Poland Defense Market Size, Trends, Budget Allocation, Regulations, Acquisitions, Competitive Landscape and Forecast to 2030

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Poland Defense Market – Size and trends, budget allocation, regulations, key acquisitions, competitive landscape and forecast, 2025-2030 report provides the market size forecast and the projected growth rate for the next five years. The report covers industry analysis including the key market drivers, emerging technology trends, and major challenges faced by market participants. It also offers insights regarding key factors and government programs that are expected to influence the demand for military platforms over the forecast period.

Poland’s defense posture has taken a historic turn since the beginning of Russia’s war in Ukraine in February 2022. In view of a large conventional land war on its borders, the Polish Army, Navy and Air Force are undergoing an extensive modernization program at both pace and scale – a process that began slowly in 2011 to shed Soviet-era equipment but accelerated after the invasion. There are ongoing acquisitions of platform based missile defense systems, multiple rocket launch systems, infantry fighting vehicles, multirole aircraft, frigates, attack helicopters, main battle tanks, transport & utility helicopters, armored personnel carriers, self-propelled artillery systems, and more in the forecast period of 2026–2030, when spending is predicted to total $301.6 billion. This compares with historical (2021-25) spending totalling $138.1 billion. The biggest single year-on-year increase came from 2024-2025, where spending increased by $12.3 billion.

Lessons learnt about artillery, attrition, unmanned technologies, and missile defense in Russia’s war will influence Polish military capability priorities, with Poland seeking high-end equipment to deter the primary security threat from Russia. The Suwalki corridor region in Northeast Poland is a strategically significant area for the entire NATO alliance. Poland remains a committed NATO member and maintains strong bilateral relations with the US, who remains Poland’s largest provider of equipment. Even so, US hegemony is being challenged by Korean firms Hanwha, Korea Aerospace Industries, and Hyundai Rotem. These AFV, training & light attack aircraft, and artillery suppliers that are part of an ambitious technology transfer agreement that will expand Polish domestic industry. Whilst most major procurement choices are likely finalized, some opportunities remain and the supply chain footprints in Poland will grow substantially.

Scope

This report offers a detailed analysis of Poland’s defense market, with market size forecasts covering the next five years. It also offers insights into the strategy, security environment and defense market dynamics of the country. Various sections covered in the report are as follows –

Defense Budget Assessment: This chapter covers the defense budgeting process, market size forecasts, drivers of expenditure, and allocation analysis. It also examines key market trends and insights.

Military Doctrine and Security Environment: Detailed analysis of military doctrine, strategic alliances, geopolitical dynamics, and the political, social, and economic factors influencing the security environment.

Market Entry Strategy and Regulations: This section elaborates on essential aspects of procurement policy and market regulations, market entry routes, key defense procurement bodies and major deals.

Market attractiveness and emerging opportunities: It evaluates the attractiveness of various defense sectors, indicating cumulative market value, and highlights the top sectors and defense segments by value in the country.

Defense Platforms Import and Export Dynamics: Provides an understanding of the defense platform imports and exports of the country from 2016 to 2024. Both imports and exports of the country are provided in terms of value ($M) and volume (units), categorized by country and sector.

Defense Platform Acquisitions: It offers an overview of defense platform acquisitions by value. It lists current defense procurement schedules for the major ongoing and planned military platforms that have been formulated in the country and elaborates on the reasons leading to the procurement of the same.

Fleet Size: Outlines the current fleet sizes of the Army, Air Force, and Navy, detailing the year of acquisition, units in service, and the prime contractor for the equipment.

Competitive Landscape: Profiles the main defense companies operating in the country, offering insights into their business overviews, latest contracts, and financial results.

Key Highlights

Modernization of equipment and contribution to NATO are key factors driving defense expenditure

Major ongoing procurement program include procurement of Borsuk, F-35A, HOMAR-A (HIMARS), Swordfish Frigate, K2 Black Panther, AH-64£ Apache, Orka Submarine, KRAB 155m

Reasons to Buy

Determine prospective investment areas based on a detailed trend analysis of the Poland defense market over the next five years

Gain in-depth understanding about the underlying factors driving demand for different defense and internal security segments in the Poland market and identify the opportunities offered.

