Investment in blue hydrogen is set to increase in 2025, as it is currently more cost-effective than green hydrogen and as nations continue to support the expansion of their carbon capture and storage (CCUS) capabilities. For example, with leadership changes, the US is expected to shift its focus from green hydrogen to blue hydrogen through continued support of its 45Q tax credit, which is forecasted to contribute to increasing the financial viability of blue hydrogen projects. Additionally, the UK government announced a CCUS support package totaling GBP21.7 billion ($26.5 billion) that will partly focus on storing emissions from hydrogen production. This level of government support will likely mirror the US’s shift in focus to blue hydrogen as the investment reduces risks around blue hydrogen project financing, attracting more private sector participation and accelerating project timelines.
As of Q1 2025, active blue hydrogen projects account for 1.64mtpa of hydrogen capacity and 6.5 million of CCS capacity. Significantly more blue hydrogen capacity is in the pipeline, with announced and planned projects contributing 14.4mtpa of hydrogen capacity and almost 116 million of CCS capacity. Blue hydrogen capacity is being led by both North America and Europe.
In Q1 2025, only one blue hydrogen project was announced. This is the same number of projects announced as the previous quarter, showing the momentum predicted for blue hydrogen is yet to gain speed.
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