Geopolitical (Geopolitics and Conflict) – Report Bundle (6 Reports)
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“World geopolitics is going through a rapid change. With a changing horizon, both military and other non-military factors have impacted the geopolitical space and will inadvertently keep on doing so.”
As a part of this bundle, you will gain access to in-depth insights available in the following reports:
- High Intensity Warfare (HIW) /High Intensity Conflict (HIC)
- Littoral Warfare
- China in Aerospace and Defense
- European Defense Integration
- Arctic and High North (Militarization)
- Supply Chain Disruption
Report 1: High Intensity Warfare (HIW) / High Intensity Conflict (HIC)
The concept of high intensity warfare (HIW) entails geopolitical and socio-economic turmoil on such a scale that all areas of global trade are at risk of feeling the detrimental impacts of such a conflict. There is also an issue of scale, as a HIW scenario has the potential to remain geographically limited in its immediate scope, as seen with the brief conflicts in Georgia in 2008 or Nagorno-Karabakh in 2020, while also having the potential to gradually escalate into an armed conflict on a larger scale, as we are noticing in the Russian invasion of Ukraine in Europe. For this reason, the HIW theme is critical to anticipating the immediate impacts of a conflict for both clients and suppliers within the global defense market. Companies with a seemingly niche product portfolio or expertise can see significant shifts in demand and return on investment as factions engaged in high intensity warfare develop creative means of deploying those solutions in new domains or scenarios. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has provided several stark examples of this, including the use of Bayraktar TB-2 UCAVs to hunt surface vessels or the adaptation of the fighter-launched Brimstone Air-to-Surface Missile (ASM) to function as a Surface-to-Surface Missile (SSM) fired from makeshift platforms.
The High Intensity Warfare Value Chain Analysis
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Report 2: Littoral Warfare
The littoral warfare environment encompasses the maritime, air, land, space, and cyber domains as well as the information space. Warfare in the littorals has certain characteristics not found on the open ocean. These distinctions are especially pronounced in narrow seas, owing to their small size, short distances, and the presence of many offshore islands, artificial islands, coastal cliffs and mountains, constructions such as oil & gas platforms and wind-power plants, and shallowness of the water. The operating areas of both enemy and friendly forces encompass not only littoral waters but also coasts, offshore islands, and parts of the interior within the range of shipborne weapons. Future conflicts in the littoral would be characterized by short notice, rapid escalation, limited duration, and high intensity leading to increased mortality as well as the danger of collateral damages. Coastal cities, with their location, population concentrations, transportation infrastructure, and above-average income levels, have become strategic points of control for those seeking profit or support for their cause. Control of the littorals will therefore be a vital mission of military forces. This future threat environment calls for new thinking and a shift in the operational approach.
Key Technologies and Products Used in the Littoral Warfare
For more insights on technologies and products in littoral warfare, download a free report sample
Report 3: China in Aerospace and Defense
The rise of China refers to the evolution of China from a secondary actor on the world stage to a challenger to US hegemony. This includes the development of a range of soft and hard power capabilities. Since the end of World War II, and the conclusion of the Chinese Civil War, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) has undergone rapid, radical change both socially and economically. In a short half-century, the PRC has developed from a largely agrarian society to an industrialized nation with one of the largest economies in the world. Accompanied and driven by this rapid development, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has also rapidly developed and is currently undergoing modernization. The PRC is developing the means to assert itself on the world stage, capable and willing of enacting President Xi Jinping’s ‘Chinese Dream’, a vision of a rejuvenated Chinese nation with international influence to challenge other global stakeholders. Over 2021–2025, the multi-role aircraft segment of the People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) is expected to attract the largest spending with the ongoing production of the J-20 fifth-generation fighter aircraft. Under Xi’s leadership, China has actively tested technologies in space capabilities, such as the launch of Shiyan 7 in 2013. Both outer space and cyberspace are new domains of warfare, described as areas of strategic competition for China. As to the Chinese government, the protection of networked systems and cyberspace infrastructure is an issue of national security.
