Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Market Size, Trend Analysis by Sector, Competitive Landscape and Forecast, 2023-2027

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Published: September 01, 2023 Report Code: GRCREG000014CN-BB

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Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Market Overview

The Sub-Saharan Africa construction industry is expected to be evaluated at $210.4 billion in 2023, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.8% over the forecast period. High oil and gas prices and Europe’s shift away from Russian oil and gas continue to present opportunities for the vastly untapped oil and gas market across the region. This will fuel the demand for necessary infrastructure and power-related facilities.

The regional energy and utilities sector is anticipated to grow by 3.6% in real terms in 2023, supported by the increasing focus on developing energy infrastructure, particularly renewable energy, as well as investment in the regional LNG sector.

Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Market Outlook, 2018-2027 ($ Billion)

Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Market Outlook, 2018-2027 ($ Billion)

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GlobalData expects the construction output growth in the Sub-Saharan region to slow down to 2.5% in 2023. In the medium to long term, the region presents an attractive proposition for growth owing to the vastly underdeveloped infrastructure, the rising population growth, and growing urbanization.

The growth over the forecast period will be further supported by investments in the region’s transport infrastructure projects, coupled with the construction of cross-border infrastructure projects. For instance, in mid-May 2023, Ethiopia and South Sudan signed an agreement to construct the Paloch – Mathiang – Maiwut – Pagak highway, that will connect the two countries.

Market Size (2023) $210.4 billion
CAGR (2023-2027) 4.8%
Historic Period 2018-2022
Forecast Period 2023-2027
Report Scope & Coverage Sector Overview, Construction Output Value ($ Million) by Country and Sector, Regional Outlook by Key Countries, Key Industry Participants
Key Sectors Commercial Construction, Energy and Utilities Construction, Industrial Construction, Infrastructure Construction, Institutional Construction, and Residential Construction
Key Countries Angola, Cameroon, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Mozambique, Nigeria, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zambia

Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Market Segmentation by Sectors

The Sub-Saharan Africa construction industry covers commercial construction, energy and utilities construction, industrial construction, infrastructure construction, institutional construction, and residential construction. The residential construction category is predicted to account for the largest regional share in terms of construction output value (Real) in 2023.

Residential Construction: Residential construction was the largest sector in the Sub-Saharan Africa construction industry in 2022, accounting for 30.1% of the region’s total value that year. The sector is estimated to grow marginally by 1.3% in the current year owing to the weak macroeconomic conditions. The increasing focus of regional governments to expand public and private funding towards addressing the housing deficit and providing affordable housing to low-income groups is expected to drive segmental growth over the predicted timeline.

The residential segment is likely to face challenges in the short to medium term owing to higher interest rates and elevated construction costs but offers an attractive proposition owing to the expanding population level, with the region’s population expected to double over the next three decades.

Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Market Share by Sectors, 2023 (%)

Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Market Share by Sectors, 2023 (%)

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Institutional Construction: The institutional construction segment is expected to account for the smallest regional share in real terms in 2023. The regional sector is expected to expand by 2.2% in real terms this year, supported by investment in the development of education and health infrastructure. For instance, in April 2023, the Kenyan Ministry of Education disbursed KES9.6 billion ($73.4 million) as part of the Junior Secondary Education program, for the development of the country’s junior secondary schools.

Infrastructure Construction: The regional infrastructure construction segment is predicted to account for the second-largest regional share in real terms in 2023. The segmental growth over the forecast period is primarily driven by the expansion of transport infrastructure in the region.

For instance, regional countries including Ethiopia, Cameroon, Tanzania, and Nigeria are working towards increasing regional connectivity through rail, road, and air transport. For instance, Cameroon’s Ministry of Transport is undertaking the construction of the Edéa-Kribi-Campo & Douala railway line, with construction set to commence in Q4 2024 and end in Q4 2027. Furthermore, the sector’s growth will be supported by the CFA84.1 million ($126.2 million) fund provided by the European Union in May 2022 for the construction and upgrading of the 330km Belabo – Ngaoundere railway line.

