EpiCast Report: Prostate Cancer – Epidemiology Forecast to 2026

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Prostate cancer is a malignancy in the prostate gland, which is located below the bladder and in front of the rectum in males. Worldwide, about 1.1 million men were diagnosed with prostate cancer in 2012. Diagnosed incident cases of prostate cancer is defined as malignant neoplasms with the prostate gland as the primary site (ICD-10 code C61, ICD-O-3 code C61.9). The forecast relies on data from national cancer registries, peer-reviewed journal articles, and primary market research. CRPC was defined as an increase in PSA levels after hormone therapy. Stage at diagnosis is classified according to the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) groupings, which are based on Tumor/Node/Metastasis (TNM) staging, Gleason score, and PSA level (AJCC, 2009).

In 2016, there were 470,099 diagnosed incident cases of prostate cancer in the 7MM. The US had the most cases with 153,623, or 32.68% of cases in the 7MM, followed by Japan (104,389, 22.21% of cases). The number of cases in the 7MM is expected to grow to 548,394 in 2026, for an Annual Growth Rate (AGR) of 1.67%. In 2016, there were 4,452,307 prevalent cases of prostate cancer diagnosed in the previous 10 years in the 7MM. The US made up the largest share of prevalent cases with 1,872,922, or 42.07% of cases in the 7MM. Japan had the next highest number of cases with 698,512, followed by Germany with 542,521. The number of 10-year prevalent cases in the 7MM is expected to increase to 4,634,443 by 2026, for an AGR of 0.41% per year.

Scope

The Prostate Cancer EpiCast Report and EpiCast Model provide an overview of the risk factors and global trends for prostate cancer in the seven major markets (7MM: US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, and Japan).

It includes a 10-year epidemiological forecast for diagnosed incident cases of prostate cancer in men segmented by age (beginning at 35 years), stage at diagnosis (stage I, II, III, and IV), and risk of biochemical recurrence (low, intermediate, and high) in these markets. Additionally, this report forecasts 10-year prevalent cases of prostate cancer segmented by castration resistance, metastases, and HRD mutations.

The prostate cancer epidemiology report and model were written and developed by Masters- and PhD-level epidemiologists.

The EpiCast Report is in-depth, high quality, transparent and market-driven, providing expert analysis of disease trends in the 7MM.

The EpiCast Model is easy to navigate, interactive with dashboards, and epidemiology-based with transparent and consistent methodologies. Moreover, the model supports data presented in the report and showcases disease trends over a 10-year forecast period using reputable sources.

Reasons to Buy

The Prostate Cancer EpiCast series will allow you to:

Develop business strategies by understanding the trends shaping and driving the global prostate cancer market.

Quantify patient populations in the global prostate cancer market to improve product design, pricing, and launch plans.

Organize sales and marketing efforts by identifying the age groups and sex that present the best opportunities for prostate cancer therapeutics in each of the markets covered.

Understand magnitude of prostate cancer population by risk of biochemical recurrence, castration resistance, metastasis, and HRD mutations.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents

1.1 List of Tables

1.2 List of Figures

2 Prostate Cancer: Executive Summary

2.1 Related Reports

2.2 Upcoming Reports

3 Epidemiology

3.1 Disease Background

3.2 Risk Factors and Comorbidities

3.3 Global and Historical Trends

3.4 Forecast Methodology

3.4.1 Sources

3.4.2 Forecast Assumptions and Methods

3.5 Epidemiological Forecast for Prostate Cancer (2016–2026)

3.5.1 Diagnosed Incident Cases of Prostate Cancer

3.5.2 Age-Specific Incident Cases of Prostate Cancer

3.5.3 Incident Cases by Stage at Diagnosis

3.5.4 Incident Cases by Risk of Biochemical Recurrence

3.5.5 10-Year Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of Prostate Cancer

3.5.6 10-Year Prevalent CRPC Cases

3.5.7 10-Year Prevalent Metastatic Prostate Cancer Cases

3.5.8 10-Year Prevalent mCRPC Cases with HRD Mutations

3.6 Discussion

3.6.1 Epidemiological Forecast Insight

3.6.2 Limitations of Analysis

3.6.3 Strengths of Analysis

4 Appendix

4.1 Bibliography

4.2 Primary Research – Prescriber Survey

4.3 About the Authors

4.3.1 Epidemiologist

4.3.2 Reviewers

4.3.3 Global Director of Therapy Analysis and Epidemiology

4.3.4 Global Head and EVP of Healthcare Operations and Strategy

4.4 About GlobalData

4.5 Contact Us

4.6 Disclaimer

Table

Table 1: Risk Factors and Comorbidities for Prostate Cancer

Table 2: AJCC Staging of Prostate Cancer

Table 3: Risk Category Definitions

Table 4: 7MM, Diagnosed Incident Cases of Prostate Cancer, Men, Ages ≥35 Years, Select Years, 2016–2026

Table 5: 7MM, 10-Year Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of Prostate Cancer, Men, Ages ≥35 Years, Select Years, 2016–2026

Table 6: High-Prescribing Physicians (non-KOLs) Surveyed, By Country

Figures

Figure 1: 7MM, Diagnosed Incident Cases of Prostate Cancer, Men, Ages ≥35 Years, 2016 and 2026

Figure 2: 7MM, Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of Prostate Cancer, Men, Ages ≥35 Years, 2016 and 2026

Figure 3: 7MM, Age-Standardized Diagnosed Incidence of Prostate Cancer, Men, Ages ≥35 Years, 2006–2026

Figure 4: Sources Used and Not Used for Calculations of Incident Cases

Figure 5: Sources Used and Not Used for Calculations of 10-Year Diagnosed Prevalent Cases

Figure 6: Sources Used and Not Used for Calculations of Diagnosed Incident Cases by Stage at Diagnosis and Metastases

Figure 7: Sources Used and Not Used for Calculations of 10-Year Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of CRPC

Figure 8: Sources Used and Not Used for Calculations of 10-Year Diagnosed Prevalent Cases with HRD Mutations

Figure 9: 7MM, Age-Specific Diagnosed Incident Cases of Prostate Cancer, Men, Ages ≥35 Years, 2016

Figure 10: 7MM, Diagnosed Incident Cases of Prostate Cancer by Stage at Diagnosis, Men, Ages ≥35 Years, 2016

Figure 11: 7MM, Diagnosed Incident Cases of Prostate Cancer by Risk of Biochemical Recurrence, Men, Ages ≥35 Years, 2016

Figure 12: 7MM, 10-Year Prevalent Cases of CRPC, Men, Ages ≥35 Years, 2016

Figure 13: 7MM, 10-Year Prevalent Cases of Prostate Cancer by Metastases, Men, Ages ≥35 Years, 2016

Figure 14: 7MM, 10-Year Prevalent Cases of Prostate Cancer with HRD Mutations, Men, Ages ≥35 Years, 2016

Frequently asked questions

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