The telecom and pay-TV services revenue in Australia is forecast to increase at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2%, from $20.4 billion in 2025 to $22.5 billion in 2030, driven mainly by mobile data and fixed broadband segments, according to GlobalData, a leading intelligence and productivity platform.

GlobalData’s Australia Telecom Operators Country Intelligence Report  reveals that mobile voice services revenue will decline over the forecast period 2025-30, driven by continued user migration to OTT-based communication platforms and a decline in mobile voice average revenue per user (ARPU).

Mobile data services revenue, on the other hand, will increase at a CAGR of 5.8% over the forecast period, driven by growing mobile internet subscriptions and the rising adoption of relatively high ARPU yielding 5G services.

Kantipudi Pradeepthi, Telecom Analyst at GlobalData, comments: “5G subscriptions held a majority share of total mobile subscriptions in 2025 and will account for over 88.7% of total mobile subscriptions share in 2030. This growth will be driven by the ongoing efforts of operators like Optus, TPG Telecom, and Telstra to expand and upgrade 5G network services across the country. For instance, in FY2025, Optus accelerated its 5G expansion by upgrading 960 network sites to 5G and increasing the 5G population coverage to 84.65% in FY2025 from 80.5% in FY2024.”

In the fixed communication services segment, fixed voice services will continue to decline, given the steady drop in VOIP subscriptions and the discontinuation of circuit-switched services in the country.

Fixed broadband services revenue will grow at a CAGR of 1.0% over 2025-30, supported by growth in fiber and fixed wireless access (FWA) lines. In January 2025, NBN announced a AUD3.8 billion ($2.35mn) Fiber-to-the-Node (FTTN) program to upgrade over 95% of the 622,000 homes and businesses still on FTTN connections, replacing copper-based connections with full fiber. The momentum builds on NBN’s existing fiber upgrade programs that aim to bring fiber within reach of around 11 million homes and businesses by 2030.  

Pradeepthi adds: “Pay-TV service revenue in the country is set to decline over the forecast period, in line with the losses in DTH and IPTV subscriptions due to the continued cord-cutting trend and a growing preference for OTT video alternatives such as Netflix and Stan”.

Pradeepthi concludes: “Telstra led all the service segments, including mobile, fixed, and pay-TV services, by subscriptions in 2025. Its ongoing expansion of 5G network and fiber broadband network coverage will help the operator maintain its leadership position in mobile and fixed broadband service segments.”