As of Q3 2025, blue hydrogen accounts for 88% of active low-carbon hydrogen capacity, with blue hydrogen projects totaling 1.39mtpa of hydrogen capacity and 6.5 million tons of CCS capacity. This has been facilitated by the relative ease of retrofitting existing grey hydrogen production with CCUS technology compared to developing greenfield projects. Furthermore, announced and planned projects account for an added 13.8mtpa of hydrogen capacity and almost 111 million tons of CCS capacity. Overall, pipeline capacity has reduced by around 600ktpa, largely due to the stall of Air Products’ 647ktpa Ascension Parish Blue Hydrogen Project.
Oil and gas companies have broadly maintained their competitive positioning within the blue hydrogen market, with 4 of the 6 leaders being from within the industry. ExxonMobil is the largest oil and gas participant investing in blue hydrogen projects, outlining plans to develop blue hydrogen through its Low Carbon Solutions arm as a way of reducing emissions within its operations. To that end, the company invested $900 million to advance CCUS and blue hydrogen projects. The bulk of ExxonMobil’s capacity is driven by its highly anticipated Baytown Hydrogen Facility in the US, with the project close to a final investment decision.
Yet, there have been examples of downturns in activity as corporate strategies have shifted following market and policy uncertainty. Companies such as BP, Shell, and Equinor have recently announced the halting or complete cancellation of some blue hydrogen projects as part of a scale-back in low-carbon investments, instead focusing on high-margin projects.
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