EpiCast Report: Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis – Epidemiology Forecast to 2025
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The American Thoracic Society (ATS) defines IPF as a chronic, fibrosing interstitial pneumonia of unknown cause, which occurs primarily in older adults. IPF is characterized by variable degrees of inflammation and scarring and is associated with a histologic or radiologic pattern of usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP). IPF is the most common form of idiopathic interstitial pneumonia, having the worst prognosis, and only three to five years of median survival. IPF is more common in men and the incidence and prevalence of IPF typically increases with advancing age.
In the 7MM, GlobalData epidemiologists forecast that the diagnosed incident cases of IPF will increase from 53,139 cases in 2015 to 62,258 cases in 2025, at an Annual Growth Rate (AGR) of 1.72%. The US will have the highest number of diagnosed incident cases of IPF among the 7MM throughout the forecast period, while Spain will have the lowest. The diagnosed prevalent cases of IPF will also increase from 118,943 cases in 2015 to 137,984 cases in 2025, at an AGR of 1.60%. The US will have the highest number of diagnosed prevalent cases of IPF among the 7MM throughout the forecast period, while Spain will have the lowest.
For this analysis, GlobalData epidemiologists used data from large comprehensive healthcare databases and country-specific studies published in peer-reviewed journals to estimate the diagnosed incident and diagnosed prevalent cases of IPF in addition to sources that provided data for cases confirmed through both biopsy of the lung and HRCT. Diagnosed incident and diagnosed prevalent cases were further segmented by age and sex to provide more detailed characteristics regarding the diseased population. The use of studies with consistent methodology across the 7MM provides a significant measure to compare the underlying burden of IPF across the 7MM. Additionally, GlobalData epidemiologists provided the diagnosed incident and diagnosed prevalent cases of IPF in the 7MM, except Japan, segmented by severity (mild, moderate, and severe) based on GAP index, which can be of importance for predicting the prognosis and course of treatment.
Scope
The Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) EpiCast Report and EpiCast Model provide an overview of the risk factors, comorbidities, and global trends for IPF in the seven major markets (7MM) (US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, and Japan). It includes a 10-year epidemiological forecast of the diagnosed incident and diagnosed prevalent cases of IPF segmented by sex, age (in five-year increments beginning at 18 years and ending at =85 years), and severity in these markets.
The IPF epidemiology report and model were written and developed by Masters- and PhD-level epidemiologists.
The EpiCast Report is in-depth, high quality, transparent and market-driven, providing expert analysis of disease trends in the 7MM.
The EpiCast Model is easy to navigate, interactive with dashboards, and epidemiology-based with transparent and consistent methodologies. Moreover, the model supports data presented in the report and showcases disease trends over a 10-year forecast period using reputable sources.
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