Kenya Construction Market Size, Trend Analysis by Sector, Competitive Landscape and Forecast to 2030 (H1 2026)

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GlobalData expects the construction industry in Kenya to expand by 5.1% in real terms in 2026, supported by investments in renewable energy and an ease in inflation rates. According to the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS), the inflation rate fell to 4.3% in February 2026, compared to 4.4% in January 2026 and 4.5% in December 2025. The industry will also be boosted by the sharp increase in construction loans in 2025. According to the Central Bank of Kenya, the average domestic credit to the construction industry grew by 27.1% in 2025, rising from KES131.9 billion ($970 million) in 2024 to KES167.7 billion ($1.2 billion). Moreover, total remittances in US dollar terms grew by 1.8% YoY in the first two months of 2026, following an increase of 1.9% in 2025. To strengthen infrastructure delivery, the government, in March 2026, announced a Nairobi city development plan valued at KES80 billion ($588.6 million), with the allocation intended to accelerate the pace of infrastructure construction across the region. The funding is expected to support priority works and enable faster implementation of key projects, thereby improving overall delivery timelines and capacity.

Over the remainder of the forecast period, the construction industry is expected to register an average annual growth of 5.5% between 2027 and 2030, supported by government investments in road and transport infrastructure. Growth will also be boosted by continued investments in the energy sector, which align with the country’s target of achieving 100% renewable energy by 2030. The government is also prioritizing the expansion of national grid capacity from 2.9GW in 2024 to 100GW by 2040. In support of these objectives, in March 2026 the government announced a new energy initiative valued at KES394.2 billion ($2.9 billion), which sets out a phased approach to capacity growth and associated infrastructure delivery.

GlobalData’s Construction in Kenya – Country Briefing (H1 2026) report provides detailed market analysis, information, and insights into Kenya's construction industry, including:_x000D_
• Kenya's construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity_x000D_
• Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in Kenya's construction industry_x000D_
• Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Kenya. It provides:

• Historical (2021–2025) and forecast (2026–2030) valuations of the construction industry in Kenya, featuring details of key growth drivers.

• Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector

• Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.

• Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants

Reasons to Buy

Identify and evaluate market opportunities using our standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies_x000D_

Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts_x000D_

Understand the latest industry and market trends_x000D_

Formulate and validate business strategies using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight_x000D_

Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures_x000D_

Evaluate competitive risk and success factors

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary _x000D_

2. Construction Industry: At-a-Glance _x000D_

3. Latest news and developments _x000D_

4. Project analytics _x000D_

5. Construction Market Data _x000D_

6. Risk Profile _x000D_

7. Appendix _x000D_

7.1 Definitions _x000D_

7.2 CRI Methodology _x000D_

About GlobalData _x000D_

Contact Us

Table

Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data

Table 2: Kenya, Top Construction Projects by Value

Table 3: Kenya Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million)

Table 4: Kenya Construction Output Value (Nominal, KES Billion)

Table 5: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions

Table 6: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions

Table 7: Ratings, Scores and Definitions

Figures

Figure 1: Kenya, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2022 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2021–30

Figure 2: Kenya, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2021–30

Figure 3: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2024–30

Figure 4: Kenya, Construction Output by Sector (Real % Change), 2024–26 and 2027–30

Figure 5: Kenya, Construction Value-Add (KES Million, 2016 Constant Prices)

Figure 6: Kenya, Net Domestic Credit to the Construction Industry (KES Billion)

Figure 7: Kenya, Construction Cost Index, 2019=100

Figure 8: Kenya, Total Remittances ($ Million)

Figure 9: Kenya, Real Estate Value-Add (KES Billion, 2016 Constant Prices)

Figure 10: Kenya, Building Cost Index, 2019=100

Figure 11: Kenya, Civil Engineering Cost Index, 2019=100

Figure 12: Kenya, Value of Building plans Approved for Nairobi City County (KSH Million), Real Value of Buildings

Figure 13: Kenya, Accommodation and Restaurant Services Value-Add (KES Billion, 2016 Constant Prices)

Figure 14: Kenya, Wholesale and Retail Trade Value-Add (KES Billion, 2016 Constant Prices)

Figure 15: Kenya, Exports (KES Billion)

Figure 16: Kenya, Manufacturing and Mining and Quarrying Value-add (KES Billion, 2016 Constant Prices)

Figure 17: Kenya, Electricity Generation, in Million KWh

Figure 18: Kenya, Information and Communication Value-Add (KES Billion, 2016 Constant Prices)

Figure 19: Kenya, Transport and Storage Value-Add (KES Billion, 2016 Constant Prices)

Figure 20: Kenya, Education and Health Value-Add (KES Billion, 2016 Constant Prices)

Figure 21: Kenya, Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)

Figure 22: Kenya, Risk Summary

Figure 23: Kenya, Risk Regional Comparison

Kenya Construction Market Size, Trend Analysis by Sector, Competitive Landscape and Forecast to 2030 (H1 2026) standard reports
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