The Rise of China Value Chain
For more insights into the value chains of China in the aerospace and defense sector, download a free report sample
Report 4: European Defense Integration
European defense integration is based on building lasting peace on the continent after the second world war. Since then, several defense-related organizations in Europe with overlapping priorities and missions, such as Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OCSE), North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), EU Common Security and Defense Policy (CSDP), Nordic Defense Cooperation (NORDEFCO), and OCCAR, have been established. The efforts to develop cooperation in defense are based on having self-sufficient power against all risks and threats, especially the Russian threat, increasing the competitiveness of defense industry companies and ensuring uniformity in weapons and equipment. Europe is the third-largest defense spending region after North America and Asia Pacific regions regarding defense expenditure. In recent years, the EU has increasingly tried to develop its ability to act independently by enabling multilateral institutions and improving EU member states’ ability to act in tandem. The EU’s focus on developing capacity management is proceeding through several institutions and aims to develop individual member states’ abilities.
Relationship between EU defense, OCCAR, NATO and NORDEFCO
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Report 5: Arctic and High North (Militarization)
The Arctic region is becoming increasingly important as climate change-induced ice melt exposes valuable resources for the first time. Technological advances, such as new icebreakers, are facilitating widespread exploitation of these resources and are pushing more actors, both state and commercial, into the region. After a short period of stagnation in the wake of the cold war, Arctic countries, especially Russia, have been enhancing their military activities. The increasing great power competition and threat perceptions in the Arctic region have forced Arctic countries to increase their defense expenditures. US military forces have begun to pay more attention to the Arctic in their planning and operations. The Department of Defense (DOD), the Navy, the Air Force, and the Coast Guard have all issued Arctic strategy documents in 2019 and 2020. Moreover, Non-Arctic countries such as the UK, France, the Netherlands, and China are aiming to increase their footprint in the region through military training, economic cooperation, and scientific research.
The Arctic and High North Value Chain Analysis
For more insights into the Arctic and High North value chains, download a free report sample
Report 6: Supply Chain Disruption
A supply chain comprises the activities and processes that organizations perform to manufacture and deliver goods and services to consumers. Supply chain disruption occurs when these processes are compromised. Up until 2020, supply chains were incredibly resilient and efficient. Everything was delivered seamlessly on time, and at a low cost to the benefit of companies and consumers. Supply chain vulnerabilities have been exposed by several recent events, including COVID-19, the semiconductor shortage, and the Ukraine war. Re-engineering must be considered but it is an enormous task, and corporate budgets will be squeezed as the global economy moves into a possible recession. However, it must be done. It is estimated that by 2035, supply chains will consist of cloud-based logistics services, machine learning, factory robotics, and autonomous portside, warehouse, and delivery vehicles. More local operations will be scaled up through 3D and 4D organic and non-organic printing, reducing the need for long-distance logistics.
Supply Chain Disruption Themes
For more insights into the supply chain disruption themes, download a free report sample
Key Players: High Intensity Warfare (HIW) / High Intensity Conflict (HIC)
Key Players: Littoral Warfare
Key Players: China in Aerospace and Defense
Key Players: European Defense Integration
Key Players: Arctic and High North (Militarization)
Key Players: Supply Chain Disruption
Table of Contents
Frequently asked questions
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High Intensity Warfare
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What are some of the new examples of niche product portfolios deployed in new domains within the HIW theme?
Some of the new examples of niche product portfolios deployed in new domains within the HIW theme are the use of Bayraktar TB-2 UCAVs to hunt surface vessels and the adaptation of the fighter-launched Brimstone ASM to function as an SSM fired from makeshift platforms among others.
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Littoral Warfare
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How littoral warfare is different from conflicts in open oceans?
Littoral warfare takes place in narrow seas, owing to their small size, short distances, and the presence of many offshore islands, artificial islands, coastal cliffs and mountains, constructions such as oil & gas platforms and wind-power plants, and shallowness of the water.
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China in Aerospace and Defense
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What is President Xi Jinping’s idea of the ‘Chinese Dream’?
According to Chinese President Xi Jinping, the ‘Chinese Dream’ is a vision of a rejuvenated Chinese nation with international influence to challenge other global stakeholders.
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European Defense Integration
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What is the purpose of European defense integration?
European defense integration is based on building lasting peace on the continent after the second world war.
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Arctic and High North (Militarization)
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Which Non-Arctic countries are aiming to increase their footprint in the Arctic and High North region through military training, economic cooperation, and scientific research?
Non-Arctic countries such as the UK, France, the Netherlands, and China, are aiming to increase their footprint in the Arctic and High North region through military training, economic cooperation, and scientific research.
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Supply Chain Disruption
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How re-engineering will improve supply chain logistics?
With the use of cloud-based logistics services, machine learning, factory robotics, and automation, supply chain logistics can be re-engineered and consequently scaled up according to its needs.
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