Outlook on Global Economy Growth
Real GDP growth is GDP’s annual percentage growth rate at market prices based on constant local currency.
The US, China, Japan, Germany, and India are the world's top five economies in terms of real GDP. The US is the largest economy in the world, followed by China. In 2021, the US real GDP grew at a rate of 5.7% over the previous year and became an $18.7 trillion economy. The US real GDP grew at a CAGR of 2.0% between 2010 and 2021. China is one of the fastest-growing economies in the world, with an annual real GDP growth rate of 8%; it grew at a CAGR of 7% between 2010 and 2021. In 2021, India’s annual real GDP growth rate was 9% and grew at a CAGR of 5% between 2010 and 2021.
Overview of Russia’s Real GDP Growth
In 2021, Russia's real GDP rose 4.2% over the previous year and reached $1.8 trillion. Russia's economy grew by a CAGR of 1.4% between 2010 and 2021. Russia's growth outlook is dimmed, given the conflict with Ukraine which resulted in sanctions.
Factors Affecting the Global Economy
A rise in COVID-19 cases:
As a result of Omicron, a new variant of COVID-19, more cases have been reported worldwide, resulting in the disruption of supply chain management. However, the global vaccination drive has reduced the fatality from COVID-19.
Russia-Ukraine war:
Global economic expansion will be hampered by a protracted conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Due to the war, trade and investment have suffered because Russia has been subjected to economic sanctions, and several significant corporations have ceased operations there.
Rising Inflation and Interest Rates:
As a result of rising inflation rates in both developing and advanced economies, central banks have been forced to tighten monetary policy and raise interest rates to keep prices from rising. However, a steady increase in interest rates could cause financial distress in some economies.
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