Strengthen your understanding of the market in terms of demand drivers, market trends, and the latest technological developments, among others

Identify the major threats that are driving the Poland defense market providing a clear picture about future opportunities that can be tapped, resulting in revenue expansion

Channel resources by focusing on the ongoing programs that are being undertaken by the Poland government

Make correct business decisions based on in-depth analysis of the competitive landscape consisting of detailed profiles of the top defense equipment providers in the country. The company profiles also includes information about the key products, alliances, recent contract awarded, and financial analysis, wherever available

Asseco Poland SA Elektrotim SA Lubawa SA 4Military sp zoo Aebi Schmidt Polska Sp zoo Aero-Kros Pte. Ltd. AIR-POL Sp. z o. o. Airbus Poland SA AMZ-KUTNO SA Autocomp Management Sp zoo Benepol Sp zoo Bilsam Aviation Industries Blue Media SA Celtech Sp zoo Concept Sp zoo DBK Sp. z o.o. Dobrowolski Sp zoo ETC-PZL Aerospace Industries Sp z oo Fabryka Broni Lucznik-Radom Sp zoo Farada Group Sp z oo Flytronic SA Hanwha Aerospace Europe sp zoo Huta Stalowa Wola SA Hyundai Rotem Europe Sp Zoo Industrial Research Institute for Automation and Measurements PIAP Jakusz SpaceTech Ltd Jelcz Sp zoo MESKO SA Mista Sp zoo Navitec SP Zoo nkt cables SA Obrum Sp zoo PCO SA PGZ Stocznia Wojenna Sp Zoo Pit-Radwar SA Polskie Zaklady Lotnicze Sp Zoo Qumak SA Remontowa Shipbuilding SA Rheinmetall Polska Sp Zoo Rosomak SA Scania Polska SA Siltec Sp Zoo Stocznia Gdansk SA SYDERAL Polska sp. z o.o. TatukGIS Sp zoo Thales Polska Sp zoo WB Electronics SA WB Group SA WSK PZL Kalisz S.A. WSK PZL-Rzeszów S.A. Wytwornia Sprzetu Komunikacyjnego Pzl Kalisz S A Wytwornia Sprzetu Komunikacyjnego Pzl Swidnik S A XEOS Sp zoo Zaklad Automatyki i Urzadzen Pomiarowych AREX Sp zoo Zaklady Mechaniczne Bumar Labedy S A Zeszuta Sp zoo

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

Defense Budget Assessment

Budgeting Process

Defense Market Size Historic And Forecast

Drivers Of Defense Expenditure

Analysis of Defense Expenditure Allocation

Analysis Of Defense Budget Allocation

Key Market Trends and Insights

Military Doctrine And Security Environment

Military Doctrine And Strategy

Strategic Alliances and Geopolitics

Political, Social and Economic Scenario

Market Entry Strategy And Regulations

Defense Procurement Bodies

Funding Opportunities

Trade Associations and Defense Clusters

Types of Contracts and Opportunities

Types of European Procurement Procedure

Procurement Policy and Market Regulations

Market Entry Routes

Key Challenges

Major Deals and M&A

Market Attractiveness And Emerging Opportunities

Market Attractiveness By Defense Sector

Top Sectors in the Poland Defense Market

Top Defense Segments By Value

Defense Platforms Import and Export Dynamics

Defense Platforms Import Dynamics

Defense Platforms Export Dynamics

Defense Platform Acquisitions

Borsuk

F-35A

HOMAR-A Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS)

Miecznik (Swordfish) Frigate Program

Wilk Program – K2 Black Panther

AH-64E Apache

Orka Submarine

KRAB 155m

Fleet Size

Army

Air Force

Navy

Competitive Landscape

Defense Companies Operating In Poland

Defense MRO Companies Operating in Poland

Appendix

About This Report

About Us

Contact Us

Table

List of Tables

Table 1: Polish Ongoing Procurement Programs

Table 2: Polish Future Procurement Programs

Table 3: Top Polish Defense Procurement Programs by Value (US$ Million) 2019-2024

