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Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Market Size and Trends Analysis by Countries, Sector and Segment Forecast to 2026

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Published: February 17, 2023 Report Code: GRCREG000004CN

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Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Market Report Overview

The Sub-Saharan Africa infrastructure construction market size will be valued at $91.1 billion in 2023 and is estimated to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.7% over the forecast period. The growth in the market is primarily driven by the regional transportation project pipeline focusing on roadway, railway, and waterway developments.

The regional dynamics for the infrastructure construction sector are backed by steady investments in the transportation sector. However, with rising inflation rates and public debts with a stronger US dollar is likely to restrict money flow in 2023. The increase in construction material cost coupled with the hike in energy charges is projected to directly restrain the market growth over the forecast period.

Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Market Outlook, 2019-26 ($ Billion)

Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Market Outlook, 2019-26 ($ Billion)

 

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According to GlobalData estimates, the Sub-Saharan Africa infrastructure construction market witnessed a decline of 3.8% in 2020 owing to the emergence of the pandemic and its subsequent economic turmoil. The growth momentum picked up by 2021 showcasing a growth of 4.4% in terms of output values due to the increased public spending to jolt start the regional economy. However, with the rise in energy prices and shortage/hike in construction materials coupled with a surge in public debts derailed the momentum in 2022.

Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Market Segmentation by Sectors

The Sub-Saharan Africa infrastructure construction industry covers railways, roads, water and sewage, electricity and power, and others. The roads segment is projected to dominate the overall market share in 2022.

Roads: Sub-Saharan Africa roads sector requires substantial improvements. However, lack of funding constrained by the elevated public debts, rising inflation rates, currency depreciations, and increased dollar-denominated debt servicing costs, the sectoral growth momentum is likely to struggle over the short-term period.

Despite these challenges, the road network of the region is anticipated to increase with a sizable pipeline from Nigeria. For instance, as part of the National Development Plan 2021–2025, the Nigerian government aims to increase the percentage of Nigerian road networks under scheduled maintenance and repair from 45% in 2020 to 75% in 2025. The plan is expected to generate 21 million full-time jobs and lift 35 million people out of poverty by 2025.

Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Market Share by Sectors, 2023 (%)

Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Market Share by Sectors, 2023 (%)

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Electricity and Power: Much of Sub-Saharan Africa is heavily reliant on carbon-based fuels and the energy transition is more gradual, although investment in renewable energy is largely increasing. The pipeline is largely dominated by South Africa, the government is actively supporting the energy transition aiming to diversify its energy mix and generate 26% of the total energy mix from renewable sources by 2030.

For instance, the state-owned electricity public utility company Eskom plans to invest ZAR1.2 trillion ($71 billion) on the construction of wind farms and solar plants for a shift to cleaner energy sources by 2030. Additionally, the company plans to construct a 150MW solar power plant, with construction works commencing in Q4 2023 and ending in Q2 2026.

Railways: This segment is expected to observe the second-highest compounded annual growth rate from 2022 to 2026. The growth in this segment is supported by the new project pipeline from Nigeria, Ethiopia, and Tanzania. For instance, these three countries together account for more than 57.0% of the regional railway infrastructure construction project pipeline. Among the largest projects in the Nigerian pipeline is the $11.2 billion Lagos Metro Rail Transit System project which involves the construction of a 250km metro network. It includes the construction of stations, pedestrian walkover bridges, rail crossings, and platforms, as well as the installation of a railway track.

Water and Sewage: The water and sewage segment accounted for the smallest share within the regional dynamics. The water resources in the region are under immense pressure owing to the intense droughts and floods with cities and farms facing severe water shortages. The government of Nigeria is undertaking strong measures to complete water and sewage projects in the country. For instance, in March 2022, the Minister of Water Resources announced that the government will complete many of the inherited and abandoned water projects before the present administration’s tenure ends in 2023; this includes irrigation, dam, and sanitation projects.

Others: The others category comprises airports, ports, marine, and inland waterways. This segment is projected to account for the second-largest sectoral share post roads category. The regional efforts to develop port facilities to enable efficient trade mechanism is estimated to remain a key driver for segmental growth over the forecast period. Nigeria and Tanzania are expected to witness a strong project pipeline value of more than $27.0 billion with a regional share of more than 32.0%.

Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Market Analysis by Countries

Ethiopia is estimated to remain a dominant force within the regional dynamics, accounting for a share of more than 27.0% in 2022. The country underwent huge political unrest with the conflict between the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) and the Ethiopian Government in the first half of 2022. However, this conflict is cooling down with the peace process underway. The stable political scenario in the country is anticipated to boost the investor’s confidence and thereby, positively aiding the market growth over the forecast period.

