Future of the Bangladeshi Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

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Published: February 01, 2016 Report Code: GD-DF0353MR-ST

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The Bangladeshi defense market will be driven bywell-defined military modernization plans and the country’s active and consistent participation in various peacekeeping missions. The capital expenditure allocation is anticipated to average 25.3% of the total defense budget during 2016–2020, and defense equipment procurements are expected to be in the areas of aircraft, helicopters, naval vessels, armoured vehicles, radars, and communication and surveillance equipment. During 2011–2015, Bangladeshi defense expenditure registered a growth rate of 9.15%, increasing from US$1.7 billion in 2011 to US$2.4 billion in 2015 Military expenditure is anticipated to register a CAGR of 8.25% during 2016–2020, to value US$3.5 billion in 2020 Over the forecast period, the country’s budget for homeland security is expected to be US$10.4 billion cumulatively The key areas of investment are expected to be aircraft, helicopters, naval vessels, and surveillance equipment

Scope

Strategic Defense Intelligence's report – Future of the Bangladeshi Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020 offers detailed analysis of the industry with market size forecasts from 2016–2020. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand in the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

Defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the defense industry during 2016–2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators. It also provides a snapshot of the country’s expenditure and modernization patterns

Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

Porter’s Five Force analysis of the defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years

Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities from 2015 to 2025

Competitive landscape and strategic insights: including an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons to Buy

Identify and track the global defense market and make regional comparisons to effectively target new revenue streams

Understand the importance of being led by defense ministries in the military procurement market and define your strategies with insight on what your customers really want by analyzing recent orders, technical specifications, and the country’s expected investment pattern during 2016–2020

Make correct business decisions based on detailed analysis of the defense industry from 2016–2020,which includes the total competitive landscape of the sector with detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers along with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis

Determine prospective investment areas by gaining an in-depth understanding of the industry in terms of market opportunities

Channel resources by identifying various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues across different sectors during 2016–2020

Bangladesh Ordnance Factories (BOF)
Bangladesh Machine Tools Factory (BMTF)
AgustaWestland
Eurocopter

Table of Contents

1 Introduction

1.1. What is this Report About?

1.2. Definitions

1.3. Summary Methodology

1.4. SDI Terrorism Index

1.5. About Strategic Defense Intelligence

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast

3.1.1. Bangladeshi defense budget to grow at a CAGR of

8.25% over the forecast period

3.1.2. Military modernization and peacekeeping missions are expected to drive defense expenditure over the forecast period

3.1.3. Bangladeshi defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP set to decrease over the forecast period

3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation

3.2.1. Share of capital expenditure to average

25.3% over 2016-2020

3.2.2. Need to replace obsolete equipment to drive defense capital expenditure

3.2.3. The army accounts for the majority share of defense expenditure

3.2.4. The country is expected to invest US$7.4 billion in its army during the forecast period

3.2.5. Air force defense budget projected to grow at a CAGR of

7.03% during the forecast period

3.2.6. Navy expenditure expected to register a CAGR of

9.82% during the forecast period

3.2.7. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period

3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast

3.3.1. Bangladeshi homeland security expected to be US$9.4 billion over the forecast period

3.3.2. Measures to combat drug smuggling and human trafficking are expected to drive Bangladeshi homeland security expenditure