Industrial Construction: GlobalData expects the industrial construction sector’s output to register an annual growth of 2.3% in real terms in 2023, supported by the gradual improvement in industrial and manufacturing production and export activities. For instance, according to the Bank of Tanzania (BoT) Monthly Economic Review, the increase in exports of manufactured goods largely emanated from textiles, fertilizers, iron and steel. According to the Bank of Tanzania, the total value of exports grew by 22% in 2022. Out of the total, the export of diamonds registered the sharpest growth of 636.3% YoY in 2022 overall.

Energy and Utilities Construction: The energy and utilities construction sector is expected to account for the third-largest regional share in real terms in 2023. The growth in the current year and over the short-term forecast period is anticipated to be driven by the steady rise in the development of LNG terminals in the region.

For instance, in March 2023, the energy ministry of Tanzania announced the completion of negotiations between the government and the energy companies, Equinor and Shell for the construction of a TZS69.3 trillion ($30 billion) liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal in the Lindi region.

Commercial Construction: The commercial construction sector in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is expected to grow by 1.4% in real terms this year, supported by a pick-up in commercial activities combined with increased investment in the leisure, hospitality, and recreational sectors. The forecast-period output will be supported by credits provided for the development of retail and hospitality sectors. For instance, according to Zambia’s Ministry of Finance, the total value of credits provided to the private sector for the wholesale and retail sector grew by 51.4% YoY in January 2023, preceded by an annual growth of 6.9% in 2022.

Within the regional hospitality sector, the development of new projects is expected to flourish backed by strong investments over the forecast period. Among key building project development is a NGN49.9 billion ($100 million) 170-room hotel in Victoria Island, Lagos, by a Nigerian real estate development company Ekulo Group of Companies.

Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Market Analysis by Region

The regional section of the Sub-Saharan Africa construction market is primarily dominated by four countries namely Ethiopia, Nigeria, South Africa, and Tanzania. These four countries combined are expected to capture a regional share of more than 73.0% in real terms in 2023.

Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Market Share by Country, 2023 (%)

Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Market Share by Country, 2023 (%)

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The construction industry in Ethiopia is expected to account for the largest regional share and expand by 5.6% in real terms in 2023. The industry’s growth in 2023 will be supported by rising FDI, coupled with the re-start of halted development projects, following the easing of the armed conflict. According to the EIC, the country attracted ETB152.3 billion ($2.7 billion) in FDI over the first nine months of the current fiscal year (8th July 2022 to 7th March 2023), marking a Y-o-Y growth of 10%. This is however below the government’s target to attract ETB256.7 billion ($4.6 billion) in FDI during the first nine months of FY2022-23.

The construction sector is expected to remain fairly subdued in real terms this year, edging up marginally. The domestic construction industry is to grow just 0.9% in real terms in 2023, following annual growth of 4.5% in 2022. This slowdown in growth is owing to the impact of elevated costs for materials, energy, and labor, and the continued tightening of monetary policy along with the ongoing cash crunch, which are all expected to weigh on both economic and construction industry growth in the coming quarters.

The construction industry of South Africa is expected to continue sluggish performance into 2023, with the industry projected to shrink by 1.9% in real terms, following annual falls of 3.4% in 2022 and 2.0% in 2021. The estimated decline in the industry’s output in 2023 is attributed to high inflation, rising interest rates, rising energy and construction material prices, and supply chain disruptions.

The construction sector of Tanzania in real terms is anticipated to record a regional share of more than 12.0% in 2023. The domestic growth is aided by the increased investment in the development of the railways, roads, and airport infrastructure. According to the NBS, the construction industry’s value grew by 2.7% YoY in Q3 2022; preceded by Y-o-Y growth rates of 4% in Q2 and 5.4% in Q1 2022.

Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Market Segments and Scope:

Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Market Sectors Outlook (Value, $ Million, 2018-2027)

  • Commercial Construction
  • Energy and Utilities Construction
  • Industrial Construction
  • Infrastructure Construction
  • Institutional Construction
  • Residential Construction

Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Market Countries Outlook (Value, $ Million, 2018-2027)

  • Angola
  • Cameroon
  • Ethiopia
  • Ghana
  • Kenya
  • Mozambique
  • Nigeria
  • South Africa
  • Tanzania
  • Zambia

Scope

  • Sub-Saharan Africa construction market outlook: analysis as well as historical figures and forecasts of opportunities from the sector and regional segments.

