Retailing in France– Market Summary & Forecasts; Comprehensive overview of the market, consumer, and competitive context, with retail sales value and forecasts to 2020

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Total retail sales in France witnessed positive growth over the historic period, which is further expected to continue to 2020. However, rising concerns around unemployment and the country’s financial crisis had a major influence on consumer confidence, which reduced consumer spending levels. Demand for products reduced to some extent as consumers limited their spending to daily essentials. In spite of the slow growth of total retail sales, the online retail channel is poised to witness a considerable CAGR of 10.9% over the next five years, on the back of increasing penetration of internet, mobile, and broadband users.

Scope

• Retail expenditure to increase by €30 billion by 2020

• Food and grocery accounts for a major share of the country’s total retail sales

• E-commerce will be the only channel to register high growth rates over the forecast period

• Aging population and single households will be prime focus groups

Reasons to Buy

Gain comprehensive knowledge on 26 products across 12 product sectors in the French retail market and develop a competitive advantage around consumer behavior trends from the start of your supply chain

Explore novel opportunities that will allow you to align your product offerings and strategies to meet demand by analyzing the vital economic and population trends, key consumer, and technology trends influencing the retail market

Investigate current and forecast behavior trends in each category to identify the best opportunities to exploit

Analyze the recommended actions to align your marketing strategies with the crucial trends influencing consumer behavior

Understand the fastest-growing categories in the market with insights on performance of individual product categories, across key channels from 2010, with forecasts until 2020

Analysis of key international and domestic players operating in the French retail market — including store counts and revenues that give you a competitive edge — and identify opportunities to improve your market share

GroupeNaf Naf
Chevignon
Kookaï
La Halle aux Vêtements
Kiabi
Bershka
Massimo Dutti
Oysho
Pull and bear
Stradivarius
Zara
H&M
Galeries Lafayette
Hermes
GAP
Louis Vuitton
Hollister
American Apparel
Marks & Spencer
Alfred Dunhill
Forever 21
Mango
Vintee-privee.com
Gemo
Andre
Geox
Sarenza.com
Footlocker Relay
Fnac
Amazon
Priceminister.com
Shakespeare and Company