3.3.3. Bangladesh falls under the "highly affected" category

3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets

3.4.1. Bangladeshi defense budget expected to increase at a CAGR of

8.25% over the forecast period

3.4.2. Bangladeshi military expenditure remains very low compared to other Asian countries

3.4.3. The country allocates a low percentage of its GDP towards the defense sector

3.4.4. Bangladesh faces some threat from terrorist organizations

3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators

3.5.1. Demand for frigates is forecast to increase

3.5.2. Procurement of training aircraft expected to surge during the forecast period

3.5.3. Demand for helicopters to increase in the coming years

4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics

4.1. Import Market Dynamics

4.1.1. Defense imports are expected to increase over the period 2016-2020

4.1.2. Weapons manufactured in China comprised the majority of imports for Bangladesh

4.1.3. Armored vehicles and ships dominated military hardware imports

4.2. Export Market Dynamics

4.2.1. The country exported negligible defense goods during 2011-2015

5 Industry Dynamics

5.1. Five Forces Analysis

5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: high

5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: low

5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium

5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low to high

5.1.5. Threat of substitution: medium to high

6 Market Entry Strategy

6.1. Market Regulation

6.1.1. Bangladesh does not disclose any offset obligations imposed by the country

6.1.2. Foreign direct investment (FDI) in the defense sector not disclosed by the government

6.2. Market Entry Route

6.2.1. Equipment manufacturers enter the market through government-to-government deals

6.2.2. Joint venture and license manufacturing agreements provide an attractive market entry route

6.3. Key Challenges

6.3.1. Limited defense budget deters investors from market entry

6.3.2. Corruption hinders growth of the Bangladeshi defense sector

6.3.3. Chinese companies dominate the market, creating a challenge for other foreign firms

7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights

7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview

7.2. Key Companies

7.2.1. Bangladesh Ordnance Factories: overview

7.2.2. Bangladesh Ordnance Factories: products

7.2.3. Bangladesh Machine Tools Factory (BMTF) Ltd: overview

7.2.4. Bangladesh Machine Tools Factory: products

7.2.5. AgustaWestland: overview

7.2.6. AgustaWestland: products

7.2.7. AgustaWestland: recent contract wins

7.2.8. Eurocopter: overview

7.2.9. Eurocopter: products

7.2.10. Eurocopter: recent contract wins

8 Business Environment and Country Risk

8.1. Demographics & Social Statistics

8.1.1. Population – Rural

8.1.2. Population – Urban

8.1.3. Population – Number of Households

8.2. Economic Performance

8.2.1. Gross Domestic per Capita

8.2.2. Gross Domestic Product, current US$

8.2.3. Exports of Goods and Services

8.2.4. Imports of Goods and Services

8.2.5. Gross National Disposable Income

8.2.6. Manufacturing Output

8.2.7. Consumer Price Index

8.2.8. Local Currency Unit per US$

8.2.9. Local Currency Unit per EUR

8.2.10. Lending Rate (%)

8.2.11. Deposit Rate (%)

8.2.12. Real Interest Rate (%)

8.2.13. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies

8.2.14. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies as a % of GDP

8.2.15. Total Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU Bn)

8.2.16. Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (LCU)

8.2.17. Goods Exports as a % of GDP

8.2.18. Goods Imports as a % of GDP

8.2.19. Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as a % of GDP

8.2.20. Services Imports as a % of GDP

8.2.21. Services Exports as a % of GDP

8.2.22. Services surplus/deficit as a % of GDP

8.2.23. International reserves, including Gold

8.3. Energy and Utilities

8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation

8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation

8.3.3. Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet)

8.3.4. Total Petroleum Consumption

8.3.5. Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels)

8.3.6. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts)

8.4. Infrastructure Quality and Availability

8.4.1. Rail lines (total route-km)

8.5. Minerals

8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output

8.6. Telecommunication

8.6.1. Telephone lines

8.6.2. Telephone lines Penetration Rate

9 Appendix

9.1. About SDI

9.2. Disclaimer

Table

Table 1: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015

Table 2: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020

Table 3: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2011-2015

Table 4: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2016-2020

Table 5: Bangladeshi GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth, 2011-2015

Table 6: Bangladeshi GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth, 2016-2020

Table 7: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015

Table 8: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020

Table 9: Bangladeshi Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ million), 2011-2015

Table 10: Bangladeshi Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ million), 2016-2020

Table 11: Bangladeshi Capital Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2011-2015

Table 12: Bangladeshi Capital Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2016-2020

Table 13: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation (%), 2011-2015

Table 14: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation (%),2016-2020

Table 15: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Army (US$ Million), 2011-2015

Table 16: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Army (US$ Million), 2016-2020

Table 17: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Army (BDT Billion), 2011-2015

Table 18: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure for Army (BDT Billion), 2016-2020

Table 19: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Air Force (US$ Million), 2011-2015

Table 20: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Air Force (US$ Million), 2016-2020

Table 21: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Air Force (BDT Billion), 2011-2015

Table 22: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Air Force (BDT Billion), 2016-2020

Table 23: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Navy (US$ Million), 2011-2015

Table 24: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Navy (US$ Million), 2016-2020

Table 25: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Navy (BDT Billion), 2011-2015

Table 26: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Navy (BDT Billion), 2016-2020

Table 27: Bangladeshi Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015

Table 28: Bangladeshi Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020

Table 29: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion),2011-2015

Table 30: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2016-2020

Table 31: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Budget (BDT Billion), 2011-2015

Table 32: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Budget (BDT Billion), 2016-2020

Table 33: Benchmarking with Key Markets – 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020

Table 34: SDI Terrorism Index

Table 35: Bangladesh Ordnance Factories – Key Products and Services

Table 36: Bangladesh Machine Tools Factory – Key Products and Services

Table 37: AgustaWestland – Key Products and Services

Table 38: AgustaWestland – Recent Contracts

Table 39: Eurocopter- Key Products and Services

Table 40: Eurocopter – Recent Contracts

Figures

Figure 1: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015

Figure 2: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion),2016-2020

Figure 3: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2011-2015

Figure 4: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2016-2020

Figure 5: Bangladeshi GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth, 2011-2015

Figure 6: Bangladeshi GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth, 2016-2020

Figure 7:Bangladeshi Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015

Figure 8:Bangladeshi Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020

Figure 9: Bangladeshi Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ million), 2011-2015