Nigeria is projected to emerge as the second most dominant region in 2022 and is projected to witness an annual average growth rate of 4.0% from 2023 to 2026. The country is increasingly focusing on attracting foreign direct investments to push infrastructural growth. According to the CBN, Nigeria received NGN92.7 billion ($223.3 million) in FDI in the first five months of 2022, representing a 3.7% Y-o-Y increase. In a recent development, in April 2022, the CBN signed a term sheet with InfraCorp and four infrastructure asset managers to develop infrastructure. The corporation is expected to raise NGN15 trillion ($36.1 billion) to support investment in critical infrastructure.

South Africa is projected to showcase the lowest compounded annual growth rate over the forecast period owing to the soaring energy prices and disruptions in the supply of key construction materials amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict. In addition, the country’s total construction output value is observing a continuous downfall since 2020 with improvement expected in 2024. These factors coupled with the high risk in the political environment of the country are likely to weigh down the overall market growth over the forecast period.

Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Market Share by Country, 2023 (%)

Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Market Share by Country, 2023 (%)

 

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Tanzania is estimated to witness a second highest compounded annual growth rate over the forecast period, supported by the increased investments in infrastructure development, such as the construction of railways, roads, and an airport, coupled with spending on improving the provision of a wider and more reliable electricity network, and transportation service improvements. According to the Tanzania National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), the construction industry’s value grew by 4.7% year on year (YoY) in the first half of 2022.

Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Market Research Scope

Market Size in 2023 $91.1 billion
Market Size in 2026 $111.8 billion
CAGR 5.7% from 2022 to 2026
Historic Years 2016-2021
Forecast Period 2022-2026
Report Scope & Coverage Sector Overview, Construction Output Value ($ Million), Project Pipeline by Country and Sector, Regional Outlook by Key Sectors, Top 20 Project Details by Sector
Key Segments Roads, Railways, Electricity and Power, Water and Sewage, Others
Key Countries Ethiopia, Nigeria, South Africa, Tanzania, and Rest of Sub-Saharan Africa

Scope

  • Sub-Saharan Africa infrastructure construction market outlook: analysis as well as historical figures and forecasts of revenue opportunities from the sector and regional segments.

  • The report provides an overview of the outlook for the Sub-Saharan Africa infrastructure construction industry to 2026.

  • Analysis of the outlook for infrastructure investment in major countries: Ethiopia, Nigeria, South Africa, Tanzania, and Rest of Sub-Saharan Africa.

  • Insight into the project pipelines for roads, railways, electricity and power, water and sewage, and others.

Reasons to Buy

  • Evaluate regional trends in infrastructure development from insight into output values and project pipelines. Identify the fastest growers to enable assessment and targeting of commercial opportunities in the markets best suited to strategic focus.

  • Identify the drivers in the Sub-Saharan Africa infrastructure construction market and consider growth in developed economies. Formulate plans on where and how to engage with the market while minimizing any negative impact on revenues.

  • Accompanying GlobalData’s Forecast products, the report examines the assumptions and drivers behind ongoing and upcoming trends in the Sub-Saharan Africa infrastructure construction market.

Key Players


Table of Contents

  • CHAPTER 01 Overview

  • CHAPTER 02 Sector Overviews

    • 2.1 Railways

    • 2.2 Roads

    • 2.3 Electricity and Power

    • 2.4 Water and Sewage

    • 2.5 Others

  • CHAPTER 03 Project Pipelines

    • 3.1 All Infrastructure Projects

      • 3.1.1 Railway Projects

      • 3.1.2 Road Projects

      • 3.1.3 Electricity and Power Projects

      • 3.1.4 Water and Sewage Projects

      • 3.1.5 Other Projects

  • CHAPTER 04 Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Regional Trends

    • 4.1 Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Market Data

      • 4.1.1 Ethiopia Infrastructure Construction Market Data

      • 4.1.2 Nigeria Infrastructure Construction Market Data

      • 4.1.3 South Africa Infrastructure Construction Market Data

      • 4.1.4 Tanzania Infrastructure Construction Market Data

      • 4.1.5 Rest of Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Market Data

  • CHAPTER 05 Research Methodology

    • 5.1 Introduction

    • 5.2 Research Methodology Steps

      • 5.2.1 Data Collection and Consolidation

      • 5.2.2 Modelling and Estimation

      • 5.2.3 Forecasting and Validation

  • CHAPTER 06 About GlobalData

  • Contact Us

Table

Table 1 Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Output, by Country (Real, $ 2017 Billion), 2016–2026

Table 2 All Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction, Project Pipeline Value by Stage and Key Countries ($ Million)

Table 3 All Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction, Project Pipeline Value by Stage and Sector ($ Million)

Table 4 Top 20 Railway Projects by Value

Table 5 Top 20 Road Projects by Value

Table 6 Top 20 Electricity and Power Projects by Value

Table 7 Top 20 Water and Sewage Projects by Value

Table 8 Top 20 Airport Projects by Value

Table 9 Top 20 Other Projects by Value

Table 10 Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real $ Billion), 2016–26

