1.2. Foreign direct investment (FDI) is determined on a case to case basis 49

5.3. Market Entry Route 50

5.3.1. Budgeting Process 50

5.3.2. Equipment manufacturers enter the market through government-to-government deals 50

5.4. Key Challenges 51

5.4.1. Corruption and lack of transparency hinder the growth of Kenyan defense industry 51

5.4.2. Low defense budget to act as obstacle for foreign investors 51

6. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights 52

6.1. Competitive Landscape Overview 52

7. Business Environment and Country Risk 54

7.1. Economic Performance 54

7.1.1. GDP per capita 54

7.1.2. GDP, current prices 55

7.1.3. Export of goods and services (LCU Billion) 56

7.1.4. Import of goods and services (LCU Billion) 57

7.1.5. Gross national disposable income (US$ Billion) 58

7.1.6. Local currency unit per US$ 59

7.1.7. Market capitalization of listed companies 60

7.1.8. Market capitalization of listed companies as a percentage of GDP 61

7.1.9. Government cash surplus deficit as a percentage of GDP 62

7.1.10. Goods exports as a percentage of GDP 63

7.1.11. Good imports as a percentage of GDP 64

7.1.12. Service imports as a percentage of GDP 65

7.1.13. Service exports as a percentage of GDP 66

7.1.14. Foreign direct investments 67

7.1.15. Net foreign direct investment as a percentage of GDP 68

7.1.16. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Billion) 69

8. Appendix 70

8.1. About SDI 70

8.2. Disclaimer 70

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