  • The report provides an overview of the outlook for the Sub-Saharan Africa construction industry to 2027.

  • Analysis of the construction output values (Real) in major countries: Angola, Cameroon, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Mozambique, Nigeria, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zambia.

  • Insight into the sectoral movement covering commercial construction, energy and utilities construction, industrial construction, infrastructure construction, institutional construction, and residential construction.

  • Dedicated section covering key industry participants by country including top consultants and contractors.

Key Highlights

The Sub-Saharan Africa construction market size will be evaluated at $210.4 billion in 2023. The construction market in the Sub-Saharan Africa region is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.8% during 2023-2027.

Reasons to Buy

  • Evaluate regional trends in construction development from insight into output values and project pipelines. Identify the fastest growers to enable assessment and targeting of commercial opportunities in the markets best suited to strategic focus.

  • Identify the drivers in the Sub-Saharan Africa construction market and consider growth in developed economies. Formulate plans on where and how to engage with the market while minimizing any negative impact on revenues.

  • Accompanying GlobalData’s Forecast products, the report examines the assumptions and drivers behind ongoing and upcoming trends in the Sub-Saharan Africa construction market.

Key Players

Table of Contents

  • CHAPTER 01 Executive Summary

  • CHAPTER 02 Construction Outlook

    • 2.1 All Construction

    • 2.2 Commercial Construction

    • 2.3 Energy and Utilities Construction

    • 2.4 Industrial Construction

    • 2.5 Infrastructure Construction

    • 2.6 Institutional Construction

    • 2.7 Residential Construction

  • CHAPTER 03 Construction Outlook – Country Level

    • 3.1 Angola

      • 3.1.1 Construction Market Overview

      • 3.1.2 Key Industry Participants

    • 3.2 Cameroon

      • 3.2.1 Construction Market Overview

      • 3.2.2 Key Industry Participants

    • 3.3 Ethiopia

      • 3.3.1 Construction Market Overview

      • 3.3.2 Key Industry Participants

    • 3.4 Ghana

      • 3.4.1 Construction Market Overview

      • 3.4.2 Key Industry Participants

    • 3.5 Kenya

      • 3.5.1 Construction Market Overview

      • 3.5.2 Key Industry Participants

    • 3.6 Mozambique

      • 3.6.1 Construction Market Overview

      • 3.6.2 Key Industry Participants

    • 3.7 Nigeria

      • 3.7.1 Construction Market Overview

      • 3.7.2 Key Industry Participants

    • 3.8 South Africa

      • 3.8.1 Construction Market Overview

      • 3.8.2 Key Industry Participants

    • 3.9 Tanzania

      • 3.9.1 Construction Market Overview

      • 3.9.2 Key Industry Participants

    • 3.10 Zambia

      • 3.10.1 Construction Market Overview

      • 3.10.2 Key Industry Participants

  • CHAPTER 04 Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Regional Trends

    • 4.1 Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Market Data

      • 4.1.1 Angola Construction Market Data

      • 4.1.2 Cameroon Construction Market Data

      • 4.1.3 Ethiopia Construction Market Data

      • 4.1.4 Ghana Construction Market Data

      • 4.1.5 Kenya Construction Market Data

      • 4.1.6 Mozambique Construction Market Data

      • 4.1.7 Nigeria Construction Market Data

      • 4.1.8 South Africa Construction Market Data

      • 4.1.9 Tanzania Construction Market Data

      • 4.1.10 Zambia Construction Market Data

  • CHAPTER 05 Research Methodology

    • 5.1 Introduction

    • 5.2 Research Methodology Steps

      • 5.2.1 Data Collection and Consolidation

      • 5.2.2 Modelling and Estimation

      • 5.2.3 Forecasting and Validation

  • CHAPTER 06 About GlobalData

  • Contact Us

Table

Table 1 Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Output Value (Real $ Million) and Growth (% Change), 2018-27