Table 4: Polish Defense Cooperation

Table 5: Polish Military Training Exercises

Table 6: Polish Defense Expenditure (PLN Billion & US$ Billion), 2015-2024

Table 7: Polish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2015-2024

Table 8: Polish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),2015-2024

Table 9: Polish Defense Capital Expenditure (PLN Billion & US$ Billion), 2015-2024

Table 10: Polish Defense Expenditure Allocation (% Share), 2015-2024

Table 11: Polish Defense Budget in PLN Billion – Breakdown by Services (Army, Navy, Air Force and Others) 2015-2024

Table 12: Polish Defense Budget in US$ Million – Breakdown by Services (Army, Navy, Air Force and Others) 2015-2024

Table 13: Polish Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2015-2024

Table 14: Polish Homeland Security Expenditure (PLN Billion & US$ Billion), 2015-2024

Table 15: Benchmarking with Key Markets: 2015-2019 vs. 2020-2024

Table 16: Top Polish Defense Market Sectors by Value (US$ Million) – 2019-2024

Table 17: Polish Budget Formation Timetable:

Table 18: Market Entry Strategies by Key Foreign Companies

Table 19: Top Defense Suppliers in Polish Defense Industry – By Value (US$ Million) 2019-2024

Table 20: Competitive Landscape of the Polish Defense Industry

Table 21: BAE Systems, Main Products

Table 22: BAE Systems, Alliances

Table 23: BAE Systems – Recent Contract Wins

Table 24: The Boeing Company, Main Products

Table 25: The Boeing Company, Alliances

Table 26: Lockheed Martin, Main Products

Table 27: Lockheed Martin, Alliances

Table 28: Lockheed Martin, Recent Contract Wins

Table 29: CAE, Main Products and Services

Table 30: CAE Inc., Alliances

Table 31: CAE, recent contract wins

Table 32: Sikorsky, a Lockheed martin Company Main Products and Services

Table 33: Sikorsky, a Lockheed Martin Company Alliances

Table 34:Sikorsky, a Lockheed Martin Company: recent contract wins

Table 35: Leonardo S.p.A., Main Products and Services

Table 36: Leonardo S.p.A., Alliances

Table 37: Leonardo S.p.A., Recent Contract Wins

Table 38: Polish Defense Holding, Major Products

Table 39: Polish Defense Holding, Alliances

Table 40: Polish Defense Holding, Recent Contract Wins

Table 41: PZL Mielec – Main Products

Table 42: PZL Mielec, Alliances

Table 43: PZL Mielec, Recent Contract Wins

Table 44: Wojskowe Zakłady Uzbrojenia SA, Main Products and Services

Table 45: Wojskowe Zakłady Uzbrojenia SA, Alliances

Table 46: Huta Stalowa Wola, Main Products and Services

Table 47: Huta Stalowa Wola, Alliances

Table 48: Huta Stalowa Wola, Recent Contract Wins

Table 49: ROSOMAK S.A.: Main Products and Services

Table 50: ROSOMAK SA., Recent Contract Wins

Figures

List of Figures

Figure 1 : Polish Defense Budget: 2020 and 2024

Figure 2 : Polish Defense Imports/Exports: 2014 and 2018

Figure 3 : Poland’s Top Three Prospective Procurements/Developments

Figure 4: Polish National Security Threat

Figure 5: Poland’s Partnering Countries for Defense Cooperation and Military Training

Figure 6: Polish Defense Expenditure (PLN Billion), 2015-2024

Figure 7: Polish Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015-2024

Figure 8: Polish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2015-2024

Figure 9:Polish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),2015-2024

Figure 10: Polish Defense Capital Expenditure (PLN Billion), 2015-2024

Figure 11: Polish Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015-2024

Figure 12: Polish Defense Expenditure Allocation (% Share) Breakdown by Defense Services, 2015-2024

