Net Present Value Model: Thalomid
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Overview
Evaluating the value of drugs is a complicated practice and requires a deep knowledge of the drug itself, the market currently and in the future, knowledge of cash inflows and outflows and the potential success rates for each stage of drug development. GlobalData has done all of this work for you, leveraging its gold standard Drugs Intelligence database to create high-value NPV models for purchase on a drug-by-drug basis.
Drug Operating Profit Model
Thalomid Drug Details
Thalidomide (Thalomid) is an immunomodulatory imide drug (IMiD). It is formulated as hard gelatin capsules for oral route of administration. It is indicated in combination with dexamethasone for the treatment of patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma and for the acute treatment of the cutaneous manifestations of moderate to severe erythema nodosum leprosum (ENL). It can also be used as maintenance therapy for the prevention and suppression of the cutaneous manifestations of ENL recurrence. Thalidomide in combination with melphalan and prednisone (MPT) is indicated for the treatment of patients with previously untreated multiple myeloma who are 65 years of age or older.Thalidomide was under development for the treatment of myelodysplastic syndrome, leukemias, glioblastoma, liver cancer, kidney cancer, prostate cancer, Kaposi’s sarcoma, cancer cachexia, sarcoidosis, scleroderma, , Crohn’s disease, ulcerative colitis, colorectal cancer, graft versus host disease, AIDS-related conditions, including cachexia, recurrent aphthous stomatitis, chronic diarrhea, and clinical manifestations of mycobacterial infections caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis and non-tuberculous mycobacteria.
Report Coverage
GlobalData takes into account factors including patent law, known and projected regulatory approval processes, cash flows, potential applicable patients, drug margins, company expenses, and pricing estimates. Combining these data points with GlobalData’s world class analysis creates high value models that companies can use to help in evaluation processes for each drug or company.
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Reasons to Buy
- Better understand the quantitative value of a specific drug
- Create or support internal NPV models to improve accuracy
- Understand the profit a drug is expected to make, taking into account revenue and cost forecasts leveraging public and proprietary data sets.
Frequently asked questions
- All drug sales and forecasts within NPV Model are calculated in our proprietary company based models . In these models, Analyst Consensus forecasts are built by using company-specific broker reports to create the sales forecasts for each Drug and Segment.
- Sales and forecasts are not indication-specific where drugs are approved , or in development, for multiple indications. Please refer to GlobalData’s Disease Analysis reports for indication-specific sales forecasts.
- Risk-adjusted NPVs use GlobalData’s LoA and PTSR for the indication in the highest development stage. Please refer to the Likelihood of Approval methodology for more details on this content.
GlobalData’s NPV Model is a premium model providing a fully-interactive forecasting and valuation tool, driven by Analyst Consensus estimates, enabling users to analyze and customize valuations for pharmaceutical assets including drugs or segments. The tool provides 17-year drug forecasts from companies with sales forecast data in the pharmaceutical industry, including established global firms and emerging biotechs, which allows access to critical information to facilitate strategic decision making around pharmaceutical assets
The NPV Model includes a forecasted Revenue Model, followed by a proprietary Patent Expiry Model, Operating Profit Model, Net Profit (apply Tax rate) and Discounted Cash Flow (apply Discount rates), to derive Net Present Value (NPV) for a chosen pharmaceutical asset
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