The Baby Food Sector in Portugal, 2018

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"The Baby Food Sector in Portugal, 2018", is an analytical report by GlobalData which provides extensive and highly detailed current and future market trends in the Portuguese market.

The baby food sector declined sharply up to 2014, but seemed to turn a corner in 2015 and 2016 thanks to increased birth numbers, an improved economy, and higher disposable incomes. A drop in the number of births in 2017, however, saw the sector dip again. Price sensitivity has held down prices, encouraged by the introduction and popularity of lower priced products. In 2017, the largest category in volume terms was baby meals, with 35.1%. Baby cereals have marginally moved ahead of baby milks, with volume shares of 32.3% and 32.2% respectively. Baby drinks and finger foods remain tiny. The supply of baby food is now in the hands of two major manufacturers – Nestlé and Danone – which hold a combined 80% of value. Both are active in all the major categories, and have local production facilities. Alter (with its Nutribén brand) is the only other significant player. Following the liberalization of the distribution of baby food in the early 1990s, pharmacies accounted for less than 10% of baby food sales in 2017, with food retailers now representing the bulk of sales. The market is expected to struggle over the next few years, as the number of births continues to decline. In total, the sector is forecast to grow by only 1.5% in volume terms, and by 16.2% in value terms.

What else does this report offer?
– Consumption data based upon a unique combination of industry research, fieldwork, market sizing work and our in-house expertise to offer extensive data about the trends and dynamics affecting the industry.
– Detailed profile of the companies operating and new companies considering entry in the industry along with their key focus product sectors.
– Market profile of the various product sectors with the key features & developments, segmentation, per capita trends and the various manufacturers & brands.
– Overview of baby food retailing with a mention of the major retailers in the country along with the distribution channel.
– Future projections considering various trends which are likely to affect the industry.

Scope

– First-stage milks continue to account for the largest share in volume terms, despite the overall decline in the number of births. Overall, their importance has declined over the last six years, partly as a result of higher rates of breastfeeding, as well as lower birth numbers.

– Second-stage milks decreased marginally, due to the declining number of births, although it remains the second largest segment. With the advent of third-stage milks, second-stage milks have faced more competition.

– Special dietary formulae is the smallest segment, accounting for 9.4% of sales in 2017. Despite the high cost of these milks, their share has increased slightly in volume, and more clearly in value, as those mothers who can afford them have been persuaded of their benefits

– Plastic pots are offered by Nestlé and Danone, and pouches by Humana, Vitagermine, Hero, Nestlé , Danone, Nutribén, and a number of own labels including Continente. Danone, Nestlé, and Nutribén supply products in jars.

– Demand for cereals is expected to show no overall growth over the forecast period, although per capita intake levels will rise marginally, sustained by the growing popularity of new flavors and ready-to-eat variants.

Reasons to Buy

– Evaluate important changes in consumer behavior and identify profitable markets and areas for product innovation.

– Analyse current and forecast behavior trends in each category to identify the best opportunities to exploit.

– Detailed understanding of consumption by individual product categories in order to align your sales and marketing efforts with the latest trends in the market.

– Investigates which categories are performing the best and how this is changing market dynamics.

Nestlé Portugal
Danone Portugal
Alter SA

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Introduction

Executive Summary

Definitions

Background

Birth: Live Birth Rates

The Consumer

Socio-demographic Trends

Working Women

Regulations

Breastfeeding Trends

Overview

Sector Overview

Manufacturer Shares

Category Analysis

Baby Milks

Baby Cereals

Wet Baby Meals

Baby Drinks

Baby Finger Foods

Production and Trade

Imports

Exports

Company Profiles

Nestlé Portugal

Danone Portugal

Alter SA

Other Manufactures

Distribution

Baby Food Retailing

Economic Background

Economic Background

Key Macroeconomic Forecasts

Prospects and Forecasts

Birth & Population Projections

Forecast Overview

Future Trends

Appendix

Table

List of Tables

Table 1: Birth & Population Trends, 2007-2017

Table 2: Live Birth Trends by Age of Mother, 2011-2016

Table 3: Trends in Working Women, 2011-2017

Table 4: Breakdown of the Female Workforce by Age, 2011-2016

Table 5: Breastfeeding Patterns from 5 Weeks to 7 Months, 2013

Table 6: Proportion of Babies being Breastfed by Age Group, 1995/96 & 1998/99 & 2005/06

