Japan Construction Market Size, Trend Analysis by Sector, Competitive Landscape and Forecast to 2030 (H1 2026)
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GlobalData expects the Japanese construction industry to grow by 1.5% in real terms in 2026, supported by an increase in the total value of construction orders received, complemented by rising tourism and non-residential construction activity. According to Japan’s Statistics Bureau, the total value of contracts received for overall construction grew by 5.3% year-on-year (YoY) in the first 10 months of 2025, while that for building activity it grew by 4.5% YoY during the same period. Growth in the construction industry will also be driven by the government’s investments under the fiscal year 2026-27 (FY2027) (April 2026 – March 2027) Budget, which was approved by the Japanese cabinet in late December 2025. The FY2027 draft budget includes a total spending of JPY122.3 trillion ($841.1 billion), with JPY39.1 trillion ($268.6 billion) for social welfare and security, JPY9 trillion ($62.2 billion) for the defense sector and another JPY6.1 trillion ($42 billion) for the maintenance and upgrade of water and sewerage infrastructure in the country. However, rising bankruptcies within the real estate market, coupled with a significant labor shortage, is expected to adversely affect the investor confidence and hinder construction activities in Japan in the short term. According to the Cabinet Office, the average Business Confidence Index fell by 2.4% YoY in the first 11 months of 2025, following a marginal annual decline of 0.2% in 2024.
However, over the forecast period, the Japanese construction industry is expected to register annual average growth of 1.2% between 2027 and 2030, supported by investments in renewable energy, transportation and industrial projects. The government of Japan is also planning to raise the renewable electricity share in Japan's total energy mix to 36%–38% by 2030, from 23% in 2023. Furthermore, it plans to achieve 40%-50% renewable energy and 20% nuclear power by 2040, along with deploying 30GW of battery storage by 2040, under Japan's seventh Strategic Energy Plan (SEP). To support the set goals, Japan is rapidly investing in floating offshore and onshore wind energy projects. In a move to attract and encourage investments in the semiconductor manufacturing sector, the Japanese government has also announced a new funding package in November 2025, which comprises JPY1 trillion ($6.9 billion) in investment and subsidies between fiscal 2026 and 2027.
GlobalData’s Construction in Japan – Key Trends and Opportunities to 2030 (H1 2026) report provides detailed market analysis, information, and insights into the Japanese construction industry, including:
• The Japanese construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
• Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Japanese construction industry
• Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.
Scope
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Japan. It provides:
• Historical (2021–2025) and forecast (2026–2030) valuations of the construction industry in Japan, featuring details of key growth drivers.
• Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
• Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
• Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants
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