Explore United States of America's latest macroeconomic trends and forecasts to inform business strategy and pinpoint opportunities and risks

Soaring Consumer Debt in the US

  • The US recorded a considerable increase of $52.4 billion in consumer debt in March 2022, which indicated a YoY increase of 14%, according to the Federal Reserve
  • Subdued spending by consumers and cash-strapped people in the US is the major reason for the increasing consumer debt. According to GlobalData, personal loans in the US increased from $1,961 billion in 2020 to $2,013 billion in 2021, which reflected a YoY increase of 2.65%
  • The cost of debt could increase as the Federal Reserve increased the interest rates by 0.5% in May 2022 to curb excessive inflation. Investors are likely to avoid investing in bonds backed by consumer debt as a result of the rising consumer debt and cost of debt

Consumer debt in the US increased by $52.4 billion in March 2022, which showed a YoY increase of 14%, according to a Federal Reserve report on debt levels. Spending using credit cards and other types of revolving credit increased 21.4%. The factors likely influencing the increase in consumer debt include the pent-up demand following the lockdown and some cash-strapped individuals using credit cards to pay for essentials.

According to GlobalData, personal loans in the US increased from $1,961 billion in 2020 to $2,013 billion in 2021, which marked a YoY increase of 2.65%. It shows a significant increase of 11% from 2017 to 2021.

Increasing Inflation and Interest Rates Affect Consumers

Despite a significant increase in pay, consumers are concerned about their gains being eroded by untamed inflation. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, food prices have increased around 9%, while fuel prices have increased 70% in March 2022, when compared to those in the previous year.

On May 5, 2022, as part of a series of measures aimed at addressing excessive inflation, the Federal Reserve announced an increase of 0.5% in interest rates. Following an increase in federal fund rates, the prime rate and credit card rate will also increase. As a result, interest rates on everything from credit cards to vehicle loans will increase, exerting greater strain on household budgets.

Status of Consumer Debt in Other Countries

According to the IMF, China and South Africa recorded the largest increase in household debt. China reported a huge increase in the number of loans among lower-income households, whereas higher-income households accounted for most of the increase in debt in South Africa. Low-income households in Germany and the UK accumulated more debt than low-income households in France and Italy, where leverage decreased for poorer households.

Investors and consumers need to be cautious about the increasing consumer debt. Investors remain hesitant about bonds backed by consumer debt, apprehensive that increasing inflation and sluggish GDP will likely lead to an increase in the number of low-income borrowers defaulting on credit-card and other payments, while an increase in interest rates would increase the cost of debt to consumers.

Explore United States of America's latest macroeconomic trends and forecasts to inform business strategy and pinpoint opportunities and risks Explore United States of America's latest macroeconomic trends and forecasts to inform business strategy and pinpoint opportunities and risks Visit Report Store
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