Ukraine PESTLE Insights – A Macroeconomic Outlook Report

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Mining, manufacturing and utilities contributed 23.9% to the gross value added (GVA) in 2023, followed by wholesale, retail and hotels activities (17.0%), financial intermediation, real estate and business activities (15.1%). In nominal terms, all three sectors are expected to grow by 8.1% each in 2024.

City of Kiev accounted for 31.8% of the country’s GDP and for 8.9% of Ukraine’s population in 2023

Scope

In October 2023, the government announced to invest UAE912.2 million ($24.7 million) on Ukraine’s rail infrastructure and UAH916 million ($24.8 million) on road transport.

Key Highlights

According to the UNCTAD, Ukraine recorded foreign direct investment of $7.3 billion in 2021, which decreased to $848 million in 2022.

Reasons to Buy

Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potentials of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental (PESTLE) structure.

PESTLE Insights provides 360 degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials and direction of operations

Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors pertaining to the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.

This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.

PrivatBank
Fozzy Group

Table of Contents

List of Exhibits

Did You Know?

Country Highlights

Key Economic Updates

Country Snapshot

Political Landscape

Economic Landscape

Social Landscape

Technological Landscape

Legal Landscape

Environmental Landscape

Outlook

Table

Exhibit 1: Ukraine’s performance in terms of the country’s risk analysis in comparison to Eastern Europe and the world

Exhibit 2: Performance overview (score: 0-100)

Exhibit 3: Broad categories and weights behind the index

Exhibit 4: Key sectors contribution to the economy (2019–26f)

Exhibit 5: FDI inflows, FDI outflows, FDI inward stock and FDI outward stock (2018–22)

Exhibit 6: Greenfield FDI projects and net cross border M&As sales deals (2018–22)

Exhibit 7: Key infrastructure indicators

Exhibit 8: Real GDP and household consumption growth rate (2019–26f)

Exhibit 9: Real GDP growth rate comparison (2023e)

Exhibit 10: Volume of exports and imports growth (2019–26f)

Exhibit 11: Current account balance (2019–26f)

Exhibit 12: Top three commodity exports, % of total exports (2018–22)

Exhibit 13: Cereals exports, % of world’s total exports (2022)

Exhibit 14: Interest rates (January 2019 – January 2024)

Exhibit 15: Exchange rate and inflation (2019–26f)

Exhibit 16: Public finance (2019–26f)

Exhibit 17: General government debt (2019–26f)

Exhibit 18: Unemployment rate (2019–26f)

Exhibit 19: Average annual wages (2019–26f)

Exhibit 20: Labor cost index (2019–26f)

Exhibit 21: Rural/urban share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 22: Age-group share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 23: Gender split (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 24: Internet users as a percentage of total population, mobile penetration rate and broadband penetration rate (2023e)

Exhibit 25: Number of patents granted per million population (2022)

Exhibit 26: High-technology exports, % of manufactured exports (2022)

Exhibit 27: Rule of law index (rankings) 2023

Exhibit 28: Corruption perceptions index (rankings) (2023)

Exhibit 29: Renewable energy, installed capacity (2019–23e)

Exhibit 30: CO2 emissions (2018–22)

Figures

List of Figures

Exhibit 1: Ukraine’s performance in terms of its country risk analysis in comparison to Eastern Europe and the world

Exhibit 2: Performance overview (score: 1-100)

Exhibit 3: Broad categories and weights behind the index

Exhibit 4: Ukraine Stock Exchange Index – PFTS Index (December 2021 – December 2022)

Exhibit 5: Ukraine exchange rate (December 2021 – December 2022)

Exhibit 6: Key sectors’ contribution to the economy

Exhibit 7: FDI inflows and outflows and FDI inward and outward stock (2017-21)

Exhibit 8: Value and number of greenfield FDI projects, and net cross border M&As purchases (2017-21)

Exhibit 9: Key infrastructure indicators

Exhibit 10: Real GDP and household consumption growth rate (2017-24f)

Exhibit 11: Real GDP growth rate comparison (2021)

Exhibit 12: Exports, imports and trade balance (2017-2024f)

Exhibit 13: Current account balance (2017-21)

Exhibit 14: Top three commodity exports, % of total exports (2018-21)

Exhibit 15: Iron and steel, % of world’s total (2021)

Exhibit 16: Interest rates (December 2017 – December 2022)

Exhibit 17: Exchange rate and inflation (2017-24f)

Exhibit 18: Public finance (2017-24f)

Exhibit 19: General government debt (2017-24f)

Exhibit 20: Unemployment (2017-24f)

Exhibit 21: Labor force participation rate (2017-24f)

Exhibit 22: Employment by sector (2017-24f)

Exhibit 23: Rural/urban share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 24: Age-group share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 25: Gender split (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 26: Internet users as a percentage of total population, mobile penetration rate and broadband penetration rate (2021)

Exhibit 27: Number of patents granted per million people (2021)

Exhibit 28: High-technology exports, % of manufactured exports (2020)

Exhibit 29: Doing business in Ukraine 2020

Exhibit 30: Corruption perception index (rankings) (2021)

Exhibit 31: Renewable energy, installed capacity (2016-20)

Exhibit 32: CO2 emissions (2017-21)

Frequently asked questions

Ukraine PESTLE Insights – A Macroeconomic Outlook Report standard reports
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