Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market Production Capacity Analysis by Region, Refinery Type, Top Countries and Companies to 2030

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Published: September 29, 2023 Report Code: GDGE0444MAR-ST

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Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAP) Production Capacity Market Report Overview

Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) is environmentally friendly and is relatively pure when compared to conventional jet fuel.  SAF is rapidly gaining prominence globally with most of the production being planned through standalone renewable refineries.

The SAF production capacity is expected to witness remarkable growth during the period 2020-2030 and is expected to reach 6,206 million gallons per annum (mmgy) in 2030. A slew of projects mainly planned in North America, Europe, and Asia are expected to drive this exceptional capacity growth by 2030.

Market Size (2030) 6,206 mmgy
Forecast Period 2020-2030
Key Refinery Type ·       Standalone Renewable

·       Crude Refinery Co-Processing

·       Crude Refinery Conversion
Key Countries ·       US

·       UK

·       China

·       Canada

·       Netherlands

·       Others
Key Regions ·       North America

·       Europe

·       Asia

·       Middle East

·       Others
Key Project Development Stages ·       Feasibility

·       Construction

·       FEED

·       Approval
Leading Players in Standalone Renewable Refineries ·        Gevo Inc

·        DG Fuels LLC

·        Oriental Energy Co Ltd

·        Alfanar Group

·        UPM Biofuels

·       Others
Leading Players in Refinery Co-Processing ·        BP Plc

·        Orlen SA

·        JIL Engineering & Oil Services Ltd

·        Amber Enerji Makina Logistics Ltd

·       Others
Leading Players in Refinery Conversions ·        Eni SpA

·        TotalEnergies SE

·        ENEOS Corp

·        SARIA AS GmbH & Co KG

·        Channel Infrastructure NZ Ltd

·       Others

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SAF Production Capacity Market by Upcoming Refinery Type

The key upcoming refinery types in the SAF production capacity market are crude refinery conversion, renewable standalone, and crude refinery co-processing. Global SAF production is primarily being planned through standalone renewable refineries and is expected to continue its dominance over the forecast period.

SAF Production Capacity Market Analysis by Upcoming Refinery Type, 2030 (%)

SAF Production Capacity Market Analysis by Upcoming Refinery Type, 2030 (%)

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SAF Production Capacity Market by Upcoming Region

The key regions in the SAF production capacity market are North America, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, South America, Oceania, and Africa. North America is expected to dominate the global SAF production capacity from upcoming projects with most of its production coming from standalone renewable refineries.

The US is expected to witness the highest SAF production capacity from upcoming projects by 2030. The major upcoming SAF production projects in the country are the Decatur Renewable, United States Renewable II, and Houston Renewable III.

Europe follows North America in terms of global SAF production capacity from upcoming projects with the UK being second after the US in terms of production capacity.

SAF Production Capacity Market Analysis by Upcoming Region, 2020-2030 (%)

SAF Production Capacity Market Analysis by Upcoming Region, 2020-2030 (%)

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SAF Production Capacity Market by Projects Development Outlook

Globally, the majority of the upcoming SAF projects (planned and announced) are likely to be in the feasibility stage and are expected to start operations from 2023 to 2030. Construction and FEED are the other major project stages that contributed significantly. The approval project stage accounts for a very minimal percentage with only one project (Gary Renewable in the US) in the outlook period.

SAF Production Capacity Market Analysis by Upcoming Project Developments, 2020-2030 (%)

SAF Production Capacity Market Analysis by Upcoming Project Developments, 2020-2030 (%)

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SAF Production Capacity Market – Competitive Landscape

Major Players by SAF Production Capacity Market in Standalone Renewable Refineries: Gevo Inc, DG Fuels LLC, Oriental Energy Co Ltd, Alfanar Group, and UPM Biofuels among others are some of the major players in the SAF production capacity market in standalone renewable refineries. Gevo Inc is the leading player globally in terms of SAF production capacity. The company plans to add a capacity of about 560 mmgy from two standalone refineries in the US and become the market leader by 2030.

Major Players by SAF Production Capacity in Refinery Co-Processing:  BP Plc is the key player globally for SAF capacity through crude refinery co-processing. The company is expected to add 196 mmgy of SAF production capacity by 2030 through the Castellon Renewable in Spain. Orlen SA and JIL Engineering & Oil Services Ltd stand second and third on the list.

Major Players by SAF Production Capacity in Refinery Conversions: The key companies operating in the SAF production capacity market in refinery conversions are Eni SpA, TotalEnergies SA, ENEOS Corp, and SARIA AS GmbH & Co KG among others.  Eni SpA is the major company globally for SAF production capacity through crude oil refinery conversions.

SAF Production Capacity Market Analysis by Companies in Standalone Renewable Refineries (%)

SAF Production Capacity Market Analysis by Companies in Standalone Renewable Refineries (%)

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Key Segments Covered in the Report

SAF Production Capacity Regional Outlook (mmgy, 2030)

  • North America
  • Europe
  • Asia
  • Middle East
  • South America
  • Oceania
  • Africa

SAF Production Capacity Country-Wise Outlook (mmgy, 2030)

  • US
  • UK
  • China
  • Canada
  • Netherlands
  • Spain
  • Nigeria
  • Malaysia
  • Italy
  • UAE

SAF Production Capacity Refinery Type Outlook (mmgy, 2030)

  • Standalone Renewable
  • Crude Refinery Co-Processing
  • Crude Refinery Conversion

SAF Projects Development Outlook (Number of Projects, 2023-2030)

  • Feasibility
  • FEED
  • Construction
  • Approval

Scope

  • Global SAF production capacity outlook by refinery type, region, and country

  • Global SAF development outlook by project stage

  • SAF production capacity analysis by refinery type – regional analysis by standalone renewable, co-processing, and conversions refineries

  • Key details of major players by SAF production capacity

Reasons to Buy

  • Understand the upcoming SAF production capacity by region, refinery type, and key countries

  • Facilitate decision-making on the basis of strong outlook data

  • Keep abreast of key global fully converted or co-processing or standalone refinery projects that produce SAF

  • Assess your competitor’s plans concerning SAF production

Table of Contents

Global SAF Production Capacity Outlook

– Global SAF Production Capacity by Region

– Upcoming SAF Production Capacity by Refinery Type

– Upcoming SAF Production Capacity by Country

– Upcoming SAF Refineries Development Outlook

SAF Production Capacity Analysis by Region and Refinery Type

– Regional Analysis by Standalone Renewable Refineries

– Regional Analysis by Refinery Co-processing

– Regional Analysis by Refinery Conversions

Major Players by SAF Production Capacity

– Major Players by SAF Production Capacity in Standalone Renewable Refineries

– Major Players by SAF Production Capacity in Refinery Co-Processing

– Major Players by SAF Production Capacity in Refinery Conversions

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