Figure 13: Polish Defense Budget in PLN Billion – Breakdown by Services (Army, Navy, Air Force and Others) 2015-2024

Figure 14: Polish Defense Budget in US$ Million – Breakdown by Services (Army, Navy, Air Force and Others) 2015-2024

Figure 15: Poland Per Capita Expenditure (US$), 2015-2024

Figure 16: Polish Homeland Security Budget (PLN Billion), 2015-2024

Figure 17: Polish Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2015-2024

Figure 18: Benchmarking with Key Markets – 2015-2019 vs. 2020-2024

Figure 19: Defense Expenditure of the World’s Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2019 and 2024

Figure 20: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2019

Figure 21: Land Based C4ISR Market Size (US$ Million), 2019-2024

Figure 22: Missile Defense System Market Size (US$ Million), 2019-2024

Figure 23: IFV Market Size (US$ Million), 2019-2024

Figure 24: Polish Defense Procurements In Terms Of Their Supplier Relationships

Figure 25: Polish Defense Imports (US$ Million), 2014-2018

Figure 26: Polish Defense Imports by Country (%),2014-2018

Figure 27: Polish Defense Imports by Category (%), 2014-2018

Figure 28: Polish Defense Exports by Value (US$ Million), 2014-2018

Figure 29: Polish Defense Exports by Country (%), 2014-2018

Figure 30: Polish Defense Exports by Category (%), 2014-2018

Figure 31: Industry Dynamics: Porter’s Five Forces Analysis

Figure 32: Key Challenges in Polish Defense Market

Figure 33: Poland Market Share Analysis, 2018

Figure 34: BAE Systems – Revenue Trend Analysis (GBP Million), 2014-2018

Figure 35: BAE Systems – Operating Profit Trend Analysis (GBP Million), 2014-2018

Figure 36: BAE Systems – Net Profit Trend Analysis (GBP Million), 2014-2018

Figure 37: Boeing – Revenue Trend Analysis (US$ million), 2014-2018

Figure 38: Boeing – Operating Profit Trend Analysis (US$ milliom), 2014-2018

Figure 39: Boeing – Net Profit Trend Analysis (US$ million), 2014-2018

Figure 40: Lockheed Martin Corp. – Revenue Trend Analysis (US$ billion), 2014-2018

Figure 41: Lockheed Martin Corp. – Operating Profit Trend Analysis (US$ billion), 2013-2017

Figure 42: Lockheed Martin Corp. – Net Profit Trend Analysis (US$ billion), 2013-2017

Figure 43: CAE Inc. – Revenue Trend Analysis (CAD Million), 2015-2019

Figure 44: CAE Inc. – Operating Profit Trend Analysis (CAD Million), 2015-2019

Figure 45: CAE Inc.- Net Profit Trend Analysis (CAD Million), 2015-2019

Figure 46: Leonardo S.p.A. – Revenue Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2014-2018

Figure 47: Leonardo S.p.A.- Operating Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2013-2017

Figure 48: Leonardo S.p.A.Net Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2013-2017

Figure 49: Polish GDP Per Capita, 2015-2025

Figure 50: Polish GDP, Current Prices (In US$ Billions), 2015-2025

Figure 51: Polish Exports of goods and services, current prices (LCU Billion), 2005- 2014

Figure 52: Polish Imports of goods and services, current prices (LCU Billion), 2005- 2014

Figure 53: Polish Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Billion), 2005- 2012

Figure 54: Local Currency Unit per US$- Exchange Rate , 2015-2024

Figure 55: Polish Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2005-2012

Figure 56: Polish Market Capitalization of Listed Companies as percentage of GDP, 2005-2012

Figure 57: Polish Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2012

Figure 58: Poland’s Goods Exports as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2013

Figure 59: Poland’s Goods Imports as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2013

Figure 60: Poland’s Service Imports as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2013

Figure 61: Poland’s Service Exports as % of GDP, 2005-2013

Figure 62: Poland’s Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billion), 2005-2013

Figure 63: Poland’s Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2005-2013

Figure 64: Poland’s Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Billion), 2005-2014

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