Overview of India’s Real GDP
India is the third-largest economy in Asia. In 2021, India's real GDP reached $3 trillion, up 9.0% year on year. Between 2010 and 2021, India's economy expanded by 5.3%. However, an increase in COVID-19 cases and rising oil prices amid conflict between Russia and Ukraine dimmed India's growth outlook.
Outlook on Global Economy
Real GDP refers to base year prices, which include inflation. Changes in real GDP indicate the increase or decrease in the volume of economic activity and measure economic growth.
The US, China, Japan, Germany, and India are the world's top five economies in terms of real GDP. The real GDP of the US was the highest, with a value of $18.6 trillion in 2021, followed by China with a value of $12.7 trillion. During the same period, Japan’s real GDP reached $6 trillion, ranked third in the world. Germany’s real GDP of $3.8 trillion in 2021 makes it the largest economy in the world.
Factors Affecting the Global Economy
A rise in COVID-19 cases:
As a result of Omicron, a new variant of COVID-19, more cases have been reported worldwide, resulting in the disruption of supply chain management. However, the global vaccination drive has reduced the fatality from COVID-19.
Russia-Ukraine war:
A prolonged conflict between Russia and Ukraine will continue to affect global economic growth. Investment and trade have been adversely affected due to the war as economic sanctions have been imposed on Russia, and several big companies have stopped their operations in the country.
Rising Inflation and Interest Rates:
The inflation rate in developing and advanced economies have been rising, causing central banks to tighten monetary policy and raise interest rates to control price rises. However, a sustained rise in interest rates could push some economies into financial distress.
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