Figure 10: Bangladeshi Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ million), 2016-2020

Figure 11: Bangladeshi Capital Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2011-2015

Figure 12: Bangladeshi Capital Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2016-2020

Figure 13: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation (%),2011-2015

Figure 14: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation (%), 2016-2020

Figure 15: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Army (US$ Million), 2011-2015

Figure 16: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Army (US$ Million), 2016-2020

Figure 17: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Army (BDT Billion), 2011-2015

Figure 18: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure for Army (BDT Billion), 2016-2020

Figure 19: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Air Force (US$ Million), 2011-2015

Figure 20: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Air Force (US$ Million), 2016-2020

Figure 21: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Air Force (BDT Billion), 2011-2015

Figure 22: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Air Force (BDT Billion), 2016-2020

Figure 23: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Navy (US$ Million), 2011-2015

Figure 24: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Navy (US$ Million), 2016-2020

Figure 25: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Navy (BDT Billion), 2011-2015

Figure 26: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Navy (BDT Billion), 2016-2020

Figure 27: Bangladeshi Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015

Figure 28: Bangladeshi Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020

Figure 29: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion),2011-2015

Figure 30: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2016-2020

Figure 31: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Budget (BDT Billion), 2011-2015

Figure 32: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Budget (BDT Billion), 2016-2020

Figure 33: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2015

Figure 34: SDI Terrorism Index, 2015

Figure 35: Benchmarking with Key Markets – 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020

Figure 36: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2015 and 2020

Figure 37: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2015

Figure 38: Frigates Market Size (US$ million), 2015-2025

Figure 39: Training Aircraft Market Size (US$ million), 2015-2025

Figure 40: Multi-mission and Maritime Helicopter Market Size (US$ million), 2015-2025

Figure 41: Bangladeshi Defense Import Trend, 2011-2015(TIV values)

Figure 42: Bangladeshi Defense Imports by Country (%), 2011-2015

Figure 43: Bangladeshi Defense Imports by Category (%),2011-2015

Figure 44: Industry Dynamics – Porter's Five Forces Analysis

Figure 45: Bangladeshi Population – Rural (Millions), 2015-2024

Figure 46: Bangladeshi Population – Urban (Millions), 2015-2024

Figure 47: Bangladeshi Population – Number of Households (Millions), 2008-2017

Figure 48: Bangladeshi GDP per capita at Constant Prices (US$), 2015-2024

Figure 49: Bangladeshi Gross Domestic Product (current US$ Bn),2015-2024

Figure 50: Bangladeshi Exports of goods and services (current US$ Bn), 2004-2013

Figure 51: Bangladeshi Imports of goods and services (current US$ Bn), 2004-2013

Figure 52: Bangladeshi Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Bn), 2002-2011

Figure 53: Bangladeshi Manufacturing Output (US$ Bn), 2003-2012

Figure 54: Bangladeshi Consumer Price Index, 2015-2024

Figure 55: Bangladeshi LCU per US$, 2015-2024

Figure 56: Bangladeshi LCU per EUR, 2015-2024

Figure 57: Bangladeshi Lending Rate (%), 2003-2012

Figure 58: Bangladeshi Deposit Rate (%), 2003-2012

Figure 59: Bangladeshi Real Interest Rate (%), 2003-2012

Figure 60: Bangladeshi Market Capitalization of listed Companies (US$ Bn), 2003-2012

Figure 61: Bangladeshi Market Capitalization of listed Companies as a % of GDP, 2003-2012

Figure 62: Bangladeshi Total Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU Bn), 2002-2011

Figure 63: Bangladeshi Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (LCU), 2002-2011

Figure 64: Bangladeshi Goods Exports as a % of GDP, 2005-2012

Figure 65: Bangladeshi Goods Imports as a % of GDP,2005-2012

Figure 66: Bangladeshi Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as a % of GDP, 2005-2012

Figure 67: Bangladeshi Services Imports as a % of GDP, 2005-2012

Figure 68: Bangladeshi Services Exports as a % of GDP, 2005-2012

Figure 69: Bangladeshi Services surplus/deficit as a % of GDP, 2005-2012

Figure 70: Bangladeshi International reserves, including Gold (US$ Bn), 2003-2012

Figure 71: Bangladeshi Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Bn KWH), 2002-2011

Figure 72: Bangladeshi Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Bn KWH), 2003-2012

Figure 73: Bangladeshi Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2005-2014

Figure 74: Bangladeshi Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day), 2003-2012

Figure 75: Bangladeshi Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels), 2004-2013

Figure 76: Bangladeshi Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts), 2002-2011

Figure 77: Bangladeshi Rail lines (total route-km), 2003-2012

Figure 78: Bangladeshi Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output(US$ Bn), 2003-2012

Figure 79: Bangladeshi Telephone lines, 2003-2012

Figure 80: Bangladeshi Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people), 2003-2012

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