Table of Contents

1. Introduction

1.1 What is this Report About?

2. Executive Summary & Outlook

3. Market Context

3.1 A slowing economy with new challenges for retailers

3.1.1 Weakening French economy will slow down retailers’ growth

3.1.2 Household saving rates remain high

3.1.3 Services sector remains the dominant sector for employment

3.1.4 Threat of deflation is a concern for the French economy

3.1.5 Sluggish growth in household consumption expenditure

3.2 Aging population creating new opportunities for retailers

4. French Shoppers

4.1 The aging population and growing single households have different needs

4.2 Organic food and locally sourced products find increasing demand

4.3 Despite the decline in purchasing power, private labels face tough competition from national brands

4.4 E-commerce powered click and drive-through outlets – now a mature retail format in France

4.5 Tourism to boost the luxury market in France

5. Doing Business in France

5.1 Summary

5.1.1 Bureaucracy

5.1.2 Business culture

5.1.3 Geography

5.1.4 Infrastructure and logistics

5.2 Factors influencing investments in France

5.3 Laws to reduce the associated risks at the POS stations

5.4 France passes “anti-Amazon law” in favor of small bookstores

5.5 Sales being state-regulated and restricted to only twice a year

5.6 Taxation in France

5.6.1 Corporate income tax

5.6.2 Withholding tax

5.6.3 Personal income tax

5.6.4 Value added tax (VAT)

6. Internet &Technology

6.1 France ranks third in Europe in terms of internet users

6.2 Demand for higher bandwidth applications and investments in fiber infrastructures have fueled broadband growth

6.3 E-commerce is mostly driven by increased activity on mobile

6.3.1 Social Media Penetration in France

7. Retail Topline

7.1 Total Retail

7.1.1 Online Sales & Growth

7.2 Summary of product sectors

7.2.1 Share of key product sectors

7.2.2 Key product sectors

7.3 Summary of channels

7.3.1 Spend per Channel

7.3.2 Online Penetration of Key Product Sectors

8. Retail – Product Sectors

8.1 Product Sector Analysis

8.1.1 Clothing

8.1.2 Footwear

8.1.3 Books, News and Stationery

8.1.4 Electrical and Electronics

8.1.5 Food and Grocery

8.1.6 Health and Beauty

8.1.7 Furniture and Floor Coverings

8.1.8 Home and Garden Products

8.1.9 Music, Video and Entertainment Software

8.1.10 Sports and Leisure Equipment

8.1.11 Jewelry, Watches and Accessories

8.1.12 Luggage and Leather Goods

9. Retailers

9.1 Clothing

9.2 Footwear

9.3 Books, News and Stationery

9.4 Electrical and Electronics

9.5 Food and Grocery

9.6 Health and Beauty

9.7 Furniture and Floor Coverings

9.8 Home and Garden Products

9.9 Music, Video and Entertainment Software

9.10 Sports & Leisure Equipment

9.11 Jewelry, Watches and Accessories

9.12 Luggage and Leather Goods

10. Appendix

10.1 Definitions

10.1.1 This report provides 2015 actual sales; while forecasts are provided for 2016 – 2020 ..127

10.2 Summary Methodology

10.2.1 Overview

10.2.2 The triangulated market sizing method

10.2.3 Industry surveys in the creation of retail market data

10.2.4 Quality control and standardized processes

10.3 About Verdict Retail

10.4 Disclaimer

Table

Table 1: France Clothing Retail Sales (EUR bn), by Product Sub-Category, 2010–2015

Table 2: France Clothing Retail Sales (EUR bn), by Product Sub-Category, 2015–2020

Table 3: France Footwear Retail Sales (EUR million), by Product Sub-Category, 2010–2015

Table 4: France Footwear Retail Sales (EUR million), by Product Sub-Category, 2015–2020

Table 5: Major Domestic Retailers in France

Table 6: Major International Retailers in France

Table 7: Key Clothing Retailers in France

Table 8: Key Footwear Retailers in France

Table 9: Key Books, News and Stationery Retailers in France

Table 10: Key Electrical and Electronics Retailers in France

Table 11: Key Food and Grocery Retailers in France

Table 12: Key Personal Care Retailers in France

Table 13: Key Furniture and Floor Coverings Retailers in France

Table 14: Key Home and Garden Retailers in France

Table 15: Key Music, Video and Entertainment Retailers in France

Table 16: Key Sports & Leisure equipment Retailers in France

Table 17: Key Jewelry, Watches and Accessories Retailers in France

Table 18: Key Luggage and Leather Goods Retailers in France

Table 19: France Exchange Rate EUR–USD (Annual Average), 2010–2015

Table 20: France Exchange Rate EUR–USD (Annual Average), 2016–2020 Forecasts

Table 21: Verdict Retail Channel Definitions

Table 22: Verdict Retail Category Definitions

Figures

Figure 1: GDP Value (US$ billion), 2010–2015

Figure 2: Growth Rate of GDP (US$ billion, %), 2010–2015

Figure 3: GDP Value and Growth (EUR billion, %), 2010–2015

Figure 4: Forecasts for GDP Value and Growth (EUR billion, %),2015–2020

Figure 5: Gross Domestic Savings Rate (% of GDP), 2005–2015

Figure 6: Share of Employment by Sector (%), 2005 and 2015

Figure 7: Unemployment Rate(%), 2005–2015

Figure 8: Inflation Growth Rates (%), 2005–2015

Figure 9: Household Consumption Expenditure of France (EUR billion), 2005 and 2015

Figure 10: Household Consumption Expenditure of Major Countries (US$ billion), 2015

Figure 11: Growth of Household Consumption Expenditure (US$, %), 2005–2015

Figure 12: Rural and Urban Populations (millions) 2005, 2015, and 2020

Figure 13: Total Population and Growth Rate (Millions, %), 2005–2020

Figure 14: Population Split by Gender (%), 2015 and 2020

Figure 15: Population Split by Age Group (%), 2015 and 2020

Figure 16: Per Capita Spend on Retail (EUR), 2005 and 2015

Figure 17: Per Capita Spend (EUR) and Total Retail Spend by Age Group (%), 2005 and 2015

