Indonesia’s mobile services market is set to increase at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 3.4%, from $10.2 billion in 2025 to $12.1 billion in 2030, as steady growth in mobile data service revenue offsets the continued decline in mobile voice and messaging revenues, reveals GlobalData, a leading intelligence and productivity platform.
According to GlobalData’s Indonesia Mobile Services Forecast (Q1-2026), mobile voice services revenue in the country will decline over the forecast period, in line with the steady drop in mobile voice ARPU levels as users increasingly shift to OTT-based communication platforms and operators bundle free voice minutes to service plans.
Mobile data service revenue, on the other hand, will increase at a CAGR of 4.8% between 2025 and 2030, due to the continued rise in mobile internet subscriptions, especially with the growing adoption of higher ARPU-yielding 5G services. Strong demand for data services from cross-border travelers, business users, and high data consumption in the urban environment is reinforcing the market’s shift toward data-led monetization.
Sarwat Zeeshan, Telecom Analyst at GlobalData, comments: “The average monthly data usage over mobile networks is forecast to increase from 20 GB in 2025 to 30.3 GB in 2030, in line with the surge in consumption of online video and social media content on mobile networks, on the back of 5G network expansions and promotional data-centric plans offered by MNOs.”
4G remained the leading mobile technology in terms of subscriptions in 2025, but its share of total mobile subscriptions is expected to drop over the forecast period as users increasingly migrate to higher speed 5G services.
5G subscriptions in the country are projected to grow significantly over the forecast period, due to wider availability and adoption of economically priced 5G-enabled smartphones, the increasing availability of premium data-centric 5G mobile plans for bandwidth-intensive applications, and ongoing 5G network expansion and investment initiatives by major MNOs. For example, the Indonesian government aims to expand 5G network coverage to over 30% by the end of 2030.
Telkomsel led the mobile services market in Indonesia in terms of mobile subscriptions in 2025 and will maintain its lead through the forecast period, due to its wider 4G coverage and aggressive efforts to expand its 5G network infrastructure. It achieved over 97% population coverage for 4G as of March 2026 and deployed over 2,500 5G base stations across 56 cities by mid-2025. The company is also investing heavily in its “Hyper 5G” strategy, launching high-speed, low-latency 5G services in key regions like Batam, Denpasar, and Badung, and deploying AI-powered autonomous networks to improve service performance and customer experience.
Zeeshan concludes: “Indonesia’s consumer mobile market will continue to evolve around rising mobile data consumption, accelerated 5G migration, and increasing demand for high-speed digital experiences. As users shift toward video streaming, social media, and data-intensive applications, operators will focus on expanding 4G/5G coverage and introducing segmented data plans to drive adoption and monetization. At the same time, wider availability of affordable 5G devices, premium connectivity offerings, and enhanced digital services will play a key role in strengthening customer engagement and supporting long-term mobile market growth.”