Table 11 Ethiopia Infrastructure Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real $ Billion), 2016–26

Table 12 Nigeria Infrastructure Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real $ Billion), 2016–26

Table 13 South Africa Infrastructure Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real $ Billion), 2016–26

Table 14 Tanzania Infrastructure Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real $ Billion), 2016–26

Table 15 Rest of Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real $ Billion), 2016–26

Figures

Fig.1 Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction Output Value (Real $ Billion) and Growth (% Change)

Fig.2 Global Infrastructure Construction Output Value by Region (Index, 2016 = 100)

Fig.3 Railway Infrastructure Output (% of GDP) vs Population Density per Km of Rail

Fig.4 Railway Infrastructure Output (% of GDP) vs Efficiency of Train Services

Fig.5 Railway Infrastructure Construction Output Value, % of GDP, Average of Time Period

Fig.6 Railway Infrastructure Construction Output Value (Real $ Million)

Fig.7 Road Infrastructure Output (% of GDP) vs Quality of Roads

Fig.8 Road Infrastructure Output (% of GDP) vs Road Connectivity

Fig.9 Road Infrastructure Construction Output Value, % of GDP, Average of Time Period

Fig.10 Road Infrastructure Construction Output Value (Real $ Million)

Fig.11 Electricity and Power Infrastructure Output (% of GDP) vs Electricity Power Losses

Fig.12 Electricity and Power Infrastructure Output (% of GDP) vs Electricity Quality

Fig.13 Electricity and Power Construction Output Value, % of GDP, Average of Time Period

Fig.14 Electricity and Power Construction Output Value (Real $ Million)

Fig.15 Water and Sewage Infrastructure Output (% of GDP) vs Reliability of Water Supply

Fig.16 Water and Sewage Infrastructure Output (% of GDP), Access to Safely Managed Sanitation

Fig.17 Water and Sewage Infrastructure Construction Output Value, % of GDP, Average of Time Period

Fig.18 Water and Sewage Infrastructure Construction Output Value (Real $ Million)

Fig.19 Others Infrastructure Construction Output (% of GDP) vs Efficiency of Seaport Services

Fig.20 All Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction, Project Pipeline Value by Stage ($ million)

Fig.21 All Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction, Project Pipeline Value by Stage and Sector ($ Million)

Fig.22 All Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Construction, Project Pipeline Value by Stage and Key Countries ($ Million)

Fig.23 All Sub-Saharan Africa Railways, Project Pipeline by Stage ($ Million)

Fig.24 All Sub-Saharan Africa Railways, Project Pipeline by Stage and Key Countries ($ Million)

Fig.25 All Sub-Saharan Africa Railways, Project Pipeline by Funding Type and Key Countries (% of Total)

Fig.26 All Sub-Saharan Africa Railways, Project Pipeline Rail Length by Completion Year (km)

Fig.27 All Sub-Saharan Africa Railways, Pipeline Value by Railway Type ($ Million)

Fig.28 All Sub-Saharan Africa Roads, Project Pipeline by Stage ($ Million)

Fig.29 All Sub-Saharan Africa Roads, Project Pipeline by Stage and Key Countries ($ Million)

Fig.30 All Sub-Saharan Africa Roads, Project Pipeline by Funding Type and Key Countries (% of Total)

Fig.31 All Sub-Saharan Africa Roads, Project Pipeline Length by Completion Year (km)

Fig.32 All Sub-Saharan Africa Electricity and Power, Project Pipeline by Stage ($ Million)

Fig.33 All Sub-Saharan Africa Electricity and Power, Project Pipeline by Stage and Key Countries ($ Million)

Fig.34 All Sub-Saharan Africa Electricity and Power Generation, Project Pipeline by Type and Stage ($ Million)

Fig.35 All Sub-Saharan Africa Electricity and Power Generation, Capacity Additions by Completion Year (MW)

Fig.36 All Sub-Saharan Africa Water and Sewage, Project Pipeline by Stage ($ Million)

Fig.37 All Sub-Saharan Africa Water and Sewage, Project Pipeline by Stage and Key Countries ($ Million)

Fig.38 All Sub-Saharan Africa Water and Sewage, Project Pipeline by Funding Type and Key Countries ($ Million)

Fig.39 All Sub-Saharan Africa Other, Project Pipeline by Stage ($ Million)

Fig.40 All Sub-Saharan Africa Other, Project Pipeline by Stage and Key Countries ($ Million)

Fig.41 All Sub-Saharan Africa Other, Project Pipeline by Funding Type and Key Countries ($ Million)

Fig.42 Research Methodology Steps

Fig.43 Core Objectives of Data Collection and Consolidation

Fig.44 Modelling Approach

Fig.45 Forecasting and Validation Flow

Fig.46 GlobalData Proposition and Product Capabilities

Fig.47 GlobalData Sector Coverage

Fig.48 Supporting business-critical decision making at the largest & most successful companies

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