Table 7: Proportion of Babies being Breastfed by Age Group & Region, 2005-2006

Table 8: Category Size, 2017, & Growth Rates, 2011-2017

Table 9: Baby Food: Manufacturer Share Trends, Value %, 2010-2017

Table 10: Baby Food: Manufacturer Shares by Category, %, 2017

Table 11: Baby Milks: Category Size, 2017

Table 12: Baby Milks: Category Growth, % 2011-2017

Table 13: Baby Milks: Market Breakdown, Powdered and Liquid, 2010-2017

Table 14: Powdered Baby Milks: Brand Price Positioning Analysis, 2017

Table 15: Powdered Baby Milks: Brand Price Positioning Analysis, 2017

Table 16: Liquid Baby Milks: Brand Price Positioning Analysis, 2017

Table 17: Baby Milks: Manufacturer Shares, Value & Volume, %, 2011-2017

Table 18: Baby Milks: Brand Ranking, 2017

Table 19: Baby Cereals: Category Size, 2017

Table 20: Baby Cereals: Category Growth, % 2011-2017

Table 21: Baby Cereals Segmentation, 2006, 2012 and 2017

Table 22: Baby Cereals : Price Segmentation, 2017

Table 23: Baby Cereals: Manufacturer Shares, Value & Volume, %, 2011-2017

Table 24: Baby Meals: Category Size, 2017

Table 25: Baby Meals: Category Growth, % 2011-2017

Table 26: Wet Baby Meals: Sector Segmentation, 2010-2017

Table 27: Wet Baby Meals : Price Positioning, 2017

Table 28: Wet Baby Meals: Manufacturer Market Shares, Value, 2011-2017

Table 29: Baby Drinks: Category Size, 2017

Table 30: Baby Drinks: Category Growth, % 2011-2017

Table 31: Baby Drinks: Manufacturer Market Shares, Value and Volume %, 2010-2017

Table 32: Baby Meals: Category Size, 2017

Table 33: Baby Meals: Category Growth, % 2011-2017

Table 34: Baby Finger Foods: Manufacturer Market Shares, Value and Volume %, 2010-2017

Table 35: Baby Food: Sales by Outlet Type, % Value, 2010-2017

Table 36: Economic Indicators, 2011-2018

Table 37: Real GDP and Consumer Price Trends, 2017-2023

Table 38: Birth & Population Projections, 2011-2023

Table 39: Baby Food: Category Growth, 2017-2023

Table 40: Baby Population, Number of Babies, ‘000, 2007-2023

Table 41: Baby Food: Market Value, Current Prices, 2011-2017

Table 42: Baby Food: Market Value, Constant Prices, 2011-2017

Table 43: Baby Food: Market Value, US$ Million, 2011-2017

Table 44: Baby Food: Market Volume, Tons, 2011-2017

Table 45: Baby Food: Per Capita Expenditure, Current Prices, 2011-2017

Table 46: Baby Food: Per Capita Expenditure, Constant Prices, 2011-2017

Table 47: Baby Food: Per Capita Expenditure, US Dollar Prices, 2011-2017

Table 48: Baby Food: Per Capita Consumption, Grams, 2011-2017

Table 49: Baby Milks: Market Segmentation, Value and Volume, 2011-2017

Table 50: Baby Milks – Powder: Brand Price Analysis, 2017

Table 51: Imports of Baby Food by Type, Volume, Tons, 2010-2016

Table 52: Imports of Baby Food by Type, Value, € ’000s, 2010-2016

Table 53: Imports of Milks & Cereals by Country of Origin, Volume & Value, 2014-2016

Table 55: Imports of Other Baby Food by Country of Origin, Volume & Value, 2014-2016

Table 56: Exports of Baby Food by Type, Volume, Tons, 2010-2016

Table 57: Exports of Baby Food by Type, Value, € ’000s, 2010-2016

Table 58: Exports of Milks & Cereals by Country of Destination, Volume & Value, 2014-2016

Table 59: Exports of Other Baby Food by Country of Destination, Volume & Value, 2014-2016

Table 60: Baby Food: Market Value Forecasts, Current Prices, 2017-2023

Table 61: Baby Food: Market Value Forecasts, Constant Prices, 2017-2023

Table 62: Baby Food: Market Value Forecasts, US$ Million, 2017-2023

Table 63: Baby Food: Market Volume Forecasts, Tons, 2017-2023

Table 64: Baby Food: Per Capita Expenditure, Current Prices, 2017-2023

Table 65: Baby Food: Per Capita Expenditure, Constant Prices, 2017-2023

Table 66: Baby Food: Per Capita Expenditure, US Dollars, 2017-2023

Table 67: Baby Food: Per Capita Consumption, Grams, 2017-2023

Figures

List of Figures

Figure 1: Baby Food: Sector Size, 2011-2017

Figure 2: Baby Food: Per Capita, 2011-2017

Figure 3: Baby Food: Sector Segmentation, 2017

Figure 4: Baby Food: Manufacturer Shares, Value, 2017

Figure 5: Baby Food: Manufacturer Shares, Value %, 2017

Figure 6: Baby Food: Manufacturer Shares by Category, % Value, 2016

Figure 7: Baby Food: Manufacturer Shares, Volume %, 2017

Figure 8: Baby Food: Manufacturer Shares by Category, % Value, 2017

Figure 9: Baby Milks: Category Trends, 2011-2017

Figure 10: Baby Milks: Per Capita Expenditure & Consumption by Age Group, 2011-2017

Figure 11: Baby Milks: Segmentation, Value and Volume, 2011-2017

Figure 12: Baby Cereals : Category Trends, 2011-2017

Figure 13: Baby Cereals : Per Capita Expenditure & Consumption, 2011-2017

Figure 14: Wet Baby Meals: Category Trends, 2011-2017

Figure 15: Wet Baby Meals : Per Capita Expenditure & Consumption, 2011-2017

Figure 16: Baby Drinks: Category Trends, 2011-2017

Figure 17: Baby Drinks : Per Capita Expenditure & Consumption, 2011-2017

Figure 18: Baby Finger Foods: Category Trends, 2011-2017

Figure 19: Baby Finger Foods: Per Capita Expenditure & Consumption, 2011-2017

Figure 20: Baby Food: Sector Size, 2017-2023

Figure 21: Baby Food: Per Capita, 2017-2023

Figure 22: Baby Food: Sector Segmentation, 2023

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