Figure 18: Aging consumers and single households are set to grow further

Figure 19: Demand for organic and locally sourced food products on a rise

Figure 20: Click and drive through outlets are on an increase as per March 2015

Figure 21: Tourist arrivals to France, (in thousands), 2010 and 2015

Figure 22: Major Cities with High Spend on Retail

Figure 23: Key Components of Doing Business in France

Figure 24: Total Number of Internet Users and Growth Rate (millions,%), 2015-2020

Figure 25: Total Number of Fixed Broadband Users and Penetration (millions, %), 2015-2020

Figure 26: Total Number of Mobile Phone Users and Penetration (millions, %), 2015-2020

Figure 27: The state of internet and technology in France

Figure 28: Retail Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %), 2005–2015

Figure 29: Retail Sales as % of Total Consumer Spend (%), 2005 and 2015

Figure 30: Total Retail Sales and Growth Rate(EUR billion, %), 2015 and 2020

Figure 31: Online Sales and Growth Rate (EUR billion, %) 2015–2020

Figure 32: Share of Key Product Sectors (%), 2015 and 2020

Figure 33: Growth Rate of Key Product Sectors vs. Growth of Total Retail (%), 2015–2020

Figure 34: Value Growth of Key Product Sectors (EUR billion), 2015–2020

Figure 35: Spend Per Channel, 2015 and 2020

Figure 36: Online Penetration of Key Product Sectors (%), 2015

Figure 37: Online Penetration of Key Product Sectors (%), 2020

Figure 38: Share of Clothing in overall Retail 2015 and 2020

Figure 39: Retail Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %) of Clothing 2015–2020

Figure 40: Spend per Head on Clothing 2015 and 2020

Figure 41: Share of Clothing by Women’s Wear, Men’s Wear and Children’s Wear 2015 and 2020

Figure 42: Womenswear Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %) 2015–2020

Figure 43: Men’s Wear Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %) 2015–2020

Figure 44: Children’s Wear Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %), 2015–2020

Figure 45: Online Spend in Clothing and Growth (EUR billion, %), 2015–2020

Figure 46: Online Share of Total Clothing Spend 2015 and 2020

Figure 47: Spending per Channel in Clothing (%) 2015 and 2020

Figure 48: Share of Footwear in Total Retail Sales, 2015 and 2020

Figure 49: Retail Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %) of Footwear, 2015–2020

Figure 50: Spend per Head on Footwear, 2015 and 2020

Figure 51: Share of Footwear by Women’s Footwear, Men’s Footwear and Children’s Footwear 2015 and 2020

Figure 52: Women’s Footwear Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %), 2015–2020

Figure 53: Men’s Footwear Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %), 2015–2020

Figure 54: Children’s Footwear Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %), 2015–2020

Figure 55: Online Spend in Footwear and Growth (EUR billion, %), 2015–2020

Figure 56: Online Share of Total Footwear Spend, 2015 and 2020

Figure 57: Spending per Channel in Footwear (%) 2015 and 2020

Figure 58: Share of Books, News and Stationery in overall Retail, 2015 and 2020

Figure 59: Retail Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %) of Books, News and Stationery, 2015–2020

Figure 60: Spend per Head on Books, News and Stationery, 2015 and 2020

Figure 61: Online Spend in Books, News and Stationery and Growth (EUR billion, %), 2015–2020

Figure 62: Online Share of total Books, News and stationery Spend, 2015 and 2020

Figure 63: Spending per Channel in Books, News and stationery (%) 2015 and 2020

Figure 64: Share of Electrical and Electronics in Total Retail Sales, 2015 and 2020

Figure 65: Retail Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %) of Electrical and Electronics, 2015–2020

Figure 66: Spend per Head on Electrical and Electronics, 2015 and 2020

Figure 67: Online Spend in Electrical and Electronics and Growth (EUR billion, %), 2015–2020

Figure 68: Online Share of total Electrical and Electronics Spend, 2015 and 2020

Figure 69: Spending per Channel in Electrical and Electronics (%) 2015 and 2020

Figure 70: Share of Food and Grocery in Total Retail Sales, 2015 and 2020

Figure 71: Retail Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %) of Food and Grocery, 2015–2020