Table 2 Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Output by Sector (Real % Change), 2018–27

Table 3 Sub-Saharan Africa, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–2

Table 4 Sub-Saharan Africa, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–27

Table 5 Sub-Saharan Africa, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–27

Table 6 Sub-Saharan Africa, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–27

Table 7 Sub-Saharan Africa, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–27

Table 8 Sub-Saharan Africa, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–27

Table 9 Angola, Top Construction Projects by Value

Table 10 Angola, Key Contractors

Table 11 Angola, Key Consultants

Table 12 Cameroon, Top Construction Projects by Value

Table 13 Cameroon, Key Contractors

Table 14 Cameroon, Key Consultants

Table 15 Ethiopia, Top Construction Projects by Value

Table 16 Ethiopia, Key Contractors

Table 17 Ethiopia, Key Consultants

Table 18 Ghana, Top Construction Projects by Value

Table 19 Ghana, Key Contractors

Table 20 Ghana, Key Consultants

Table 21 Kenya, Top Construction Projects by Value

Table 22 Kenya, Key Contractors

Table 23 Kenya, Key Consultants

Table 24 Mozambique, Top Construction Projects by Value

Table 25 Mozambique, Key Contractors

Table 26 Mozambique, Key Consultants

Table 27 Nigeria, Top Construction Projects by Value

Table 28 Nigeria, Key Contractors

Table 29 Nigeria, Key Consultants

Table 30 South Africa, Top Construction Projects by Value

Table 31 South Africa, Key Contractors

Table 32 South Africa, Key Consultants

Table 33 Tanzania, Top Construction Projects by Value

Table 34 Tanzania, Key Contractors

Table 35 Tanzania, Key Consultants

Table 36 Zambia, Top Construction Projects by Value

Table 37 Zambia, Key Contractors

Table 38 Zambia, Key Consultants

Table 39 Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real $ Million), 2022–27

Table 40 Angola Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real $ Million), 2022–27

Table 41 Cameroon Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real $ Million), 2022–27

Table 42 Ethiopia Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real $ Million), 2022–27

Table 43 Ghana Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real $ Million), 2022–27

Table 44 Kenya Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real $ Million), 2022–27

Table 45 Mozambique Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real $ Million), 2022–27

Table 46 Nigeria Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real $ Million), 2022–27

Table 47 South Africa Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real $ Million), 2022–27

Table 48 Tanzania Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real $ Million), 2022–27

Table 49 Zambia Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real $ Million), 2022–27

Figures

Fig.1 Sub-Saharan Africa Construction Output Value (Real $ Million) and Growth (% Change), 2018-27

Fig.2 Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2018–27

Fig.3 Sub-Saharan Africa, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27

Fig.4 Sub-Saharan Africa, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27

Fig.5 Sub-Saharan Africa, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27

Fig.6 Sub-Saharan Africa, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27

Fig.7 Sub-Saharan Africa, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27

Fig.8 Sub-Saharan Africa, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27

Fig.9 Angola, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2018–27

Fig.10 Angola, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2018–27

Fig.11 Cameroon, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2018–27

Fig.12 Cameroon, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2018–27

Fig.13 Ethiopia, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2018–27

Fig.14 Ethiopia, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2018–27

Fig.15 Ghana, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2018–27

Fig.16 Ghana, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2018–27

Fig.17 Kenya, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2018–27

Fig.18 Kenya, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2018–27

Fig.19 Mozambique, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2018–27

Fig.20 Mozambique, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2018–27

Fig.21 Nigeria, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2018–27

Fig.22 Nigeria, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2018–27

Fig.23 South Africa, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2018–27

Fig.24 South Africa, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2018–27

Fig.25 Tanzania, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2018–27

Fig.26 Tanzania, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2018–27

Fig.27 Zambia, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2018–27

Fig.28 Zambia, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2018–27

Fig.29 Research Methodology Steps

Fig.30 Core Objectives of Data Collection and Consolidation

Fig.31 Modelling Approach

Fig.32 Forecasting and Validation Flow

Fig.33 GlobalData Proposition and Product Capabilities

Fig.34 GlobalData Sector Coverage

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