Figure 72: Spend per Head on Food and Grocery, 2015 and 2020

Figure 73: Online Spend in Food and Grocery (EUR billion, %) 2015–2020

Figure 74: Online Share of total Food and Grocery Spend, 2015 and 2020

Figure 75: Spending per Channel in Food and Grocery (%), 2015 and 2020

Figure 76: Share of Personal Care in Total Retail Sales, 2015 and 2020

Figure 77: Retail Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %) of Health and Beauty, 2015–2020

Figure 78: Spend per Head on Health and Beauty, 2015 and 2020

Figure 79: Online Spend and Growth (EUR billion, %)in Health and Beauty, 2015–2020

Figure 80: Online Share of total Health and Beauty Spend, 2015 and 2020

Figure 81: Spending per Channel in Health and Beauty (%) 2015 and 2020

Figure 82: Share of Furniture and Floor Coverings in Total Retail Sales, 2015 and 2020

Figure 83: Retail Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %) of Furniture and Floor Coverings, 2015–2020

Figure 84: Spend per Head on Furniture and Floor Coverings, 2015 and 2020

Figure 85: Online Spend and Growth (EUR billion, %)in Furniture and Floor Coverings, 2015–2020

Figure 86: Online Share of total Furniture and Floor Coverings Spend, 2015 and 2020

Figure 87: Spending per Channel in Furniture and Floor Coverings (%), 2015 and 2020

Figure 88: Share of Home and Garden Products in Total Retail Sales, 2015 and 2020

Figure 89: Retail Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %) of Home and Garden Products 2015–2020

Figure 90: Spend per Head on Home and Garden Products, 2015 and 2020

Figure 91: Online Spend and Growth (EUR billion, %) in Home and Garden Products, 2015–2020

Figure 92: Online Share of total Home and Garden Products Spend, 2015 and 2020

Figure 93: Spending per Channel in Home and Garden Products (%), 2015 and 2020

Figure 94: Share of Music, Video and Entertainment Software in Total Retail Sales, 2015 and 2020

Figure 95: Retail Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %) of Music, Video and Entertainment Software, 2015–2020

Figure 96: Spend per Head on Music, Video and Entertainment Software, 2015 and 2020

Figure 97: Online Spend and Growth (EUR billion, %) in Music, Video and Entertainment Software, 2015–2020

Figure 98: Online Share of total Music, Video and Entertainment Software Spend 2015 and 2020

Figure 99: Spending per Channel in Music, Video and Entertainment Software (%), 2015 and 2020

Figure 100: Share of Sports and Leisure Equipment in Total Retail Sales, 2015 and 2020

Figure 101: Retail Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %) of Sports and Leisure Equipment, 2015–2020

Figure 102: Spend per Head on Sports and Leisure Equipment, 2015 and 2020

Figure 103: Online Spend and Growth (EUR billion, %) in Sports and Leisure Equipment, 2015–2020

Figure 104: Online Share of Total Sports and Leisure Equipment Spend, 2015 and 2020

Figure 105: Spending per Channel in Sports and Leisure Equipment (%), 2015 and 2020

Figure 106: Share of Jewelry, Watches and Accessories in Total Retail Sales, 2015 and 2020

Figure 107: Retail Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %) of Jewelry, Watches and Accessories, 2015–2020

Figure 108: Spend per Head on Jewelry, Watches and Accessories, 2015 and 2020

Figure 109: Online Spend and Growth (EUR billion, %) in Jewelry, Watches and Accessories, 2015–2020

Figure 110: Online Share of total Jewelry, Watches and Accessories Spend, 2015 and 2020

Figure 111: Spending per Channel in Jewelry, Watches and Accessories (%), 2015 and 2020

Figure 112: Share of Luggage and Leather Goods in Total Retail Sales, 2015 and 2020

Figure 113: Retail Sales Value and Growth (EUR billion, %) of Luggage and Leather Goods, 2015–2020

Figure 114: Spend per Head on Luggage and Leather Goods 2015 and 2020

Figure 115: Online Spend and Growth (EUR billion, %) in Luggage and Leather Goods, 2015–2020

Figure 116: Online Share of total Luggage and Leather Goods Spend, 2015 and 2020

Figure 117: Spending per Channel in Luggage and Leather Goods (%), 2015 and 2020

Figure 118: The Triangulated Market Sizing Methodology

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